Madagascar vs Tanzania Prediction 29 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Madagascar and Tanzania come into this match after poor starts to their group campaign - both sides are yet to pick up a point in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. The table still gives the hosts reason to push for top spot, while the visitors are looking to close the gap to the play-off places. Over a longer run, though, neither side has shown any consistency in winning matches. Low scoring and problems in attack are a feature of both teams, which points towards a cautious encounter.

    A level head-to-head record

    📊 Madagascar and Tanzania have met five times. Both sides have won two of those meetings, with one match ending in a draw. The hosts have the edge in goals scored - 7 against 6 for the visitors. On average, the two sides have produced 2.6 goals per match.

    Head-to-head statistics Madagascar - Tanzania

    40%
    2 Wins
    20%
    1 Draw
    40%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    5
    Total Goals Avg
    2.6
    Both teams scored
    60%
    1.4
    Total average
    1.2
    Last matches
    09.08.25
    ANC
    Tanzania
    Tanzania
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    1.66
    0.61
    5
    3
    15
    17
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.66
    0.61
    5
    3
    15
    17
    0
    1
    07.06.25
    COSAFA Cup
    Tanzania
    Tanzania
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    1
    4
    14.11.21
    WCF
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    1
    Tanzania
    Tanzania
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    2
    5
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    2
    5
    07.09.21
    WCF
    Tanzania
    Tanzania
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    20.05.15
    COSAFA Cup
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    Tanzania
    Tanzania
    2
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Madagascar: Inconsistent Results

    Madagascar come into this match on the back of a defeat, but their overall record across the last 10 games shows they have something to offer - seven wins and three losses. Over the last five matches, they put together three consecutive wins before losing their last two, which points to a degree of inconsistency. Their average goals scored over that period is 1.7, though they have been conceding an average of 1.3 per game. Despite a poor start in the group and no points on the board, Madagascar retain a competitive incentive through the prospect of challenging for first place as the qualifying cycle progresses.

    Match Results: Madagascar

    Last matches
    25.09.26
    CON
    Nigeria
    Nigeria
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    -
    -
    5
    2
    14
    9
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    14
    9
    1
    2
    L
    02.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Morocco
    Morocco
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    1
    3.60
    0.25
    12
    1
    12
    12
    2
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    3.60
    0.25
    12
    1
    12
    12
    2
    2
    L
    31.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Equatorial Guinea
    Equatorial Guinea
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    D
    28.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Kyrgyzstan
    Kyrgyzstan
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    5
    0
    4
    2
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    17.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Equatorial Guinea
    Equatorial Guinea
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Tanzania: wins are few and far between

    Tanzania got off to a losing start in the group stage and are playing catch-up. Their last five matches have produced just one draw and four consecutive defeats. Those results point to difficulties both in attack and at the back. Over their last ten matches, Tanzania have won just once, and their average of goals scored stands at 1 per game. Their goals conceded average is also relatively low, at around 1.1 per match.

    Match Results: Tanzania

    Last matches
    25.09.26
    CON
    Tanzania
    Tanzania
    Guinea-Bissau
    Guinea-Bissau
    -
    -
    3
    0
    9
    21
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    0
    9
    21
    1
    1
    L
    29.03.26
    FIFA Series
    Macau of China
    Macau of China
    Tanzania
    Tanzania
    -
    -
    1
    9
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    6
    0
    3
    0
    3
    -
    -
    1
    9
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    26.03.26
    FIFA Series
    Tanzania
    Tanzania
    Liechtenstein
    Liechtenstein
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    04.01.26
    ACN
    Morocco
    Morocco
    Tanzania
    Tanzania
    1.01
    0.73
    4
    0
    12
    19
    1
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.01
    0.73
    4
    0
    12
    19
    1
    5
    L
    30.12.25
    ACN
    Tanzania
    Tanzania
    Tunisia
    Tunisia
    0.18
    1.07
    2
    2
    9
    14
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.18
    1.07
    2
    2
    9
    14
    3
    1
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Total Goals Prediction

    Fewer than three goals were scored in 16 of Tanzania's last 17 matches, pointing to a pronounced low-scoring trend in their games. Their last 10 matches back this up: the average number of goals conceded and scored stands at 1 and 1.1 respectively. Madagascar, in their last 10 home matches, have also averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. On that basis, Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.51* looks the most well-founded bet.

    Corners Prediction

    In 7 of their last 8 away matches, Tanzania's total corners have fallen short of nine. This is a consistent trend for the visitors, which suggests a low corner count in this match too. Our prediction: Total Corners - Under 8.5 at 1.81*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm, the most likely correct scores are 1-0 (14.01%), 0-1 (13.9%) and 0-0 (13.89%). These outcomes point to a closely contested match with few goals and no clear favourite.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The match looks set to revolve around cautious football, with both sides focused on midfield organisation and limiting risks at the back. Both teams have struggled for consistency in picking up points and rarely produce high-scoring games against sides of similar quality.

    While Madagascar tend to take their chances more often at home, their defensive solidity makes a goal-fest unlikely. Tanzania have been producing low-scoring matches for a prolonged period, regardless of the competition or the opponent. Predicted score: 1-0. Main prediction: Total Goals - Under 2.5.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Odds-196
    Published: 27/09/2026, 15:38
    Aidar Nizaev
    Aidar Nizaev
    Football expert
    70
    3
    53
    126 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Madagascar - Tanzania

    Madagascar have drawn in the 1st half:
    madagascarin 8 of last 9 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
    Tanzania have drawn in the 1st half:
    tanzania-1in last 6 away games.
    1st Half Draw
    -
    Madagascar have lost the 2nd half:
    madagascarin last 5 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
    2nd Half Tanzania to Win
    -
    Tanzania have not won:
    tanzania-1in 11 of last 12 games.
    Madagascar will not lose
    -227
    Madagascar have not won:
    madagascarin last 15 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
    madagascarin 9 of last 10 home games.
    madagascarin last 7 home games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
    Tanzania will not lose
    -227
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 13
    +4
    -1
    10 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    1
    0
    Draws
    3
    3
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    10
    13
    Conceded
    11
    3
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    7
    Both teams scored
    4
    57'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats