Romania vs Poland Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
🔉 Romania and Poland meet in a Nations League match with plenty at stake in the battle for third place and to avoid relegation. If Romania drop points, they will definitely be relegated to League C, while a win would give Poland a chance of finishing in the top two. Both are at the bottom end of the group, but they have different objectives in the standings.
Head-to-Head
📊 Poland thrashed Romania 6-0 in the first round, making it their third consecutive win in head-to-head meetings. The teams have played five matches in total.
Head-to-head statistics Romania - Poland
Defensive improvement, but problems in attack
In their last Nations League match, Romania lost 1-0 at home to Sweden, but there were reasons for optimism. For the first time in this edition of the tournament, they conceded fewer than two goals. After conceding ten in their previous two matches, that is good progress. However, their problems in attack remain: Romania have failed to score in two consecutive rounds. The national team are bottom of the table, and if they drop points again, they will be guaranteed to finish fourth and will start the next edition in League C.
Romania have recorded just one win in competitive matches over the past 12 months. In November, they beat San Marino 7-1 at home, while they lost six other matches. Including friendlies, there were two isolated positive results: they beat Wales at home in a friendly and drew away to Georgia. Overall, though, 2026 has been marked by defeats for the Romanian national team.
Match Results: Romania
An inconsistent year and hopes of staying in the division
Poland have had a slightly better 2026, but it has still been one of their worst years in recent times. In March, Poland beat Albania in the 2026 World Cup play-offs but lost to Sweden in the qualifying final. Since then, they have won just one of six matches, at home to Romania. The other matches brought three defeats and two draws. Against Romania, Poland had a numerical advantage from the 22nd minute and made the most of it. Robert Lewandowski started the rout with a penalty and went on to complete a hat-trick.
The win over Romania gave Poland hope that they could remain in the same division next season. They are currently third, four points ahead of Romania and four behind Bosnia and Herzegovina. They need points from the final two rounds, as they could finish either second or last.
Match Results: Poland
Latest news
Romania
Răzvan Marin will miss the match against Poland due to suspension. Ionuț Radu, Nicolae Stanciu, Florin Tănase and Valentin Mihăilă were not included in the final squad for the November matches.
Poland
Poland have problems in goal. Marcin Bułka and Kamil Grabara have not been included in the squad. Bartłomiej Drągowski, who has made just four appearances for the national team, could be the first-choice goalkeeper. Jan Bednarek will miss the match through suspension.
Predicted Lineups
Romania’s Predicted starting XI: Hindrich - Rațiu, Ghiță, Drăgușin, Bancu - Corbu, Băluță - Man, I. Hagi, Coman - Bîrligea.
Poland’s Predicted starting XI: Drągowski - Cash, Kiwior, Kędziora, Frankowski - Zieliński, Nowak - Świderski, Szymański, Zalewski - Lewandowski.
⚽️ Goals prediction
At least two goals have been scored in each of Poland's last 7 away games, as well as in 11 of their previous 12 matches in all competitions. We back Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.23*.
🚩 Corners prediction
Poland have won at least four corners away from home in eight consecutive matches. Both teams will look to attack, as a draw suits neither side. Prediction - Poland Team Total Corners - Over 3.5 at odds of 1.30*.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
Poland have received at least two yellow cards in eight consecutive matches. The importance of the match adds to the intensity, and Poland received two yellow cards in the first head-to-head meeting and three in 3 of the previous 4. We pick Poland Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1.5 at 1.43*.
🚀 Player prop bet
Robert Lewandowski scored a hat-trick in the first meeting between the sides in the tournament and has scored eight goals against Romania over his career. The forward has added motivation: he currently has 92 goals for his country and is closing in on the 100-goal milestone. You can back Lewandowski to score at odds of 1.76*.
😱 Risky bet
Poland have lacked consistency in recent matches, and have lost the second half in five away Nations League matches. Romania to Win the Second Half at 4.20* is a risk, but one based on a trend in Poland's results.
🎯 Reliable bet
Romania have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six home Nations League matches. Poland have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches. Across all competitions, the visitors have scored in 16 of their previous 17 matches. Poland to Score at 1.15* is a reliable option for this match.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
Romania have lost four matches in the tournament and have won only a friendly in 2026, but Poland have also been inconsistent this year, so the hosts have a chance. Romania to Win at 4.00* is a scenario that goes against the main run of play.
*The odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Romania are playing at home, but avoiding a fifth consecutive defeat will be difficult. However, it probably will not be a heavy one, as Poland have problems of their own, though their experience of winning the first head-to-head meeting will be useful. The hosts also have significant absences, and without Răzvan Marin, they will find it difficult to contain Robert Lewandowski and his teammates. Taking the recent head-to-head meetings and squad problems into account, we pick Poland to win. Score prediction - 1:2.
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Betting Tips: Romania - Poland
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in 8 of last 9 games (UEFA Nations League).
in last 6 home games (UEFA Nations League).in 16 of last 17 games.in 7 of last 8 away games.in 11 of last 12 Poland games.in 7 of last 8 Poland away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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