Sweden vs Bosnia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
🔉Sweden and Bosnia and Herzegovina meet in a match for first place in their Nations League group. A win will guarantee Sweden top spot and promotion. If Bosnia and Herzegovina win, they will keep their hopes of direct promotion alive. Both sides are highly motivated, so the match promises to be tense.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams have met only once. Their first-round match ended 1:1, with both goals scored in the second half. Sweden had the edge in expected goals, 0.65 to 0.15, but the Swedes did not even create enough chances to warrant a goal.
Head-to-head statistics Sweden - Bosnia
Unbeaten in the Nations League and a first clean sheet
Sweden performed relatively well at the World Cup: they reached the knockout stage but faced France in the first round and lost 3-0. Graham Potter kept his job as head coach, and under him Sweden are unbeaten in the Nations League, with three wins and a draw. With ten points, Sweden top the group of four.
Sweden beat Romania 1-0 in the last round. It was a significant match: the team kept a clean sheet for the first time in their last ten matches. However, in the current Nations League campaign, Sweden have conceded at home against both Romania and Poland. Next up are Bosnia and Herzegovina, who have failed to score away from home only twice in their last ten matches.
Match Results: Sweden
Away win and the battle for top spot
At the World Cup, Bosnia and Herzegovina had a campaign similar to Sweden's: one win in the group stage, a place in the round of 32 and defeat in the first knockout round. Bosnia and Herzegovina are unbeaten in the Nations League: they took four points against Poland with a home win and an away draw, beat Romania 4-2 away and drew at home with Sweden. They are second in the table with 8 points.
The away win over Romania was very important. Before that, the team had gone seven away Nations League matches without a win. The national team now intend to extend their run to stay in contention for first place. A draw will not be enough for the visitors: they would still have a chance, but much would depend on Sweden's result in the final round, while Poland could cut the gap to a minimum, creating a risk of dropping to third place.
Match Results: Bosnia & Herzegovina
Latest news
Sweden
Dejan Kulusevski has been named in the squad for the November matches - he has not played for the team in over a year due to injury. Anthony Elanga has also recovered from injury. Emil Holm was not named in the squad; Genesis Antwi has received his first call-up instead.
Bosnia & Herzegovina
There are no major absences. Muharemović will miss the match through suspension. The squad is close to full strength, and the coaching staff will not have to worry about replacing key players.
Predicted Lineups
Sweden's predicted starting XI: Johansson - Beijmo, Smith, Lindelöf, Gudmundsson - Bernhardsson, Karlström, Ayari, Nanasi - Gyökeres, Isak.
Bosnia and Herzegovina's predicted starting XI: Zlomislić - Dedić, Katić, Mujakić, Kolašinac - Memić, Gigović, Bašić, Mahmić - Demirović, Tabaković.
⚽️ Goals prediction
Sweden have conceded at home in six consecutive matches and in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. Bosnia and Herzegovina have scored in 17 of their previous 19 matches. We pick the away team to score at 1.54*.
🚩 Corners prediction
Bosnia and Herzegovina have taken no more than three corners in five consecutive away matches. Sweden will play on the front foot at home and have plenty of possession, so the total number of set pieces near the Swedish goal is unlikely to be high. Prediction - Bosnia and Herzegovina Team Total Corners - Under 3.5 at 1.69*.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
At least four yellow cards were shown in 6 of Sweden's last 7 Nations League matches. With first place at stake, this promises to be a hard-fought game. We back Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at 1.93*.
🚀 Player prop bet
Viktor Gyökeres has scored four goals in this Nations League campaign, having scored nine in the previous edition. His form for the national team is excellent, and he is the main star of Sweden’s attack. Gyökeres to score is priced at 1.88*.
😱 Risky bet
Sweden have scored before half-time in 7 of their 8 Nations League matches and in their last six home matches in the competition. At home, they may attack from the opening minutes and score more than once. Sweden to Win the First Half - Handicap -1 at 3.45* is a risky bet for the match.
🎯 A reliable bet
Sweden have scored in 12 consecutive Nations League matches. Across all competitions, they have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches, with their only goalless game in that run coming against France in the 2026 World Cup round of 32. Sweden to score at 1.08* is a reliable option for this match.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
Sweden are favourites and contenders for all three points, which would secure promotion as early as the fifth round. The visitors are also motivated and riding high after their first away win of the tournament. A Bosnia & Herzegovina win at 5.80* goes against the expected course of events, but is not without logic.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Sweden are playing at home and are determined to win. They are unbeaten in this Nations League campaign and have scored at least twice in every home match. Bosnia and Herzegovina beat Romania away from home but conceded twice, and they have problems in defence. Sweden's attack has become even more varied with the return of Kulusevski and Alexander Isak, who has played just one match in this campaign. We expect the hosts to score plenty of goals. The main bet is Sweden Team Total Goals - Over 2. Predicted score: 3:1.
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Betting Tips: Sweden - Bosnia & Herzegovina
in last 5 home games (UEFA Nations League).
in 8 of last 9 away games.
in last 10 games (UEFA Nations League).in last 6 home games (UEFA Nations League).in 7 of last 8 away games (UEFA Nations League).
in last 15 games.in last 6 home games.in 17 of last 19 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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