Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein Prediction 1 October 2026
🔊 Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein meet in matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League. The Group D2 fixture takes place in Baku. After the opening two rounds, Lithuania have 4 points, Azerbaijan have 1, and Liechtenstein are yet to get off the mark. The hosts began the tournament with a draw against Lithuania, while the visitors lost to the same opponents. Now the two sides face each other, with Azerbaijan looking to improve their position in the group and Liechtenstein looking to open their points account.
🔁 We will update this prediction on match day. The Latest News section will cover any important developments before kick-off.
Head-to-head history: Liechtenstein have managed just one win
📊 Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein have met five times. Azerbaijan have won three, Liechtenstein have won one, and one match ended in a draw. The goal difference stands at 8-2 in Azerbaijan's favour. Their most recent meeting was in February 2013, when Azerbaijan won 1-0. Before that, the two sides met in qualifying for Euro 2000 and the 2010 World Cup.
The main storyline surrounding Azerbaijan
In the previous Nations League, Azerbaijan competed in League C and finished bottom of Group C1. They picked up just one point from six matches and were relegated to League D. They were unable to stay in the third tier, with Sweden, Slovakia and Estonia for company in their group. Azerbaijan therefore begin the new edition in the fourth tier, placed in Group D2 alongside Lithuania and Liechtenstein. After Lithuania's win over Liechtenstein, Azerbaijan started the tournament later than the other two sides and played a friendly against Tajikistan beforehand, which they won 1-0.
Azerbaijan played their first Nations League match in Kaunas against Lithuania. They responded quickly to conceding a penalty and levelled five minutes later through Mahir Emreli. The score did not change after the break, and both sides took a point each. In terms of the game itself, Azerbaijan looked competitive. The two teams were fairly evenly matched in possession and shots, with the visitors registering nine attempts, four of which were on target. That said, Azerbaijan were less active around the opposition penalty area, which was particularly evident from the corner count: they earned just two, while Lithuania did not win any. Abbassov's side began the new tournament unbeaten, but have not yet shown a high level of attacking output. Ahead of their next matches, Azerbaijan will need to improve their pressure around the opposition box and make better use of their chances.
Match Results: Azerbaijan
Liechtenstein: aiming to improve their attacking play
In the previous Nations League campaign, Liechtenstein competed in League D and finished third in Group D1. The side picked up two points and retained their place in the fourth tier. In the new campaign they are again in League D, this time in Group D2 alongside Azerbaijan and Lithuania. Following Lithuania's win over Azerbaijan, Liechtenstein have no points and go into their next match needing to turn their group situation around. Konrad Fünfstück remains in charge of the national team. The German coach has been with Liechtenstein since 2023. He has called up a squad for four matches across the September-October international window, so the team face a busy schedule.
Their Nations League campaign got off to a poor start as Liechtenstein lost 0-2 to Lithuania at home. Both goals came after the break. In terms of how the match played out, Liechtenstein stayed compact for a long time and kept Lithuania at bay until half-time. After the restart, though, the visitors found space to attack and scored twice. Liechtenstein also struggled to create any real threat going forward and were unable to respond after conceding. Ahead of the match against Azerbaijan, improving their attacking output is the priority. They failed to score in the opening round and created too little trouble for the opposition defence, so sharpening up in attack will be one of Fünfstück's main tasks.
Match Results: Liechtenstein
Latest news
Azerbaijan
❌ Hayal Aliyev - hamstring tendon rupture, surgery in June 2026. He continues his recovery and has not been included in the squad for this training camp.
Liechtenstein
❌ Simon Lüchinger - not included in the squad.
❌ Philipp Hasler - did not travel to Baku due to work commitments.
❌ Jakob Lorenz - missing the away trip for work reasons.
❌ Ferhat Saglam - left the camp after the match against Lithuania for personal reasons and did not fly to Baku.
❓ Felix Oberwaditzer - unable to join up fully due to studies.
✔ William Pizzi - called up as a replacement for Saglam and has joined the squad.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Azerbaijan: Balaev - Mutalimov, Mammadov, Huseynov, Dashdamirov, Abbasov - Emreli, Haybullaev, Safarov, Isayev - Dadashov
📋 Predicted starting XI for Liechtenstein: Büchel - N. Hasler, Weissenhof, Traber, Göppel, Zund - Sele, Büchel, A. Hasler - Luque-Notaro, Pizzi
⚽️ Goals Prediction
In the first round, Azerbaijan drew with Lithuania (1:1), while Liechtenstein lost to the same side (0:2). Liechtenstein also failed to score in 7 of their last 8 away matches. Given their problems finding the net on the road, and the fact that they also failed to score in their opening fixture, a bet on at least one team not scoring looks a logical outcome. Our prediction: Both Teams to Score - No at odds of 1.49*.
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
Both sides showed low corner kick activity in their opening matches of the tournament. Azerbaijan won just 2 corners in their game against Lithuania, while Liechtenstein did not earn a single one in their match against the same side. Given those numbers, there is little reason to expect Liechtenstein to win many set pieces in the attacking third. Azerbaijan will probably enjoy more possession and spend more time on the front foot, while the visitors may focus on defending. Our prediction: Liechtenstein Team Total Corners - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.61*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The opening group matches didn't produce many bookings. Lithuania vs Azerbaijan finished with 4 yellow cards, three of which went to the Azerbaijanis. The referee showed just 2 yellows in the Liechtenstein vs Lithuania match. Based on those figures, I'm not expecting a high number of cards in this fixture either. Liechtenstein will probably have to defend for long periods, but the team may do so fairly carefully without giving away many fouls. Our prediction: Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5 at odds of 1.37*.
🚀 Player Stat Bet
Mahir Emreli has already scored in this Nations League campaign - his goal on 14 minutes earned Azerbaijan a draw with Lithuania. He is in the squad for this international window. If the striker starts again, his goal can be considered as an option for an individual bet. The bet - Mahir Emreli to Score.
😱 Risky Bet
Azerbaijan have drawn the first half in each of their last six consecutive home matches. Liechtenstein also showed cautious football in their match against Lithuania, with the visitors playing compactly and neither side managing to open the scoring before the break. With that in mind, this match could be cautious in the early stages. Azerbaijan have no need to force things from the first minute, while Liechtenstein will look to stay compact and prevent the hosts from establishing an advantage quickly. Our prediction: half-time draw at odds of 4.50*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
The low-scoring nature of both sides' matches is backed up by the statistics. Total Goals - Under 4.5 has landed in 21 of Azerbaijan's last 22 home matches, while Liechtenstein have seen the same outcome in 15 consecutive matches. Neither side is particularly prolific, so a game with five or more goals looks unlikely. Even with Azerbaijan holding a clear advantage, the match may still end without a high number of goals. The bet is Total Goals - Under 4.5 at odds of 1.19*.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
If Azerbaijan take the lead, Liechtenstein will have to abandon their cautious approach and take more risks in attack. That could open up space and chances at the hosts' goal. Liechtenstein have yet to score in the Nations League, but if they concede they will be forced to push forward in numbers. One moment could be enough to exploit the space in behind Azerbaijan's defenders. Our prediction: Liechtenstein to Score - Yes at 2.56*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Azerbaijan began their Nations League campaign with a 1-1 draw against Lithuania and will now play their next two matches at home. Liechtenstein lost to Lithuania (0-2) and then lost to Malta in a friendly. That said, Liechtenstein are capable of making things difficult for the hosts and should not allow Azerbaijan to turn this into a rout. The visitors will almost certainly look to defend deep and keep the scoreline as close as possible for as long as they can. The predicted score is 2-0. Editorial prediction: Liechtenstein Handicap +2.5.
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Betting Tips: Azerbaijan - Liechtenstein
in 8 of last 9 away games.
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