Real Madrid vs Atletico Prediction

    🔊 What will be the outcome of the Madrid derby in the first leg of the Champions League Round of 16? For the third time this season, the teams are set to meet in a head-to-head clash. Unlike the "Mattress Makers," Carlo Ancelotti's squad participated in the preliminary playoff round, knocking Manchester City out of the competition (3:2; 3:1). Predicting the outcome of the match, which will take place at the "Santiago Bernabeu," is quite difficult. Let's look at the bookmakers' odds: a victory for the "Galacticos" is 1.87, while a win for the "Indians" is 4.2.

    Head-to-Head

    Interestingly, 7 out of the last 8 head-to-head matches ended in a draw. In the current season, the teams met twice in the La Liga competition. On both occasions, the final score was recorded as 1:1. Notably, the last home victory of the "Merengues" over the "Colchoneros" dates back to the 2021/22 season.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    29 Wins
    29%
    17 Draws
    21%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    58
    Total Goals Avg
    2.76
    Both teams scored
    60%
    1.6
    Total average
    1.16
    2.6
    Yellow cards
    3.41
    Last matches
    22.03.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    2.82
    1.3
    4
    1
    2
    15
    1
    4
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1
    2.82
    1.3
    4
    1
    2
    15
    1
    4
    08.01.26
    SSC
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    2.29
    1.20
    9
    1
    7
    7
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.29
    1.20
    9
    1
    7
    7
    0
    1
    27.09.25
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    2.34
    0.6
    7
    2
    17
    14
    5
    4
    5
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2.34
    0.6
    7
    2
    17
    14
    5
    4
    12.03.25
    UCL
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.12
    1.01
    10
    10
    11
    16
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    4
    1.12
    1.01
    10
    10
    11
    16
    2
    2
    04.03.25
    UCL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    0.72
    0.21
    6
    3
    10
    13
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.72
    0.21
    6
    3
    10
    13
    1
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Real Madrid Team Overview

    Last weekend, the "Los Blancos" put on a dismal display, losing at the "Benito Villamarín" to the local Betis (1:2). It was not so much the fact of the defeat that was surprising, but rather the completely toothless play from the reigning champions of Spain. Carlo Ancelotti's men fell short in several key statistical indicators, including expected goals: 1.15 against 2.24. As for the "Galacticos'" performances on the international stage, things are somewhat better. The truly telling victory came against Manchester City (3:2; 3:1) in the preliminary playoff round. The Italian specialist cleverly adapted to Josep Guardiola's plan, managing to completely neutralize the attacking potential of the "Citizens." Attention should be drawn to the large number of unavailable players for the upcoming match. Firstly, Dani Carvajal, Dani Ceballos, Éder Militão, Jesús Vallejo, and Federico Valverde remain in the infirmary. Secondly, due to an accumulation of yellow cards, there is no reliance on the assistance of Jude Bellingham - an absolutely irreplaceable figure in the current Real Madrid.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    L
    03.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Atletico Madrid Team Overview

    The unbeaten streak of the "Colchoneros" continues. The victory over Athletic (1:0) last weekend allowed Diego Simeone and company to surpass the "Merengues" in the standings and take the 2nd position. Once again, the main hero was Julian Alvarez. It should be noted that the Argentine forward has scored 5 goals in his last 5 matches. It's no wonder that in his recent press conference, Diego Simeone compared Alvarez's abilities to true legends like Suarez and Villa. Let's recall that the "Indians" with their convincing performances during the league stage have spared themselves from the need to participate in the preliminary round of the Champions League playoffs. As for personnel issues, Cesar Azpilicueta and Koke are still unavailable due to injuries. Surely, the capital club will once again employ a deep defensive line and regular overloads on the flanks. These tactical maneuvers were exactly what Atletico showcased in their previous head-to-head match with Real.

    Match Results: Atletico Madrid

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Girona
    Girona
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    W
    12.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    L
    05.05.26
    UCL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    ⚽️ GOALS PREDICTION

    In each of the last 9 head-to-head matches, goals were scored by both sides. Let's also note the high scoring ability of the teams in the current Champions League campaign: “Los Blancos” - 2.6, “Los Colchoneros” - 2.5. The teams are well aware of each other's strengths, so our editorial team expects a high-scoring nature of the game. We will focus on the following event - both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 CORNERS PREDICTION

    In 5 of the last 6 matches involving Atletico Madrid, there were no more than 10 corner kicks. A similar trend is evident in 4 of the previous 5 personal meetings between the teams. Interestingly, there is a notably low number of corners observed at “Los Colchoneros'” goal this season - around 3.6. Our choice is - total corners under 10.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    The head-to-head meetings between Real and Atletico are renowned for their unpredictability. Traditionally, both the "Whites" and the "Mattress Makers" delight their fans with goals scored. The last instance where there was no exchange of goals was three years ago - in the La Liga season of 2021/22. Our editorial's prediction for the final score is 1:1. The key choice is both teams to score (yes).

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -127*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (2 March 2025, 20:24)

    Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Atletico Madrid

    Atletico Madrid have won
    atletico-madrid-1in last 5 games (Champions League).
    Atletico Madrid Win
    MyBookie
    +320
    Real Madrid have won
    real-madrid-1in last 5 games (Champions League).
    Real Madrid Win
    Bovada
    -115
    Atletico Madrid have not lost
    atletico-madrid-1in 25 of last 26 games.
    atletico-madrid-1in 13 of last 14 away games.
    Atletico Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -106
    Real Madrid have not lost
    real-madrid-1atletico-madrid-1in last 10 home games against Atletico Madrid.
    real-madrid-1in 9 of last 10 home games.
    real-madrid-1in 7 of last 8 games.
    Real Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -417
    View more facts

    Real Madrid - Atletico Table position

    UEFA Champions League 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    861111-119
    5.
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    860220-1218
    6.
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    851215-716
    10.
    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund
    850322-1215
    11.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    850320-1215
    12.
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    850320-1215

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 13
    +4
    -2
    14 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    1
    3
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    14
    13
    Conceded
    16
    3
    Match goals average
    3
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    66'
    View all stats