Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔈 What will be the outcome of the "Madrid Derby" in the 7th round of the Spanish La Liga? The highlight of the upcoming weekend in La Liga will be the clash between Atletico and Real Madrid at the Wanda Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's squad has had a disappointing start to the new season, failing to meet their fans' expectations. Meanwhile, Los Blancos appear to be the most consistent and skillful team, showing no apparent weaknesses. It's reasonable that despite playing away, bookmakers are favoring the visitors as the favorites for this encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The "Madrid Derby" boasts a rich history and consistently draws millions of viewers from around the globe. Let's take a look at the outcomes from the last 10 head-to-head encounters: 3 wins for the "Colchoneros", 4 draws, and 3 victories for the "Merengues". Interestingly, in the last 5 La Liga clashes, Real Madrid have been unable to overcome Diego Simeone's side. Can Xabi Alonso break this winless streak? We'll find out this coming Saturday.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    21%
    12 Wins
    29%
    17 Draws
    50%
    29 Wins
    Total games
    58
    Total Goals Avg
    2.76
    Both teams scored
    60%
    1.16
    Total average
    1.6
    3.41
    Yellow cards
    2.6
    Last matches
    22.03.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    2.82
    1.3
    4
    1
    2
    15
    1
    4
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1
    2.82
    1.3
    4
    1
    2
    15
    1
    4
    08.01.26
    SSC
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    2.29
    1.20
    9
    1
    7
    7
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.29
    1.20
    9
    1
    7
    7
    0
    1
    27.09.25
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    2.34
    0.6
    7
    2
    17
    14
    5
    4
    5
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2.34
    0.6
    7
    2
    17
    14
    5
    4
    12.03.25
    UCL
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.12
    1.01
    10
    10
    11
    16
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    4
    1.12
    1.01
    10
    10
    11
    16
    2
    2
    04.03.25
    UCL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    0.72
    0.21
    6
    3
    10
    13
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.72
    0.21
    6
    3
    10
    13
    1
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Atletico Madrid Team Overview

    🔴 Despite suffering just one defeat in the new La Liga season, Atletico have secured only two wins in their first six matches. Currently, Diego Simeone's side have accumulated 9 points, placing them in a provisional 8th position in the league standings. The capital club already trails the league leaders by a significant 9 points. However, Atletico remain unbeaten in their last 7 matches at the Wanda Metropolitano, which certainly boosts their confidence ahead of the upcoming "capital derby."

    ⚪ In the previous round, Atletico gave their fans a scare at the Wanda Metropolitano, nearly dropping points against Rayo Vallecano (3-2). The standout performer was Julian Alvarez, who managed to score three goals. Persistent individual errors and ineffective positional defense have prevented the capital club from establishing stability and maintaining focus throughout their matches this season. Nonetheless, it's clear that the coaching staff should be evaluated closer to the start of the new year, once the numerous new signings have fully adapted to the tactical model and realities of Spanish football.

    Match Results: Atletico Madrid

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Girona
    Girona
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    W
    12.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    L
    05.05.26
    UCL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Real Madrid Team Overview

    ⚪ The "Los Blancos" are showcasing a perfect start to the new season. Xabi Alonso's squad currently sits alone at the top of the Spanish league standings. Moreover, the capital club boasts the most effective defensive line, conceding roughly 0.5 goals per match. Undoubtedly, Real Madrid is the most consistent team in the league at the moment, across all areas of play. Florentino Pérez's astute transfer strategy has allowed the "Galacticos" not only to maintain their core and tactical identity but also to make significant strides forward in their development.

    📌 During the week, "Los Blancos" traveled to the "Ciutat de València," where they managed to defeat local side Levante 4-1. It's worth noting how much trust Xabi Alonso places in his young talents-Arda Güler and Franco Mastantuono are gradually becoming indispensable pieces in the Spanish coach's tactical setup. The Argentine newcomer even marked his debut with a goal last round, finding the back of Mathew Ryan's net. An intriguing tactical move was deploying Álvaro Carreras as a left center-back, which added mobility to the defensive line.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    L
    03.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    Atletico Madrid

    📰 Following a sensational hat-trick against Rayo Vallecano (3-2), Julian Alvarez spoke to the media: "We needed those three points to regain our confidence. We've been playing well [in recent matches], but minor details have kept us from getting results. We need to keep working hard to extend our winning streak. Now we need to rest and focus on our home game in front of our fans. It's going to be a great show. We'll do everything we can to secure the three points." Diego Simeone also commented on the Argentine striker's success: "Julian is our best player. We need to take care of him and ensure he spends many years at Atletico. He has to help us, and we have to help him become even better. Julian provides us with tremendous support every time he influences the outcome of matches."

    ❌ In the capital club's injury list are Thiago Almada (muscle injury), Jose Maria Gimenez (thigh injury), and Johnny Cardoso (ankle injury).

    Real Madrid

    📰 Let's note that Xabi Alonso continues to break records at the helm of Real Madrid. The Spaniard has become only the second coach in the club's history to win his first six matches in La Liga. The last to achieve this was Luxemburgo back in 2005. After his team's latest victory, Alonso said: "We just finished the match, and I was focused on it. Tomorrow, we'll start thinking about the derby. Vini played a decisive and very important role. We are in a phase of growth and building. It's been 51 days, and there's still a long way to go. We continue to lay a solid foundation to be competitive in the Champions League, La Liga, and the Cup. Many feel involved, which is crucial. There are still things to improve, areas where we can do better. We are on the right path-both in terms of results and how we work. This is just the beginning, and we want to keep competing successfully."

    ❌ In Real Madrid's injury list, Trent Alexander-Arnold (hamstring injury), Ferland Mendy (hamstring injury), and Antonio Rüdiger (thigh injury) remain sidelined.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    Atletico have been committing more fouls this season compared to Real Madrid: 2.2 versus 1.3 per game. This trend is even more pronounced in their head-to-head matchups: 3.6 against 2.5. Our editorial team anticipates that the visitors will aim to secure positional advantage from the outset, with their rapid wingers forcing the hosts into frequent fouling. Thus, we suggest the following bet - Atletico to win on yellow cards with a handicap (0).

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    The "Madrid Derby" rarely features overly dynamic football, yet both teams have scored in 10 of the last 11 encounters between Atletico and Real Madrid. Diego Simeone's side have been more aggressive in the attacking half in recent seasons and will likely maintain their pressure. Meanwhile, the visitors are known for their wing play and will create several scoring opportunities. We recommend the following bet - both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In 5 of the last 6 head-to-head matchups, there were no more than 10 corner kicks. This trend is also evident in 8 of Real Madrid's last 10 matches. It's worth noting the low number of corners each team concedes: Atletico at 2.7 and Real Madrid at 3.7 per game. Considering all of this, our pick is - total corners under 10.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Atletico's inconsistency is likely to show in the "Madrid derby." Diego Simeone's side lacks conviction in both attacking and defensive phases. In stark contrast, the "Los Blancos" are currently the best-prepared team in the league, even though Xabi Alonso hasn't fully implemented his ideas or maximized his players' potential yet. We anticipate a final score of 1-2, with the key pick being Real Madrid to win with a (0) handicap.

    Our choice
    Real Madrid Handicap (0) at odds of -128*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 September 2025, 08:56)

    Betting Tips: Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid

    Real Madrid have won the 2nd half
    real-madrid-1in 6 of last 7 away games.
    2nd Half Real Madrid Win
    Everygame
    +155
    Atletico Madrid have won
    atletico-madrid-1in 7 of last 8 home games.
    atletico-madrid-1in 6 of last 7 home games (La Liga).
    Atletico Madrid Win
    Bovada
    +215
    Real Madrid have won
    real-madrid-1in 11 of last 12 games.
    real-madrid-1in last 9 games (La Liga).
    real-madrid-1in 7 of last 8 away games (La Liga).
    real-madrid-1in last 5 away games.
    Real Madrid Win
    MyBookie
    +130
    Atletico Madrid have not lost
    atletico-madrid-1real-madrid-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Real Madrid.
    atletico-madrid-1in 16 of last 17 home games (La Liga).
    atletico-madrid-1in last 8 home games.
    atletico-madrid-1in 7 of last 8 games (La Liga).
    Atletico Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -156
    View more facts

    Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid Table position

    LaLiga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    38311695-3694
    2.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    38275677-3586
    3.
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    382261072-4672
    4.
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    382161162-4469
    5.
    Real Betis
    Real Betis
    381515859-4860

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 16
    -2
    +4
    17 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    17
    16
    Conceded
    13
    3
    Match goals average
    3
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    66'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats