Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

    🔊 Will the "Colchoneros" be able to turn the tide against the "Merengues"? Next Wednesday, the Wanda Metropolitano arena will be buzzing. On its pitch, a return leg of the Champions League Round of 16 will take place between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid. The match's main referee will be the renowned Pole Szymon Marciniak. Bookmakers predict an even game, unable to highlight a specific favorite. Let's look at the odds: a win for the "Indians" - 2.5, a victory for the "Galacticos" - 2.7.

    Head-to-Head

    Last week, the "Galacticos" achieved a hard-fought victory at the "Santiago Bernabeu" (2:1). However, ahead of the head-to-head clash at the "Wanda Metropolitano," there are quite a few positive aspects for Real. In fact, only once in the last 7 away games have the "Los Blancos" succeeded against Diego Simeone's squad. In the Champions League, they have never achieved a victory at Atletico's home ground - 1 draw and 2 losses.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    21%
    12 Wins
    29%
    17 Draws
    50%
    29 Wins
    Total games
    58
    Total Goals Avg
    2.76
    Both teams scored
    60%
    1.16
    Total average
    1.6
    3.41
    Yellow cards
    2.6
    Last matches
    22.03.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    2.82
    1.3
    4
    1
    2
    15
    1
    4
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1
    2.82
    1.3
    4
    1
    2
    15
    1
    4
    08.01.26
    SSC
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    2.29
    1.20
    9
    1
    7
    7
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.29
    1.20
    9
    1
    7
    7
    0
    1
    27.09.25
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    2.34
    0.6
    7
    2
    17
    14
    5
    4
    5
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2.34
    0.6
    7
    2
    17
    14
    5
    4
    12.03.25
    UCL
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.12
    1.01
    10
    10
    11
    16
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    4
    1.12
    1.01
    10
    10
    11
    16
    2
    2
    04.03.25
    UCL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    0.72
    0.21
    6
    3
    10
    13
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.72
    0.21
    6
    3
    10
    13
    1
    0
    Empty
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    Atletico Madrid Team Overview

    After the defeat in the first match against Real (1:2), the "Colchoneros" unexpectedly lost to Getafe (1:2) in the next round of La Liga. Ángel Correa's sending off in the 88th minute affected the players' concentration and psychological state, and they conceded two goals at the end. However, it is unlikely that Diego Simeone will face a problem preparing his players for the upcoming match. A positive piece of news for the fans of the capital club was that the injuries of Rodrigo De Paul and Clément Lenglet were not serious. Both players are ready to offer their services next Wednesday. Let's pay attention to the tactical aspects that were characteristic of Atlético in the confrontation with Real (1:2) a week ago. The "Colchoneros" utilized a line of three central defenders. The formation often took the shape of 3-2-4-1. The roles of the wing-backs in Diego Simeone's tactical model are intriguing. While on the left, there was a profile defender in the person of Javi Galán, on the right was Giuliano Simeone, who is more attack-oriented. The pair of holding midfielders (Barrios - De Paul) allowed for saturating the midfield and making a quick transition from defense to attack.

    Match Results: Atletico Madrid

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Girona
    Girona
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    W
    12.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    L
    05.05.26
    UCL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Real Madrid Team Overview

    In the second half of the season, Real has truly transformed, particularly in terms of the quality of football. The use of the 4-3-3 tactical formation unleashes the potential of the star-studded "Galacticos" trio. For instance, in the recent encounter with Rayo Vallecano (2:1), Jude Bellingham stayed in a deeper position, which allowed more freedom for Rodrygo, Mbappe, and Vinicius. In our opinion, Carlo Ancelotti's plan for the rematch with Atletico should remain unchanged. A major positive development in recent days is the return of Antonio Rudiger and Thibaut Courtois to the squad, who missed the last La Liga match. However, Dani Carvajal, Dani Ceballos, Eder Militao, and Jesus Vallejo remain unavailable due to injuries. Federico Valverde deserves special mention. Due to issues on the right flank of defense, the Uruguayan, thanks to his versatility, is required to cover this position. It is worth noting that the 26-year-old player manages this task excellently. His good first pass and field vision allow him to effectively operate as an inverted fullback.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    L
    03.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    In 5 of the last 7 matches involving the "Colchoneros," goals were scored by both sides. A similar trend is observed in 8 of the previous 10 matches of Real. Finally, the same situation occurred in each of the 10 recent head-to-head encounters. Let's also note the average scoring performance of the teams during the current Champions League season: "Indians" - 2.3, "Los Blancos" - 2.5. We'll go with the following bet - both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In each of the last 5 head-to-head matches between the teams, no more than 10 corner kicks were recorded. An identical trend characterizes 7 of the previous 8 encounters involving Atletico. Let's note the modest number of corners conceded by both teams in the current Champions League season: "Colchoneros" - 3.4, "Los Blancos" - 4.6. Our choice is - total corners under 10.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Predicting the winner of the return match is difficult. The Madrid derby is traditionally unpredictable. For example, in 7 of the last 9 head-to-head matches, a draw was recorded. We suggest focusing on the trend of scoring ability. In the last 10 personal encounters, both sides scored goals. The necessity for the "Rojiblancos" to reduce the deficit and the "Galacticos'" lethal transitions will impact the number of successful shots on goal. Our prediction for the final score is 2:2. Key bet - both teams to score (yes).

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -189*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 March 2025, 07:03)

    Betting Tips: Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid

    Atletico Madrid have won the 2nd half
    atletico-madrid-1in 7 of last 8 home games.
    2nd Half Atletico Madrid Win
    Everygame
    +185
    Real Madrid have won
    real-madrid-1in last 6 games (Champions League).
    Real Madrid Win
    Everygame
    +160
    Atletico Madrid have not lost
    atletico-madrid-1in 18 of last 19 home games.
    Atletico Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -208
    Real Madrid have not lost
    real-madrid-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    real-madrid-1in last 6 games (Champions League).
    Real Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid Table position

    UEFA Champions League 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    861111-119
    5.
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    860220-1218
    6.
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    851215-716
    10.
    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund
    850322-1215
    11.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    850320-1215
    12.
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    850320-1215

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 16
    -2
    +4
    17 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    17
    16
    Conceded
    13
    3
    Match goals average
    3
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    66'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats