Tijuana vs Pumas Prediction 29 August 2026
🔊 Both sides have plenty to play for, with a place in the Liga MX knockout stage on the line: Tijuana are already in the top eight, while UNAM Pumas are just one point behind. Neither team has been in great form recently, though the statistics point to a difference in finishing and defensive reliability. At home, the hosts have been solid - just one defeat since the start of 2025 - and will be looking to keep that record going in front of their own fans.
Head-to-Head
📊 In 29 official meetings between Tijuana and UNAM Pumas, each side has won 10 times, with nine draws. The goal tally is almost identical - 38 for one side, 39 for the other. On average, the teams combine for 1.21 goals in the first half and 1.45 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.66. The last meeting ended 1-1. It was a fairly even game, though the visitors created slightly more danger, posting an xG of 1.88 compared to 0.82 for the hosts.
Head-to-head statistics Tijuana - Pumas
Tijuana Team Overview
Tijuana have had a difficult run, winning just one of their last five matches. Over their last ten, they have four wins, four defeats and two draws - a side caught between consistency and finding the right combination. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, which points to a defence that is not entirely reliable, though there is some attacking threat. At home, they look more assured, and the numbers back that up: Tijuana have gone unbeaten in 21 of their last 22 Liga MX home matches.
Match Results: Tijuana
Pumas UNAM Team Overview
UNAM Pumas are going through a difficult run - no wins in their last five matches, with three defeats and two draws. Over the previous ten games, they managed just two wins against five losses and three draws, which highlights a lack of consistency. Their average of one goal per game across that period reflects a broader drop in attacking output, and they haven't scored more than once in any of their last five matches. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.4 goals per game, and away from home they rarely impose a high tempo or play with much aggression. The motivation is still there - Pumas are just one point outside the playoff places - but their recent form gives little reason to expect a sudden turnaround.
Match Results: Pumas UNAM
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 29;
- first-half wins for the home side - 7; for the away side - 0; draws - 8;
- average first-half total: 1.21;
- today's hosts average 0.66 first-half goals, the visitors 0.55.
First-half stats: Tijuana (home) vs UNAM Pumas (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 2;
- wins: 1 (33.33%) vs 1 (50%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
- draws: 2 (66.67%) vs 0 (0%);
- average goals scored: 1 vs 2.5;
- average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 1.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 5 vs 4;
- average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.7).
- UNAM Pumas have conceded in the first half in each of their last five away matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average totals):
- home team - 1.31, away team - 1.34;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.66;
- both teams scored: all time - 15 times; at the home team's ground - 6 times.
Average total stats: Tijuana vs UNAM Pumas
- in the tournament: 3 vs 2.8;
- goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.6;
- 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.6;
- 2nd half: 1.2 vs 1;
- Tijuana: at home in the tournament - 2;
- UNAM Pumas: away in the tournament - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 2.25) vs 1 (away - 1.33).
- UNAM Pumas have scored under 1.5 goals in five consecutive matches.
Corners Prediction
Tijuana: Statistics
- Season: average corners per match in the league - 2.8; at home - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average corners per match - 3.3; at home - 3.75.
UNAM Pumas: Statistics
- Season: average corners per match in the league - 4.8; away - 0.5;
- Last 10 matches: average corners per match - 4.6; away - 2.67.
- UNAM Pumas have taken fewer than 3.5 corners in five consecutive away matches (Liga MX).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 29;
- both teams scored (all-time) - 15 times;
- at the home side's ground - 6 times.
Stats: Tijuana vs UNAM Pumas
- matches played this season: 5 vs 5;
- matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 3 vs 3;
- Tijuana: BTTS at home - 2 (67%);
- UNAM Pumas: BTTS away - 2 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS: 5 vs 5;
- Tijuana: BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- UNAM Pumas: BTTS away - 3 (50%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent scorelines (current season):
- most common scoreline in the competition: 1-2 (5/45, 11.1%), 2-1 (5/45, 11.1%);
- Tijuana's most frequent home scorelines: 1-0, 2-1, 3-1 (1/3, 33.3%);
- UNAM Pumas' most frequent away scorelines: 1-2, 1-5 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistical data and probability distribution, the algorithm's top 3 predicted scorelines are:
1-1 - 12% (odds 6.5)
2-1 - 8.95% (odds 8.5)
1-0 - 7.53% (odds 8)
⭐ Editor's Pick
UNAM Pumas' recent run without any attacking output is backed up by a clear trend: they have failed to score more than one goal in five consecutive matches. Even setting aside their season average, the visitors' recent form points to a drop in attacking output - they have averaged just one goal per game over their last ten matches. Tijuana are not particularly solid defensively, but they play pragmatically and rarely concede heavily at home. Both sides have plenty to play for in the playoff race, though that tends to breed caution rather than an open game with goals from the visitors. We're predicting a final score of 2-1. The main bet is UNAM Pumas Team Total - Under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Tijuana - Pumas UNAM
in last 5 home games (Liga MX).
in 7 of last 8 games against Pumas UNAM (Liga MX).in 12 of last 13 away games (Liga MX).
in 21 of last 22 home games (Liga MX).in 9 of last 10 games (Liga MX).in last 8 home games (Liga MX).in 8 of last 9 games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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