Spurs vs Knicks Prediction 14 June 2026
π Can the home side recover from the emotionally devastating outcome of their last meeting in the series? In Game 5 of the NBA Finals, the San Antonio Spurs are set to host the New York Knicks. The Texas outfit trail 1-3 in the series and have only themselves to blame for their predicament, having somehow let victory slip from their grasp in Game 4 - a collapse that contributed to the largest comeback in Finals history. Letβs break down what to expect from this high-stakes showdown and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
π Heading into the Finals, the Spurs held a seven-game head-to-head advantage over the Knicks (23 wins to 16). However, that gap has narrowed after three straight victories by New York. The Knicksβ most recent triumph came on June 11, when Brownβs side edged out a 107-106 win on their home court.
Head-to-head statistics Spurs - Knicks

San Antonio Spurs Team Overview
San Antonio, during the previous game of the series, were likely already picturing themselves back home, imagining how they would finish off the Knicks with the series tied at 2-2. And who could blame them? Early in the third quarter, Johnsonβs squad were up by 29 points. The problem was that this mindset took hold far too deeply in the heads of Wembanyama and company-they all but disappeared from the court and allowed their opponents to pull off the greatest comeback in NBA Finals history. With just nine minutes left on the clock, the Spurs still led by 20, but their inexperience and complacency triggered a string of disastrous decisions.
Now, the coach faces a huge task: rebuilding his teamβs mental resilience. If they canβt bounce back from such a knockout blow, this series could easily swing heavily in New Yorkβs favor. Itβs hard to explain how a team that dominated so completely in the first half could unravel so spectacularly after halftime without pointing to psychological issues. The collapse was epitomized by Wembanyamaβs struggles in the fourth quarter-he hit just 2 of 9 from the field and missed two crucial free throws in the clutch with San Antonio up by one. After the final buzzer, every Spurs player insisted theyβd regroup and come back stronger for Game 5. But will they deliver when it matters?
Match Results: San Antonio Spurs

New York Knicks Team Overview
After their dramatic comeback in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals against Cleveland-where the Knicks erased a 22-point deficit in the final eight minutes-it seemed New York had already pulled off their most stunning feat. But they managed to surprise their fans yet again. With a heroic performance from Brunson and a career night from Anunoby (who poured in 33 points, including the game-winning bucket in the closing seconds), Brownβs squad rallied for another epic turnaround, moving just one win away from their first championship since 1973.
Looking back, the Knicks have clawed their way back from double-digit deficits in each of the first two games of this series. If any team looks primed for glory, itβs New York-the Spurs simply havenβt shown the same mental toughness or resilience under pressure. After a first half where the Knicks looked completely outmatched, it seemed even a miracle wouldnβt save them this time. But Brown made key defensive adjustments, shutting down Texasβ easy drives to the paint, which sparked New Yorkβs offense led by Brunson. Alvarado also made a huge impact off the bench, replacing the struggling Bridges and providing a second playmaker, while Towns knocked down several tough shots in the second half.
Match Results: New York Knicks
Latest news
San Antonio Spurs
β San Antonio have a full roster available for tonight's game.
π Projected starting lineup: Wembanyama, Fox, Champagnie, Castle, Vassell.
New York Knicks
β The Knicks are also free of injury concerns.
π Projected lineup: Hart, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, Towns.
π Top Scorers
Victor Wembanyama remains San Antonioβs main offensive weapon in the playoffs, averaging 23.4 points per game. Even in the clubβs disappointing loss to the Knicks, the French phenom still put up 24 points and has promised a strong response in the next contest. Trusting in Wembanyamaβs bounce-back ability, weβre backing Wembanyama over 27.5 points at odds of 1.83*.
For New York, the go-to scorer is once again Jalen Brunson, who is putting up 27.4 points per game this postseason. In the previous matchup with the Spurs, the point guard delivered his best performance of the series, pouring in 36 points on 12-of-25 shooting. Given his current momentum and facing a shaken opponent, we expect Jalen to have another big night. Take Brunson over 27.5 points at 1.85*.
π Three-Pointers
San Antonio are shooting 36.1% from beyond the arc in the playoffs, but broke out in Game 4 by draining 17 threes-14 of those coming before halftime, finishing at 39.5% for the game. However, itβs hard to believe the Spurs can repeat such an anomaly after a heavy psychological blow. Weβre taking Spurs under 12.5 made threes at odds of 1.83*.
The Knicks lead all postseason teams in three-point accuracy at 39.5%. In their last meeting with San Antonio, Tom Thibodeauβs squad hit a blistering 46.8% from deep, knocking down 15-of-32 attempts-a key ingredient in their remarkable comeback. With New York consistently performing well from long range in the playoffs, we recommend backing Knicks over 13.5 made threes at 1.95*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different sportsbooks.
Editorial Prediction
It feels like San Antonio, having let a sure victory slip away in the previous game, may have made a costly mistake that they wonβt be able to recover from with the series at 1-3. The pressure from the media and fans after such a collapse is unlikely to allow this young Spurs roster to bounce back quickly or fix their mistakes effectively. That gives the visitors a strong chance to close out the finals in Texas-provided they deliver a full four quarters at their best, not just two. Even if New York canβt seal it, this matchup should remain tight and go down to the wire, with only a narrow margin separating the teams at the end. The smart play here looks to be backing New York with a +8.5 handicap.