Knicks vs Spurs Prediction 11 June 2026
🔊 Can the revitalized Texans level the series? In Game 4 of the NBA playoff finals, the New York Knicks take on the San Antonio Spurs. After securing two road victories, Brown’s squad hoped to extend their commanding lead in front of President Trump, but Wembanyama and company had other ideas, seizing control in the final quarter to cut the deficit. With the series now at 2-1, this matchup feels pivotal for the remainder of the battle. Let’s break down the clash and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 In head-to-head matchups, San Antonio hold a slight edge, having won 24 out of 42 encounters. The most recent game in the current Finals series also went the Spurs’ way, as they claimed a 115-111 victory.
Head-to-head statistics Knicks - Spurs
New York Knicks Team Overview
New York’s playoff winning streak, which lasted just over a month, came to a halt at 13 games. Game 3 was a fiercely contested battle, with the lead swinging back and forth right up until the final minutes. This time, though, Brown’s squad couldn’t replicate the remarkable cohesion they had displayed in the two matchups in Texas. Brunson still put up his usual 32 points, but he also led all players with five turnovers. Towns had a quiet night, converting just four of his ten field goal attempts.
Anunoby was really the only Knick to stand out, finishing with 28 points and making life difficult for San Antonio on both ends of the floor. However, his strong performance was overshadowed by New York’s costly turnovers-13 in total, which the Spurs turned into 21 points. By contrast, Brown’s side managed only seven points off eight San Antonio giveaways. Overall, the Knicks looked both disjointed and overly tense. Perhaps the presence of Trump-marking the first time a sitting U.S. president has attended an NBA Finals game-added extra pressure? Whatever the reason, this storied franchise needs to quickly rediscover their intensity and chemistry, or San Antonio will be more than happy to seize control of the series.
Match Results: New York Knicks
San Antonio Spurs Team Overview
San Antonio knew that dropping a third straight game would all but seal their fate, so they approached the showdown in New York as if it were their last. Johnson’s squad finally cracked the code inside the paint and seized their chance to claw back into the series. Wembanyama and Castle emerged as the main offensive catalysts, combining for 55 points.
Johnson made tactical adjustments on offense-his team relied less on the set plays that featured prominently in their two home games. Instead, they utilized double drag screens and expertly created space at the rim for Wembanyama. San Antonio delivered their most cohesive offensive performance of the series, outclassing the Knicks in assists by a wide margin (28 to 18). Increased aggression and efficiency on offense naturally led to more trips to the free-throw line-a crucial factor that offset New York’s edge from beyond the arc. Harper’s growing role continues to be evident, as he matched Wembanyama’s shot attempts with 18 apiece.
Match Results: San Antonio Spurs
Latest news
New York Knicks
✅ The Knicks have a full squad available for this game.
📋 Projected starting lineup: Hart, Anunoby, Bridges, Towns, Brunson.
San Antonio Spurs
✅ Spurs also report a clean bill of health, with no players sidelined.
📋 Projected starting lineup: Wembanyama, Fox, Champagnie, Castle, Vassell.
🔝 Top Scorers
For the Knicks, Brunson remains their go-to scorer, averaging 26.9 points per game in the playoffs. He delivered 32 points in the previous finals clash. However, let's focus on Towns, who struggled last time out with just 11 points. We expect the big man, stung by that performance, to bounce back in this matchup, so we're backing Towns over 17.5 points at odds of 1.87*.
For the Spurs, Wembanyama leads the way, putting up 23.6 points per game this postseason. He exploded for 32 points against the Knicks in their last meeting, arguably delivering his best showing of the series. With renewed confidence, the Frenchman looks primed to shine again in Game 4. We're taking Wembanyama over 27.5 points at 1.79*.
🏀 Three-Point Shooting
The Knicks top the playoffs in three-point accuracy at 39.3%. Their percentage dipped slightly to 35.1% in the last game, but Brown’s squad still knocked down 13 triples on a hefty 37 attempts. Expect New York to keep leaning on their perimeter shooting, making Knicks over 12.5 threes at 1.91* a logical play.
The Spurs trail their rivals in long-range efficiency, shooting 35.9% from deep in the postseason. Still, they managed to hit 12 threes against one of the league’s best perimeter defenses last time out. With improved ball movement and growing confidence, the Texans should be just as effective in Game 4. We’re backing San Antonio over 12.5 threes at 1.87*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
Editorial Prediction
The previous game in this series showed that San Antonio are back to full strength, having figured out how to break free from New York’s relentless defense and fully unlock Wembanyama’s offensive arsenal. The hosts didn’t look as solid at the back as they did earlier, but still maintain an impressive scoring threat on the other end of the floor. These trends are likely to shape the character of this contest-both teams’ attacking prowess currently outweighs their defensive efforts. Towns and Bridges are expected to step up and play with greater aggression, and when you add San Antonio’s surging offense into the mix, this matchup has all the makings of a high-scoring affair. We’re backing over 213.5 total points-that bet has hit in each of the Spurs’ last eight games on the road.
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Betting Tips: New York Knicks - San Antonio Spurs
in 13 of last 14 games (NBA).
in 7 of last 8 games (NBA).in last 6 games (NBA).in 15 of last 16 New York Knicks home games against San Antonio Spurs (NBA).in 11 of last 12 New York Knicks home games (NBA).
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