Sporting vs Benfica Prediction
🔊 Who will kick off the season with a resounding victory? The offseason flew by, and on July 31, Portuguese football makes its return! Sporting and Benfica are set to clash in the Super Cup at the Algarve Stadium in Faro. The league champions and Portuguese Cup holders will face off against the League Cup winners. Bookmakers have the Eagles as slight favorites, and in our prediction, we'll delve into who has the better chance of lifting the coveted trophy.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 25 May 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Benfica Lisbon):
- ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 8;
- fouls: 25 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 8 vs 10.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon:
- played 51 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 23, draws - 14;
- number of goals - 59 against 79;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.14, in the 2nd half - 1.57;
- average total goals in the match - 2.71.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
The last match took place on July 25, with Sporting hosting Villarreal. The game ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Sporting vs Villarreal):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 4 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
🦁 Sporting wrapped up the season on a high note, clinching both the league title and the cup, leaving Benfica trailing in both instances. The Lions didn't participate in the Club World Cup, so they settled for friendly matches during the summer. They started with two losses but ended July on a positive note by defeating Sunderland and Villarreal with identical 1-0 scores. This sets them up in good spirits for the Super Cup clash.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

Benfica Lisbon Team Overview
The visiting side last played on July 26, with Benfica hosting Fenerbahce. The match concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here are the game stats (Benfica vs Fenerbahce):
- possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 9 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 3.
🦅 Benfica lost out on major trophies to Sporting, which means they can't really count last season as a success, even though they did win the League Cup. However, unlike their direct rivals, the Eagles participated in the Club World Cup and performed well, advancing from a challenging group that included Bayern Munich and Boca Juniors. Bruno Lage's side exited the tournament in the Round of 16, falling to the eventual champions Chelsea (1-4 in overtime). They played just one friendly match, securing a deserved victory over Fenerbahce (3-2) thanks to a brace from Henrique Araújo.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon
Latest news
Sporting Lisbon
📝 Sporting need to adjust to life without Viktor Gyökeres, who has indeed moved to Arsenal for €65.8 million. However, the club has no intention of playing without a true striker. Just a few days ago, they announced the signing of Luis Suárez from Almería for €22.2 million. The Colombian was the top scorer in last season's Segunda Division, netting 27 goals and providing 8 assists in 41 matches.
❌ Daniel Bragança has been sidelined since February due to a knee injury, while João Simões made an appearance in the recent match against Villarreal, but is now dealing with health issues and is at risk of missing the Super Cup game as well.
Benfica Lisbon
📝 Benfica have seen a flurry of transfer activity, including several departures, so let's focus on the key ones. The team has lost some of its leaders: Álvaro Carreras, Orkun Kökçü, and Ángel Di María. The most high-profile signing is defensive midfielder Richard Rios from Palmeiras for €27 million. João Félix's return was also in contention for this title, but the transfer fell through at the last moment as Cristiano Ronaldo convinced his compatriot to join Al-Nassr.
❌ In the upcoming match, central defender Alexander Bah will be absent, having been sidelined since winter with a cruciate ligament tear. Forward Bruma, who is not a regular starter, is also doubtful.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 51;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 23, draws - 14.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.16, the guests - 1.55;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.71;
- both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 13.
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Sporting Lisbon.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.14 (2.57 - for home team and 2.57 - for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 5.04 (2.26 - for home team and 2.78 - for away team).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 51;
- both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
- Sporting Lisbon have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games against Benfica Lisbon.
Editor's Prediction
With teams just returning from a break, it's tough to predict the flow of the game. We don't anticipate total dominance from either side, expecting instead a back-and-forth encounter with shifts in momentum. Sporting and Benfica might not rack up the goals, given the players are not in peak condition, but we do foresee both teams finding the net regardless of the circumstances. This is supported by the fact that the bet on both teams to score (yes) has come through in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings. We anticipate this trend to continue, allowing for a potential 1-1 draw in regulation time.