Sporting vs Benfica Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Who will kick off the season with a resounding victory? The offseason flew by, and on July 31, Portuguese football makes its return! Sporting and Benfica are set to clash in the Super Cup at the Algarve Stadium in Faro. The league champions and Portuguese Cup holders will face off against the League Cup winners. Bookmakers have the Eagles as slight favorites, and in our prediction, we'll delve into who has the better chance of lifting the coveted trophy.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 25 May 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Benfica Lisbon):

    • ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 8;
    • fouls: 25 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 10.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon:

    • played 51 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 23, draws - 14;
    • number of goals - 59 against 79;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.14, in the 2nd half - 1.57;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.71.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    26%
    14 Wins
    28%
    15 Draws
    46%
    25 Wins
    Total games
    54
    Total Goals Avg
    2.67
    Both teams scored
    59%
    1.13
    Total average
    1.54
    2.65
    Yellow cards
    2.78
    Last matches
    19.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    05.12.25
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.34
    0.49
    3
    2
    15
    20
    2
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.34
    0.49
    3
    2
    15
    20
    2
    5
    31.07.25
    Super Cup
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.8
    0.5
    4
    7
    15
    14
    5
    5
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.8
    0.5
    4
    7
    15
    14
    5
    5
    25.05.25
    Taca de Portugal
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.31
    0.41
    7
    8
    25
    14
    4
    4
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0.31
    0.41
    7
    8
    25
    14
    4
    4
    10.05.25
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    1.38
    0.29
    6
    2
    24
    14
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.38
    0.29
    6
    2
    24
    14
    4
    2
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    Sporting Lisbon Team Overview

    The last match took place on July 25, with Sporting hosting Villarreal. The game ended with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Sporting vs Villarreal):

    • possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corners: 4 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 1.

    🦁 Sporting wrapped up the season on a high note, clinching both the league title and the cup, leaving Benfica trailing in both instances. The Lions didn't participate in the Club World Cup, so they settled for friendly matches during the summer. They started with two losses but ended July on a positive note by defeating Sunderland and Villarreal with identical 1-0 scores. This sets them up in good spirits for the Super Cup clash.

    Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    SCU Torreense
    SCU Torreense
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    L
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    W
    04.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    W
    29.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Tondela
    Tondela
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    D
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    Benfica Lisbon Team Overview

    The visiting side last played on July 26, with Benfica hosting Fenerbahce. The match concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.

    Here are the game stats (Benfica vs Fenerbahce):

    • possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
    • corners: 9 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 3.

    🦅 Benfica lost out on major trophies to Sporting, which means they can't really count last season as a success, even though they did win the League Cup. However, unlike their direct rivals, the Eagles participated in the Club World Cup and performed well, advancing from a challenging group that included Bayern Munich and Boca Juniors. Bruno Lage's side exited the tournament in the Round of 16, falling to the eventual champions Chelsea (1-4 in overtime). They played just one friendly match, securing a deserved victory over Fenerbahce (3-2) thanks to a brace from Henrique Araújo.

    Match Results: Benfica Lisbon

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1.9
    3.44
    2
    9
    9
    12
    3
    2
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    0
    1.9
    3.44
    2
    9
    9
    12
    3
    2
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Braga
    Braga
    3.55
    0.23
    8
    2
    6
    11
    1
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    3.55
    0.23
    8
    2
    6
    11
    1
    4
    D
    02.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1
    1.48
    1.49
    6
    4
    20
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.48
    1.49
    6
    4
    20
    14
    2
    2
    D
    25.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    2.69
    0.43
    9
    2
    13
    14
    2
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2.69
    0.43
    9
    2
    13
    14
    2
    2
    W
    19.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    W
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    Latest news

    Sporting Lisbon

    📝 Sporting need to adjust to life without Viktor Gyökeres, who has indeed moved to Arsenal for €65.8 million. However, the club has no intention of playing without a true striker. Just a few days ago, they announced the signing of Luis Suárez from Almería for €22.2 million. The Colombian was the top scorer in last season's Segunda Division, netting 27 goals and providing 8 assists in 41 matches.

    ❌ Daniel Bragança has been sidelined since February due to a knee injury, while João Simões made an appearance in the recent match against Villarreal, but is now dealing with health issues and is at risk of missing the Super Cup game as well.

    Benfica Lisbon

    📝 Benfica have seen a flurry of transfer activity, including several departures, so let's focus on the key ones. The team has lost some of its leaders: Álvaro Carreras, Orkun Kökçü, and Ángel Di María. The most high-profile signing is defensive midfielder Richard Rios from Palmeiras for €27 million. João Félix's return was also in contention for this title, but the transfer fell through at the last moment as Cristiano Ronaldo convinced his compatriot to join Al-Nassr.

    ❌ In the upcoming match, central defender Alexander Bah will be absent, having been sidelined since winter with a cruciate ligament tear. Forward Bruma, who is not a regular starter, is also doubtful.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 51;
    • home team wins - 14, away team wins - 23, draws - 14.
    👉Prediction: Sporting Lisbon Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.23)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 1.16, the guests - 1.55;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.71;
    • both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 13.
    Trends
    • Benfica Lisbon have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Sporting Lisbon.
    👉Prediction: Benfica Lisbon Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.64)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.14 (2.57 - for home team and 2.57 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 5.04 (2.26 - for home team and 2.78 - for away team).

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 51;
    • both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 13 times.
    Trends
    • Sporting Lisbon have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games against Benfica Lisbon.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.66)

    Editor's Prediction

    With teams just returning from a break, it's tough to predict the flow of the game. We don't anticipate total dominance from either side, expecting instead a back-and-forth encounter with shifts in momentum. Sporting and Benfica might not rack up the goals, given the players are not in peak condition, but we do foresee both teams finding the net regardless of the circumstances. This is supported by the fact that the bet on both teams to score (yes) has come through in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings. We anticipate this trend to continue, allowing for a potential 1-1 draw in regulation time.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -152*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (30 July 2025, 15:08)

    Betting Tips: Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon

    Sporting Lisbon have won
    sporting-cpin 7 of last 8 games.
    Sporting Lisbon Win
    Everygame
    +175
    Benfica Lisbon have not lost
    benfica-lisbonin 15 of last 17 games.
    Benfica Lisbon will not lose
    Everygame
    -244
    Sporting Lisbon have not lost
    sporting-cpbenfica-lisbonin last 7 games against Benfica Lisbon.
    sporting-cpin last 18 games.
    Sporting Lisbon will not lose
    Everygame
    -200
    Sporting Lisbon have conceded
    sporting-cpbenfica-lisbonin 13 of last 14 games against Benfica Lisbon.
    Benfica Lisbon have scored
    benfica-lisbonin 34 of last 35 games.
    Benfica Lisbon will score goal
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 0
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 9
    +9
    +12
    23 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    4
    Draws
    4
    2
    Loses
    0
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    23
    9
    Conceded
    11
    2.7
    Match goals average
    3.4
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.3
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    52'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    39'
    View all stats