Benfica vs Sporting Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 This is the marquee matchup of the Portuguese league round, promising plenty of drama. Benfica are set to face Sporting on their home turf. Both teams are in fine form, but a draw is unlikely to satisfy either side, as Porto could widen their lead at the top of the table. Our editorial team offers their prediction on the event. Let's consider where the smart money might be placed.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Benfica hold a significant advantage in their head-to-head encounters. The team also triumphed in the most recent clash during the Super Cup, which took place at the end of July 2025.

      H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

      46%
      25 Wins
      28%
      15 Draws
      26%
      14 Wins
      Total games
      54
      Total Goals Avg
      2.67
      Both teams scored
      59%
      1.54
      Total average
      1.13
      2.78
      Yellow cards
      2.65
      Last matches
      19.04.26
      Primeira Liga
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      1.98
      2.29
      3
      8
      13
      8
      2
      1
      1
      2
      0
      1
      1
      1
      1.98
      2.29
      3
      8
      13
      8
      2
      1
      05.12.25
      Primeira Liga
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      1
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      1.34
      0.49
      3
      2
      15
      20
      2
      5
      1
      1
      1
      1
      0
      0
      1.34
      0.49
      3
      2
      15
      20
      2
      5
      31.07.25
      Super Cup
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      0.8
      0.5
      4
      7
      15
      14
      5
      5
      0
      1
      0
      0
      0
      1
      0.8
      0.5
      4
      7
      15
      14
      5
      5
      25.05.25
      Taca de Portugal
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      0.31
      0.41
      7
      8
      25
      14
      4
      4
      1
      3
      0
      0
      1
      1
      0
      2
      0.31
      0.41
      7
      8
      25
      14
      4
      4
      10.05.25
      Primeira Liga
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      1
      1.38
      0.29
      6
      2
      24
      14
      4
      2
      1
      1
      0
      1
      1
      0
      1.38
      0.29
      6
      2
      24
      14
      4
      2
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      Benfica Lisbon Team Overview

      🔴 José Mourinho's team are gradually finding their stride after a series of mixed results. Benfica currently sit third in the table, trailing Porto by six points, despite remaining unbeaten domestically. The Eagles had a streak of league victories coupled with Champions League defeats, but that trend has finally been broken.

      ⚪️ Benfica secured a 2-0 victory over Ajax in the Champions League. This marks their first win in Europe's premier competition this season. Following this, Benfica also defeated Nacional 2-1. Notably, it was a come-from-behind victory, with the decisive goal scored in the 95th minute by Pavlidis, who comfortably leads as the club's top scorer.

      Match Results: Benfica Lisbon

      Last matches
      16.05.26
      Primeira Liga
      Estoril Praia
      Estoril Praia
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      1.9
      3.44
      2
      9
      9
      12
      3
      2
      1
      3
      0
      3
      1
      0
      1.9
      3.44
      2
      9
      9
      12
      3
      2
      W
      11.05.26
      Primeira Liga
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      Braga
      Braga
      3.55
      0.23
      8
      2
      6
      11
      1
      4
      2
      2
      0
      0
      2
      2
      3.55
      0.23
      8
      2
      6
      11
      1
      4
      D
      02.05.26
      Primeira Liga
      Famalicao
      Famalicao
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      1
      1.48
      1.49
      6
      4
      20
      14
      2
      2
      2
      2
      0
      2
      2
      0
      1.48
      1.49
      6
      4
      20
      14
      2
      2
      D
      25.04.26
      Primeira Liga
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      Moreirense
      Moreirense
      2.69
      0.43
      9
      2
      13
      14
      2
      2
      4
      1
      2
      1
      2
      0
      2.69
      0.43
      9
      2
      13
      14
      2
      2
      W
      19.04.26
      Primeira Liga
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      1.98
      2.29
      3
      8
      13
      8
      2
      1
      1
      2
      0
      1
      1
      1
      1.98
      2.29
      3
      8
      13
      8
      2
      1
      W
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      Sporting Lisbon Team Overview

      🟢 The team occupies the second spot in the standings, thanks to their frequent victories. Sporting appear significantly stronger compared to their closest rival. In the Champions League, their results are also superior (10 points earned compared to Benfica's 3). Notably, Sporting are unbeaten in 11 matches.

      ⚪️ Even in the latest round of the championship, the club showed no signs of struggle, unlike Benfica. Estrela were easily defeated with class (4-0). It was a dominant performance, with a 3-0 lead already established by the 25th minute. Luis Suarez scored twice, strengthening his position in the top scorers' race.

      Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

      Last matches
      24.05.26
      Taca de Portugal
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      1
      SCU Torreense
      SCU Torreense
      -
      -
      20
      2
      16
      17
      3
      3
      1
      2
      0
      1
      1
      0
      0
      1
      -
      -
      20
      2
      16
      17
      3
      3
      L
      16.05.26
      Primeira Liga
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      Gil Vicente Barcelos
      Gil Vicente Barcelos
      1.67
      0.88
      6
      1
      13
      14
      0
      1
      3
      0
      2
      0
      1
      0
      1.67
      0.88
      6
      1
      13
      14
      0
      1
      W
      11.05.26
      Primeira Liga
      Rio Ave
      Rio Ave
      2
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      0.81
      1.82
      5
      6
      9
      7
      1
      2
      1
      4
      1
      2
      0
      2
      0.81
      1.82
      5
      6
      9
      7
      1
      2
      W
      04.05.26
      Primeira Liga
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      Vitoria SC Guimaraes
      Vitoria SC Guimaraes
      4.23
      0.52
      1
      7
      7
      13
      0
      3
      5
      1
      3
      0
      2
      1
      4.23
      0.52
      1
      7
      7
      13
      0
      3
      W
      29.04.26
      Primeira Liga
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      Tondela
      Tondela
      2.19
      1.41
      5
      5
      16
      8
      2
      3
      2
      2
      0
      0
      2
      2
      2.19
      1.41
      5
      5
      16
      8
      2
      3
      D
      Empty
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      Latest news

      Benfica Lisbon

      🎙 According to José Mourinho's analysis, Benfica secured a well-deserved victory over Nacional in the 12th round of the League, played last Saturday, November 29, at Madeira Stadium. In an interview, the coach of the Reds emphatically stated the fairness of the outcome: "This is one of those wins where, if it had been a loss, I wouldn't have a word against my team or my players. I believe they played well from the first minute."

      ❌ Out of action are Bruma, Dodi Lukebakio, and Henrique Araújo. These players have yet to accumulate significant playing time this season.

      Sporting Lisbon

      🎙 Sporting Lisbon's head coach Rui Borges praised his team's efforts in their match against Club Brugge. The fifth round of the Champions League saw the Belgian side suffer a 3-0 defeat: "We settled the game against a tough opponent, who pressed us hard from the very first minute. We knew what they were capable of, but we showed great maturity, which was crucial. The team remained calm and confident."

      ❌ Zeno Debast is the main loss at the moment. The Belgian defender plays a vital role in the club. Additionally, forward Fotis Ioannidis is also sidelined.

      Prediction on the outcome

      H2H:

      • number of encounters - 52;
      • home team wins - 24, away team wins - 14, draws - 14.

      Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon

      • matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
      • wins: 8 vs 10;
      • win percentage: 67% vs 83%;
      • losses: 0 vs 1;
      • draws: 4 vs 1.

      Last 10 matches:

      • wins: 7 vs 9;
      • losses: 2 vs 0;
      • draws: 1 vs 1.
      👉Prediction: Sporting Lisbon Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.12)

      Prediction on the over/under

      H2H

      • today's home team scores on average - 1.54, the guests - 1.13;
      • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
      • both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 15.

      Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon

      • average total in the tournament: 2.67 vs 3.08;
      • average total goals scored: 2.08 vs 2.58;
      • average total in the 1st half: 0.92 vs 1;
      • average total in the 2nd half: 1.17 vs 1.58;
      • Benfica Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament -  2.33;
      • Sporting Lisbon: average total away in the tournament - 2.33;
      • last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.5) vs 2.8 (away - 2.25).
      Trends
      • Benfica Lisbon have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games against Sporting Lisbon.
      👉Prediction: Benfica Lisbon Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.47)

      Prediction on corners

      Benfica Lisbon: Statistics

      • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.83; at home field - 7.17;
      • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.4; at home field - 7.

      Sporting Lisbon: Statistics

      • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.5, away - 9.5;
      • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8.4; away - 11.75.
      👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (16.5)

      Prediction on cards

      H2H

      • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.62 (2.81 for home team and 2.81 for away team);
      • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.42 (2.67 for home team and 2.75 for away team).

      Benfica Lisbon: Statistics

      • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.67; at home - 2.5;
      • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 2.25.

      Sporting Lisbon: Statistics

      • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 2.17;
      • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 3.
      👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4.5)

      Prediction on BTTS

      H2H:

      • number of encounters - 52;
      • both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
      • on the home team’s field - 15 times.

      Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon

      • number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
      • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 5;
      • number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 4 (67%);
      • number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 3 (50%).

      Last 10 matches:

      • number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 5;
      • BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 1 (25%);
      • BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 3 (75%).
      Trends
      • Benfica Lisbon have scored and conceded in last 9 home games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
      👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.78)

      Editor's Prediction

      Wait for the bus-it’s the great and formidable José we're dealing with here. Benfica are still finding their footing, making it a tough challenge for them. Their often chaotic play makes earning points difficult, as evidenced by their Champions League matches. Additionally, their latest Primeira Liga match doesn’t inspire confidence-snatching a win in the final minutes against an average opponent isn't promising. Sporting, on the other hand, look almost flawless, with little to criticize them for. We suggest betting on Sporting not to lose the upcoming match, as this seems like the most reasonable option.

      Our choice
      Sporting Lisbon will not lose at odds of -213*
      Everygame
      Bet
      *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 December 2025, 09:56)

      Betting Tips: Benfica Lisbon - Sporting Lisbon

      Sporting Lisbon have won the 2nd half
      sporting-cpin 8 of last 9 games.
      2nd Half Sporting Lisbon Win
      Everygame
      +190
      Sporting Lisbon have won
      sporting-cpin 10 of last 11 away games (Primeira Liga).
      sporting-cpin 9 of last 10 games.
      sporting-cpin 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
      Sporting Lisbon Win
      Bovada
      +166
      Benfica Lisbon have not lost
      benfica-lisbonsporting-cpin 8 of last 9 home games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
      benfica-lisbonin last 25 games (Primeira Liga).
      benfica-lisbonin last 12 home games (Primeira Liga).
      benfica-lisbonin 7 of last 8 games.
      Benfica Lisbon will not lose
      Everygame
      -213
      Benfica Lisbon have not won
      benfica-lisbonsporting-cpin 7 of last 8 games against Sporting Lisbon.
      benfica-lisbonsporting-cpin 6 of last 7 home games against Sporting Lisbon.
      Sporting Lisbon have not lost
      sporting-cpin 30 of last 31 games (Primeira Liga).
      sporting-cpin 19 of last 20 away games.
      sporting-cpin last 15 away games (Primeira Liga).
      sporting-cpin last 11 games.
      Sporting Lisbon will not lose
      Everygame
      -250
      View more facts

      Benfica - Sporting Table position

      Liga Portugal 25/26
      gWDLGDPForm
      1.
      Porto
      Porto
      34284266-1888
      2.
      Sporting Lisbon
      Sporting Lisbon
      34257289-2482
      3.
      Benfica Lisbon
      Benfica Lisbon
      342311074-2580
      4.
      Braga
      Braga
      341611764-3659
      5.
      Famalicao
      Famalicao
      341511842-2956
      6.
      Gil Vicente Barcelos
      Gil Vicente Barcelos
      3413111047-3850

      Comparison of Teams Stats

      10 matches
      6 - Wins
      4 - Draws
      0 - Loses
      Wins - 4
      Draws - 4
      Loses - 2
      10 matches
      Scored - 23
      Conceded - 11
      +12
      +9
      18 - Scored
      9 - Conceded
      6
      Wins
      4
      4
      Draws
      4
      0
      Loses
      2
      Goal difference
      23
      Scored
      18
      11
      Conceded
      9
      3.4
      Match goals average
      2.7
      2.3
      Goals scored per match on average
      1.8
      1.1
      Goals conceded per match on average
      0.9
      8
      Both teams scored
      6
      39'
      Minutes / Goal scored
      52'
      View all stats