Benfica vs Sporting Prediction
🔊 This is the marquee matchup of the Portuguese league round, promising plenty of drama. Benfica are set to face Sporting on their home turf. Both teams are in fine form, but a draw is unlikely to satisfy either side, as Porto could widen their lead at the top of the table. Our editorial team offers their prediction on the event. Let's consider where the smart money might be placed.
Head-to-Head
📊 Benfica hold a significant advantage in their head-to-head encounters. The team also triumphed in the most recent clash during the Super Cup, which took place at the end of July 2025.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Benfica Lisbon Team Overview
🔴 José Mourinho's team are gradually finding their stride after a series of mixed results. Benfica currently sit third in the table, trailing Porto by six points, despite remaining unbeaten domestically. The Eagles had a streak of league victories coupled with Champions League defeats, but that trend has finally been broken.
⚪️ Benfica secured a 2-0 victory over Ajax in the Champions League. This marks their first win in Europe's premier competition this season. Following this, Benfica also defeated Nacional 2-1. Notably, it was a come-from-behind victory, with the decisive goal scored in the 95th minute by Pavlidis, who comfortably leads as the club's top scorer.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon

Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
🟢 The team occupies the second spot in the standings, thanks to their frequent victories. Sporting appear significantly stronger compared to their closest rival. In the Champions League, their results are also superior (10 points earned compared to Benfica's 3). Notably, Sporting are unbeaten in 11 matches.
⚪️ Even in the latest round of the championship, the club showed no signs of struggle, unlike Benfica. Estrela were easily defeated with class (4-0). It was a dominant performance, with a 3-0 lead already established by the 25th minute. Luis Suarez scored twice, strengthening his position in the top scorers' race.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon
Latest news
Benfica Lisbon
🎙 According to José Mourinho's analysis, Benfica secured a well-deserved victory over Nacional in the 12th round of the League, played last Saturday, November 29, at Madeira Stadium. In an interview, the coach of the Reds emphatically stated the fairness of the outcome: "This is one of those wins where, if it had been a loss, I wouldn't have a word against my team or my players. I believe they played well from the first minute."
❌ Out of action are Bruma, Dodi Lukebakio, and Henrique Araújo. These players have yet to accumulate significant playing time this season.
Sporting Lisbon
🎙 Sporting Lisbon's head coach Rui Borges praised his team's efforts in their match against Club Brugge. The fifth round of the Champions League saw the Belgian side suffer a 3-0 defeat: "We settled the game against a tough opponent, who pressed us hard from the very first minute. We knew what they were capable of, but we showed great maturity, which was crucial. The team remained calm and confident."
❌ Zeno Debast is the main loss at the moment. The Belgian defender plays a vital role in the club. Additionally, forward Fotis Ioannidis is also sidelined.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 52;
- home team wins - 24, away team wins - 14, draws - 14.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 8 vs 10;
- win percentage: 67% vs 83%;
- losses: 0 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 9;
- losses: 2 vs 0;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.54, the guests - 1.13;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 15.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon
- average total in the tournament: 2.67 vs 3.08;
- average total goals scored: 2.08 vs 2.58;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.92 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.17 vs 1.58;
- Benfica Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament - 2.33;
- Sporting Lisbon: average total away in the tournament - 2.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.5) vs 2.8 (away - 2.25).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games against Sporting Lisbon.
Prediction on corners
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.83; at home field - 7.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.4; at home field - 7.
Sporting Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.5, away - 9.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8.4; away - 11.75.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.62 (2.81 for home team and 2.81 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.42 (2.67 for home team and 2.75 for away team).
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.67; at home - 2.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 2.25.
Sporting Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 2.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 3.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 52;
- both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
- on the home team’s field - 15 times.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon
- number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 4 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 3 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 3 (75%).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored and conceded in last 9 home games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
Editor's Prediction
Wait for the bus-it’s the great and formidable José we're dealing with here. Benfica are still finding their footing, making it a tough challenge for them. Their often chaotic play makes earning points difficult, as evidenced by their Champions League matches. Additionally, their latest Primeira Liga match doesn’t inspire confidence-snatching a win in the final minutes against an average opponent isn't promising. Sporting, on the other hand, look almost flawless, with little to criticize them for. We suggest betting on Sporting not to lose the upcoming match, as this seems like the most reasonable option.