Sporting vs Benfica Prediction
🔊 Who will gain the upper hand in the race for the league leader? Sporting are set to face Benfica, and only a draw would benefit Porto. This is the marquee match of the round in the Portuguese league, and we offer our prediction for it. The final bet will be at the end of the article.
Head-to-Head
📊 This is a classic rivalry. Over the longer stretch, Benfica have the upper hand, but the first-leg match ended in a 1-1 draw.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
🟢 The "Lions" continue their pursuit of Porto in the Primeira Liga. Just two points separate the teams in terms of points dropped. Sporting have suffered only one defeat throughout the tournament, and the name of that opponent has already been mentioned. Currently, the team have won eight of their last ten domestic matches. Sporting might not always excel defensively, but their lethal attack often compensates for any shortcomings.
⚪️ What's the complication? The midweek Champions League clash that drained a lot of energy. Sporting faced Arsenal and concluded their campaign in Europe's premier competition. A goalless draw, 0-0, underscores a hopeless situation, as the Portuguese side managed an xG of just 0.37. Meanwhile, their opponents were notably more impressive in that regard.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Team Overview
🔴 The Eagles trail Porto by seven points. Benfica remain unbeaten in the Portuguese league, but they've been held to draws frequently, often against sides not considered top-tier. With the season nearing its end, a loss in their upcoming match could officially end their title aspirations. However, a victory could open up new possibilities.
⚪️ Benfica navigate the league as best as they can. Their campaign is a mix of triumphs and setbacks. A draw against Casa Pia (1-1) was followed by a convincing 2-0 win over Nacional. They started strong, scoring twice early on, and then expertly managed their energy throughout the match, excelling defensively. In the game against Nacional, Benfica's xG was an impressive 3.68 compared to their opponent's 0.34. The disparity in chances is self-explanatory. Crucially, the team has more energy heading into the next round as their European campaign concluded quite some time ago.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon
Latest news
Sporting Lisbon
🎙 Francisco Trincão spoke after the match against Arsenal: “We are satisfied, but of course, we wanted more. Over the two legs, we realized we could have performed better. We had our chances, and we were evenly matched. Things could have turned out differently. We should be proud to have reached this stage. Unfortunately, we couldn't secure the win, and now we must focus on the next game.”
❌ Sporting will be without Fotis Ioannidis, Luis Guilherme, and Nuno Santos in their upcoming match.
Benfica Lisbon
🎙 José Mourinho expressed satisfaction with the victory over Nacional but emphasized that the scoreline should have been more emphatic: “Twenty-five shots, eight on target, fifteen corners - and the score is 2-0. These numbers don't reflect how we played. We had enough chances to achieve a completely different result. We deservedly and comfortably won, but the final score doesn't showcase our dominance. We had plenty of opportunities to score a third goal - both in the first half and the second. We didn't let the game run its course on its own. We missed a penalty and had several other great chances. Three points are crucial, but we aimed to do more.”
❌ João Veloso and Tomás Araújo will be unavailable for Benfica in their upcoming match.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 53;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 7; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 11;
- Average first-half total: 1.13;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.55, while the visitors net 0.58.
First-Half Stats: Sporting Lisbon (home) vs Benfica Lisbon (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 14;
- wins: 8 (61.54%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (14.29%);
- draws: 5 (38.46%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- Average goals scored: 1.46 vs 0.93;
- Average goals conceded: 0.08 vs 0.21.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.4 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.4).
- Sporting Lisbon scored in the 1st half in last 7 games against Benfica Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 53;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 24, draws - 15.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon
- matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 29;
- wins: 22 vs 20;
- win percentage: 79% vs 69%;
- losses: 1 vs 0;
- draws: 5 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.13, the guests - 1.53;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.66;
- both teams scored: overall - 31; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon
- average total in the tournament: 3.21 vs 2.72;
- average total goals scored: 2.61 vs 2.1;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.11 vs 1.03;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.5 vs 1.07;
- Sporting Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament - 3.08;
- Benfica Lisbon: average total away in the tournament - 1.86;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.6) vs 1.8 (away - 1.6).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 away games against Sporting Lisbon.
Prediction on corners
Sporting Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.29; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; at home field - 7.6.
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.14, away - 6.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8.4; away - 8.8.
- Benfica Lisbon have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games against Sporting Lisbon.
- Benfica Lisbon have taken over 4.5 corners in 13 of last 15 games (Primeira Liga).
- Benfica Lisbon have taken over 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games.
- Benfica Lisbon have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 53;
- both teams scored all-time - 31 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon at home - 4 (31%);
- number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon away - 7 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon away - 5 (100%).
- Sporting Lisbon have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games against Benfica Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored and conceded in last 5 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (27/259, 10.4%);
- Sporting Lisbon at home most often finish matches: 3:0 (3/13, 23.1%);
- Benfica Lisbon away most often play: 1:2 (5/14, 35.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.02% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 8.56% (odds 8.5)
1:0 - 7.99% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Sporting have exerted considerable effort in the Champions League, so it seems likely that their performance might dip. Let's not forget, this match is Benfica's last chance to stay in the title race. They are bound to be fully motivated. The cautious approach from both teams could result in a low-scoring game. We'll take Sporting's individual total under 1.5. Benfica must play solidly on their home turf.
Betting Tips: Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
