Benfica vs Sporting Prediction
๐ On May 10, the centerpiece match of not just the 33rd round but the entire season in Portugal's Primeira Liga takes place. Benfica and Sporting, both sitting atop the table with equal points, clash at the Estรกdio da Luz. The Eagles cannot afford to lose-defeat would hand the championship to the Lions. Interestingly, on May 25, these teams will meet again in the Portuguese Cup final. It's a highly intense end to the season for them.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 11 January 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sporting Lisbon):
- ball possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 7;
- fouls: 10 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
๐ Statistical preview of official encounters between Benfica and Sporting:
- 49 matches played;
- home wins - 23, away wins - 13, draws - 13;
- goals scored - 77 for Benfica, 55 for Sporting;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.16, second half - 1.53;
- average total goals per match - 2.69.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Benfica Lisbon Team Overview
Benfica are an attacking powerhouse in the Portuguese league, boasting a high average of 2.55 goals per game. Currently sitting in second place, they aim to overtake Sporting in their upcoming clash. Their style of play is built on dominating opponents through ball control and applying relentless pressure on the defense.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon

Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
Sporting have established themselves as one of the most organized teams in the league. They currently sit atop the standings, having suffered just two losses in 32 matches this season. Their current form is impressive, with five consecutive victories and an average of 2.66 goals scored per game. Notably, the Lions have kept clean sheets in their last three away matches in the Primeira Liga.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon
Latest news
Benfica Lisbon
๐ฃ The last round's match against Estoril marked the 50th appearance for Vangelis Pavlidis in Benfica colors. The Greek forward didn't find the back of the net, but Nicolas Otamendi stepped up with a goal. "Being the captain of Benfica is more than a privilege. It's an honor to be here and wear this jersey," said the Argentine, who scored the decisive goal.
โ The hosts will be without the injured Renato Sanches, Alexander Bah, and Manu, as usual. There are also concerns about the fitness of Zeki Amdouni, and the Swiss player's participation in the game is doubtful.
Sporting Lisbon
โก๏ธ The lion statue, a symbol of Sporting, located near the club's stadium, was painted red ahead of the derby.
๐ In the last round's match against Gil Vicente, Viktor Gyรถkeres' scoring streak came to an end. The Swedish forward had netted 7 goals in the previous two Primeira Liga fixtures. This summer, a transfer market battle is expected for his signature, with Londonโs Arsenal reportedly leading the chase.
โ The visitors have no new injury updates. Daniel Braganรงa, Nuno Santos, and Joรฃo Simรตes have been sidelined for some time.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 13, draws - 13.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon
- matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- wins: 26 vs 24;
- win percentage: 79% vs 75%;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 9 vs 9;
- losses: 0 vs 0;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 away games against Benfica Lisbon.
- Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in last 31 games (Primeira Liga).
- Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in last 24 away games.
- Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in last 16 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.57, the guests - 1.12;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.69;
- both teams scored: overall - 28; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon
- average total in the tournament: 3.33 vs 3.47;
- average total goals scored: 2.55 vs 2.66;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.24 vs 1.22;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.3 vs 1.44;
- Benfica Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament - 3.19;
- Sporting Lisbon: average total away in the tournament - 2.94;
- last 10 matches (average total): 3.5 (home - 3.75) vs 2.5 (away - 2.8).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 9 Benfica Lisbon home games against Sporting Lisbon.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 15 of last 16 Benfica Lisbon games (Primeira Liga).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 12 Benfica Lisbon games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 9 Benfica Lisbon home games (Primeira Liga).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Benfica Lisbon home games.
Prediction on corners
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.24; at home field - 7.81;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.6; at home field - 10.
Sporting Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.34, away - 5.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; away - 3.4.
- Sporting Lisbon have taken over 3.5 corners in last 7 games against Benfica Lisbon.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.3 (2.65 for home team and 2.65 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.18 (2.45 for home team and 2.73 for away team).
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.61; at home - 1.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 0.75.
Sporting Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.66, away - 1.69;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- both teams scored all-time - 28 times;
- on the home teamโs field - 13 times.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 7 (44%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 7 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 2 (40%).
Editorial Prediction
The clash between Benfica and Sporting promises to be a true battle on the pitch. Tensions will be high, and it's likely the referee will be busy handing out cards, so we're steering clear of predicting the outcome directly. Instead, the safest bet, in our opinion, is both teams to score (yes). This has been the result in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters between these teams.