Benfica vs Sporting Prediction

    ๐Ÿ”Š On May 10, the centerpiece match of not just the 33rd round but the entire season in Portugal's Primeira Liga takes place. Benfica and Sporting, both sitting atop the table with equal points, clash at the Estรกdio da Luz. The Eagles cannot afford to lose-defeat would hand the championship to the Lions. Interestingly, on May 25, these teams will meet again in the Portuguese Cup final. It's a highly intense end to the season for them.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 11 January 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sporting Lisbon):

    • ball possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 7;
    • fouls: 10 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    ๐Ÿ“Š Statistical preview of official encounters between Benfica and Sporting:

    • 49 matches played;
    • home wins - 23, away wins - 13, draws - 13;
    • goals scored - 77 for Benfica, 55 for Sporting;
    • average total goals in the first half - 1.16, second half - 1.53;
    • average total goals per match - 2.69.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    46%
    25 Wins
    28%
    15 Draws
    26%
    14 Wins
    Total games
    54
    Total Goals Avg
    2.67
    Both teams scored
    59%
    1.54
    Total average
    1.13
    2.78
    Yellow cards
    2.65
    Last matches
    19.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    05.12.25
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.34
    0.49
    3
    2
    15
    20
    2
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.34
    0.49
    3
    2
    15
    20
    2
    5
    31.07.25
    Super Cup
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.8
    0.5
    4
    7
    15
    14
    5
    5
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.8
    0.5
    4
    7
    15
    14
    5
    5
    25.05.25
    Taca de Portugal
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.31
    0.41
    7
    8
    25
    14
    4
    4
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0.31
    0.41
    7
    8
    25
    14
    4
    4
    10.05.25
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    1.38
    0.29
    6
    2
    24
    14
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.38
    0.29
    6
    2
    24
    14
    4
    2
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    Benfica Lisbon Team Overview

    Benfica are an attacking powerhouse in the Portuguese league, boasting a high average of 2.55 goals per game. Currently sitting in second place, they aim to overtake Sporting in their upcoming clash. Their style of play is built on dominating opponents through ball control and applying relentless pressure on the defense.

    Match Results: Benfica Lisbon

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1.9
    3.44
    2
    9
    9
    12
    3
    2
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    0
    1.9
    3.44
    2
    9
    9
    12
    3
    2
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Braga
    Braga
    3.55
    0.23
    8
    2
    6
    11
    1
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    3.55
    0.23
    8
    2
    6
    11
    1
    4
    D
    02.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1
    1.48
    1.49
    6
    4
    20
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.48
    1.49
    6
    4
    20
    14
    2
    2
    D
    25.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    2.69
    0.43
    9
    2
    13
    14
    2
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2.69
    0.43
    9
    2
    13
    14
    2
    2
    W
    19.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    W
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    Sporting Lisbon Team Overview

    Sporting have established themselves as one of the most organized teams in the league. They currently sit atop the standings, having suffered just two losses in 32 matches this season. Their current form is impressive, with five consecutive victories and an average of 2.66 goals scored per game. Notably, the Lions have kept clean sheets in their last three away matches in the Primeira Liga. 

    Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    SCU Torreense
    SCU Torreense
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    L
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    W
    04.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    W
    29.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Tondela
    Tondela
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Benfica Lisbon

    ๐Ÿ“ฃ The last round's match against Estoril marked the 50th appearance for Vangelis Pavlidis in Benfica colors. The Greek forward didn't find the back of the net, but Nicolas Otamendi stepped up with a goal. "Being the captain of Benfica is more than a privilege. It's an honor to be here and wear this jersey," said the Argentine, who scored the decisive goal.

    โŒ The hosts will be without the injured Renato Sanches, Alexander Bah, and Manu, as usual. There are also concerns about the fitness of Zeki Amdouni, and the Swiss player's participation in the game is doubtful.

    Sporting Lisbon

    โšก๏ธ The lion statue, a symbol of Sporting, located near the club's stadium, was painted red ahead of the derby.

    ๐Ÿ“Œ In the last round's match against Gil Vicente, Viktor Gyรถkeres' scoring streak came to an end. The Swedish forward had netted 7 goals in the previous two Primeira Liga fixtures. This summer, a transfer market battle is expected for his signature, with Londonโ€™s Arsenal reportedly leading the chase.

    โŒ The visitors have no new injury updates. Daniel Braganรงa, Nuno Santos, and Joรฃo Simรตes have been sidelined for some time.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 49;
    • home team wins - 23, away team wins - 13, draws - 13.

    Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon

    • matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
    • wins: 26 vs 24;
    • win percentage: 79% vs 75%;
    • losses: 4 vs 2;
    • draws: 3 vs 6.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 9 vs 9;
    • losses: 0 vs 0;
    • draws: 1 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 away games against Benfica Lisbon.
    • Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in last 31 games (Primeira Liga).
    • Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in last 24 away games.
    • Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in last 16 away games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Sporting Lisbon Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.22)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.57, the guests - 1.12;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.69;
    • both teams scored: overall - 28; at the home team's field - 13.

    Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon

    • average total in the tournament: 3.33 vs 3.47;
    • average total goals scored: 2.55 vs 2.66;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.24 vs 1.22;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.3 vs 1.44;
    • Benfica Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament -  3.19;
    • Sporting Lisbon: average total away in the tournament - 2.94;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 3.5 (home - 3.75) vs 2.5 (away - 2.8).
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in last 9 Benfica Lisbon home games against Sporting Lisbon.
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 15 of last 16 Benfica Lisbon games (Primeira Liga).
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in last 12 Benfica Lisbon games.
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in last 9 Benfica Lisbon home games (Primeira Liga).
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Benfica Lisbon home games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2.5)(odds: 1.65)

    Prediction on corners

    Benfica Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.24; at home field - 7.81;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.6; at home field - 10.

    Sporting Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.34, away - 5.56;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; away - 3.4.
    Trends
    • Sporting Lisbon have taken over 3.5 corners in last 7 games against Benfica Lisbon.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (8.5)(odds: 1.46)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.3 (2.65 for home team and 2.65 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.18 (2.45 for home team and 2.73 for away team).

    Benfica Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.61; at home - 1.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 0.75.

    Sporting Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.66, away - 1.69;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.2.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (3.5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 49;
    • both teams scored all-time - 28 times;
    • on the home teamโ€™s field - 13 times.

    Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 17;
    • number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 7 (44%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 7 (44%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 2 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.52)

    Editorial Prediction

    The clash between Benfica and Sporting promises to be a true battle on the pitch. Tensions will be high, and it's likely the referee will be busy handing out cards, so we're steering clear of predicting the outcome directly. Instead, the safest bet, in our opinion, is both teams to score (yes). This has been the result in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters between these teams.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -192*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (8 May 2025, 18:21)

    Betting Tips: Benfica Lisbon - Sporting Lisbon

    Benfica Lisbon have won the 1st half
    benfica-lisbonin 9 of last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
    1st Half Benfica Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    +180
    Benfica Lisbon have won
    benfica-lisbonin 12 of last 13 games (Primeira Liga).
    benfica-lisbonin 9 of last 10 games.
    benfica-lisbonin 6 of last 7 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Benfica Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    +125
    Sporting Lisbon have won
    sporting-cpin 11 of last 12 games.
    sporting-cpin 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
    sporting-cpin last 6 away games.
    sporting-cpin last 4 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon Win
    Everygame
    +225
    Benfica Lisbon have not won
    benfica-lisbonsporting-cpin 7 of last 8 games against Sporting Lisbon.
    Sporting Lisbon have not lost
    sporting-cpin last 19 games (Primeira Liga).
    sporting-cpin last 15 games.
    sporting-cpin last 9 away games.
    Sporting Lisbon will not lose
    Everygame
    -156
    View more facts

    Benfica - Sporting Table position

    Liga Portugal 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    34257288-2782
    2.
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    34255484-2880
    3.
    Porto
    Porto
    34225765-3071
    4.
    Braga
    Braga
    34199655-3066
    5.
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    341761136-3257
    6.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    341412847-3754

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    0 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 23
    Conceded - 11
    +12
    +9
    18 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    4
    4
    Draws
    4
    0
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    23
    Scored
    18
    11
    Conceded
    9
    3.4
    Match goals average
    2.7
    2.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    8
    Both teams scored
    6
    39'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    52'
    View all stats