Benfica vs Sporting Prediction

    🔊 Who will come out on top in the season's final showdown between the Portuguese giants? Currently, both teams have one trophy each: Benfica claimed the League Cup, while Sporting secured the Primeira Liga title. On May 25, they will face off in the Portuguese Cup final at the "National Stadium" in Oeiras. Bookmakers are leaning towards the Eagles, but in a match like this, there is no clear favorite.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Sporting hold the edge in outright victories this season, having defeated the Eagles in the first round of the Primeira Liga (1-0). However, Benfica came out on top in the League Cup final, converting all seven penalties in the shootout. Additionally, there's been a shift towards low-scoring encounters. After six consecutive high-scoring games, the teams have now gone three matches in a row without surpassing the three-goal mark.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    46%
    25 Wins
    28%
    15 Draws
    26%
    14 Wins
    Total games
    54
    Total Goals Avg
    2.67
    Both teams scored
    59%
    1.54
    Total average
    1.13
    2.78
    Yellow cards
    2.65
    Last matches
    19.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    05.12.25
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.34
    0.49
    3
    2
    15
    20
    2
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.34
    0.49
    3
    2
    15
    20
    2
    5
    31.07.25
    Super Cup
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.8
    0.5
    4
    7
    15
    14
    5
    5
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.8
    0.5
    4
    7
    15
    14
    5
    5
    25.05.25
    Taca de Portugal
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.31
    0.41
    7
    8
    25
    14
    4
    4
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0.31
    0.41
    7
    8
    25
    14
    4
    4
    10.05.25
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    1.38
    0.29
    6
    2
    24
    14
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.38
    0.29
    6
    2
    24
    14
    4
    2
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    Benfica Lisbon Team Overview

    🔴 Benfica are wrapping up the season with a fantastic unbeaten run of 12 matches. Excluding their Champions League encounters with Barcelona, the Eagles haven't tasted defeat since January 25. However, they fell short in their decisive push for the Primeira Liga title. Kerem Akturkoglu and Vangelis Pavlidis, the top scorers for the red and whites this season, found the net as usual, but it wasn't enough to secure wins against Sporting (1-1) and Braga (1-1). 

    🏆 The most challenging stage for the red and whites on their path to the cup final was the quarter-finals. Despite a dominant performance, Bruno Lage's men managed to score just one goal, courtesy of Vangelis Pavlidis. In the semi-finals, Benfica demolished Tirsense from the fourth-tier division with scores of 5-0 and 4-0.

    Match Results: Benfica Lisbon

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1.9
    3.44
    2
    9
    9
    12
    3
    2
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    0
    1.9
    3.44
    2
    9
    9
    12
    3
    2
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Braga
    Braga
    3.55
    0.23
    8
    2
    6
    11
    1
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    3.55
    0.23
    8
    2
    6
    11
    1
    4
    D
    02.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1
    1.48
    1.49
    6
    4
    20
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.48
    1.49
    6
    4
    20
    14
    2
    2
    D
    25.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    2.69
    0.43
    9
    2
    13
    14
    2
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2.69
    0.43
    9
    2
    13
    14
    2
    2
    W
    19.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.98
    2.29
    3
    8
    13
    8
    2
    1
    W
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    Sporting Lisbon Team Overview

    🟢 Sporting navigated a challenging season, enduring two managerial changes. At one point, the team was nearly depleted of healthy starters, leading to an expected dip in form. However, Rui Borges managed to turn things around and guided the "Lions" to a title. Currently, their unbeaten streak stands at an impressive 17 matches.

    🏆 In the Portuguese Cup, the "Green and Whites" advanced to the final with relative ease. In the semifinals, they dispatched Rio Ave (2-0; 2-1). Viktor Gyökeres found the net both at home and away.

    Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    SCU Torreense
    SCU Torreense
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    L
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    W
    04.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    W
    29.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Tondela
    Tondela
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    D
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    Latest news

    Benfica Lisbon

    🎙 Ángel Di María after the match against Braga: "This wasn't the outcome we wanted in the league. We worked hard to achieve our goal. It hurts to end things this way. This was my last league match in this jersey, and I am proud to have worn it again. We still have the cup final ahead, and we'll give it our all to win. Together, as always. Thank you for your support, Benfica fans."

    🎤 Bruno Lage on missing out on the championship: "We wanted to win the league and should have won the match against Braga, but we couldn't. However, I am proud of my players. It's a shame we couldn't deliver the title to our fans."

    ❌ Renato Sanches, Alexander Bah, Manu, and Zeki Amdouni have been sidelined for a while. Fredrik Aursnes also missed the match against Braga-an extremely significant loss.

    Sporting Lisbon

    🎙 Sporting's coach Rui Borges shared his thoughts after the victory over Vitória Guimarães: “My greatest dream was to become the national champion, and fortunately, I've achieved that... Now I believe there will be a fantastic celebration after the cup final. I want to win and will do everything possible...”

    🎤 Viktor Gyökeres, who became the top scorer in the Primeira Liga with 39 goals, remarked: “It was a long season, and clinching the championship in the final match was fantastic. The cup is another trophy we need to fight for, and we want to win it.”

    ❌ Daniel Bragança, Nuno Santos, and João Simões - their presence on the injury list has long ceased to be news. However, Usman Diomande's injury sustained against Vitória Guimarães could complicate matters for the Lions' coaching staff. The Ivorian's participation in the cup final is in doubt.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 50;
    • home team wins - 23, away team wins - 13, draws - 14.
    Trends
    • Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 away games against Benfica Lisbon.
    • Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in 33 of last 34 games.
    • Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in last 23 away games.
    • Sporting Lisbon won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 games (Taca de Portugal).
    👉Prediction: Sporting Lisbon Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.22)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.56, the guests - 1.12;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.68;
    • both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 14.

    Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon

    • average total in the tournament: 3.83 vs 3;
    • average total goals scored: 3.67 vs 2.5;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.33 vs 1.33;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 2.33 vs 1.17;
    • Benfica Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament -  4;
    • Sporting Lisbon: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 3.1 (home - 3.2) vs 2.2 (away - 2.4).
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Benfica Lisbon games against Sporting Lisbon.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3.5)(odds: 1.38)

    Prediction on corners

    Benfica Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.33; at home field - 7.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.5; at home field - 9.2.

    Sporting Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 8.17, away - 9.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (13.5)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.36 (2.68 for home team and 2.68 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.22 (2.52 for home team and 2.7 for away team).

    Benfica Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.5; at home - 0.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 1.6.

    Sporting Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.83, away - 1.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 2.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (1.5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 50;
    • both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 14 times.
    Trends
    • Benfica Lisbon have scored and conceded in 12 of last 13 home games against Sporting Lisbon.
    • Benfica Lisbon have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Sporting Lisbon.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.59)

    Editorial Prediction

    We've noticed that this season, the teams have dialed back their scoring in head-to-head clashes, yet they continue to trade goals consistently. The bet on both teams to score (yes) has come through in 8 of the last 9 encounters between Sporting and Benfica, which is what we're banking on again this time around. We anticipate a closely contested final, so we're sticking with this betting option.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -169*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (23 May 2025, 11:22)

    Betting Tips: Benfica Lisbon - Sporting Lisbon

    Benfica Lisbon have won
    benfica-lisbonin last 6 games (Taca de Portugal).
    Benfica Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    +190
    Sporting Lisbon have won
    sporting-cpin last 6 games (Taca de Portugal).
    Sporting Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    +150
    Benfica Lisbon have not lost
    benfica-lisbonin last 12 games.
    benfica-lisbonin 10 of last 11 home games.
    benfica-lisbonin last 6 games (Taca de Portugal).
    Benfica Lisbon will not lose
    Everygame
    -200
    Benfica Lisbon have not won
    benfica-lisbonsporting-cpin last 6 games against Sporting Lisbon.
    Sporting Lisbon have not lost
    sporting-cpin last 17 games.
    sporting-cpin last 10 away games.
    sporting-cpin last 6 games (Taca de Portugal).
    Sporting Lisbon will not lose
    Everygame
    -270
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    0 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 23
    Conceded - 11
    +12
    +9
    18 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    4
    4
    Draws
    4
    0
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    23
    Scored
    18
    11
    Conceded
    9
    3.4
    Match goals average
    2.7
    2.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    8
    Both teams scored
    6
    39'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    52'
    View all stats