Slovenia vs North Macedonia Prediction 29 September 2026
🔊 Slovenia and North Macedonia begin matchday 2 of the Nations League in contrasting moods. Slovenia drew 0-0 with Scotland at home, while North Macedonia were thrashed 3-0 by Switzerland in Skopje, managing just two shots in the entire match.
The table is still taking shape, but the schedule is adding pressure quickly. After two home fixtures, Slovenia face away trips to Switzerland and Scotland, so the match against North Macedonia looks like a good opportunity for their first win in the competition. For the visitors, following their opening defeat, picking up at least a few points in September is important.
Head-to-head record
📊 The two sides have met four times. Each team has won once, and the other two matches ended in draws. The average total is exactly 2 goals per meeting.
Head-to-head statistics Slovenia - North Macedonia
Slovenia: Oblak’s heroics and life without Šeško
Boštjan Cesar's side made a decent start against Scotland, keeping them on the back foot for much of the first half. After the break the picture changed, with the visitors pushing forward and Jan Oblak being called into action more regularly. The match ended level, which gave Slovenia a point, but also showed them how difficult they are currently finding it to turn possession into clear chances.
Without Benjamin Šeško, the attack lacks its usual sharpness, though Cesar does not need to overhaul the team entirely. The core of the squad remains intact and there are a few different options up front. Against North Macedonia, the hosts will likely need to set the tempo themselves for much of the game.
Match Results: Slovenia
North Macedonia: five consecutive matches without scoring
Goce Sedloski's Nations League debut was a tough one. Switzerland controlled the match from the first minute, had 23 shots, 11 of which were on target, and won 3-0. North Macedonia finished the game without a single shot on target or a corner.
Sedloski had warned before the tournament that he would rotate his squad heavily, with four matches to play in ten days. Several new faces were included in the squad, so changes are possible in Ljubljana after the defeat to Switzerland.
Match Results: North Macedonia
Latest news
Slovenia
❌ Benjamin Šeško is missing this international window after a recurrence of his shin injury. On top of that, the squad were already without Kenan Bajrić and Marcelis Ratnik due to injuries before the camp began, and Zan Zaletel and Nik Prelec were subsequently unable to join up either. Jure Balkovec and Zan Celar have been called up as additional replacements.
North Macedonia
❌ Darko Churlinov is missing the current international window due to a documentation issue.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted Slovenia starting XI: Oblak - Drkušič, Bijol, Brekalо - Karničnik, Elšnik, Gnezda Čerin, Janža - Matko, Šturm - Šporar.
📋 Predicted North Macedonia starting XI: Dimitrievski - Ilievski, Musliu, Zajkov, Herera - Gashtarov, Kostadinov, Bardhi - Elmas, Miovski, Rastoder.
⚽ Goals Prediction
North Macedonia have failed to score in five matches in a row. During that run they have played two goalless draws and lost three times without scoring. The most recent example is particularly telling: against Switzerland they managed just two shots and not a single one on target.
Slovenia have not looked particularly free-scoring either. In three of their last five matches there have been no more than two goals, and the first round ended 0-0. Our bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.65*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Slovenia's matches have been producing corners consistently of late. Across their last five games the average combined total was 12.2 corners, and in every one of those matches the teams reached at least nine. The first-round game against Scotland also produced nine.
North Macedonia's average combined total over the same period is 8.8. Even if the visitors create little again, Slovenia at home should have enough time around the opposition penalty area. Our prediction: Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.67*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
In four of Slovenia's last five matches, the combined number of bookings was no more than four. All five of North Macedonia's most recent matches also came in under that same mark. Both first-round games produced exactly four cards each. There is little reason to expect a more feisty affair here. We are taking Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.
🚀 Player Stat Bet
Andraž Šporar arrives at the international break in excellent club form. Before the pause he scored two goals in each of two consecutive matches for Slovan. With Šeško absent, he was given the centre-forward role in the starting XI against Scotland.
Now the opposition will allow more attacks on their own penalty area, and Slovenia should spend more time in the final third. It is a good opportunity for Šporar to carry his club form into the international stage. We are playing Andraž Šporar to Score at 2.60*.
😱 Risky Bet
North Macedonia barely threatened Switzerland's goal in the first round, while Slovenia started the tournament with a clean sheet. The hosts have Oblak behind them, ready to bail them out at any moment.
If Slovenia take an early lead, they may switch to controlling the game and force the visitors to find solutions in positional play - which is currently a weak point for Sedloski's side. Our pick: Slovenia to Win and Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 3.30*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
Slovenia are playing their second consecutive home match at Stožice, where they did not lose to Scotland in the first round. In two previous home meetings with North Macedonia, the hosts have also never lost. There is a good chance Slovenia will take at least a point here. Our bet: Slovenia Not to Lose at 1.14*.
👀 If the Match Goes Off-Script
Switzerland settled the outcome in Skopje before half-time - it was already 0-2 by the 41st minute. North Macedonia struggled badly to get into the match and barely responded to their opponents' pressure.
Slovenia against Scotland, by contrast, were more active in the first half specifically. If the hosts this time convert their pressure into goals straight away, the match could be decided much earlier than expected. We are going with Slovenia to Win the First Half with Handicap (-1) at 4.60*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
After a goalless draw with Scotland, Slovenia need to make the most of a second consecutive home match. The schedule gets harder after this - away trips to Switzerland and Scotland - so putting off a first win would be a risky approach.
North Macedonia look like a side that finds it easier to disrupt than to take the game to the opposition. In Ljubljana, they will almost certainly have to hand the initiative to the hosts, and Slovenia have enough quality to create a couple of chances over 90 minutes. Predicted score: 2-0. Main bet: Slovenia to win.
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Betting Tips: Slovenia - North Macedonia
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