Derby vs Swansea Prediction 29 August 2026
🔊 At the start of the season, Derby County and Swansea find themselves in different parts of the table, though both sides are aiming to push for promotion. The hosts have made a poor start and currently sit five points off the automatic promotion places, while the visitors have already picked up four points and are among the leading group, just behind the pace. A notable feature of this match-up is the contrast in current form: Derby County have been having problems defensively, while Swansea have shown more consistent results over their recent matches.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official meetings between Derby County and Swansea, the two sides have met 13 times. Derby have won six, Swansea four, with three draws. Derby also have the edge in goals, having scored 17 against Swansea's 13. On average, the sides score one goal in the first half and around 1.31 in the second, giving an average total of 2.31 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Swansea
Derby Team Overview
Derby County come into this match having won just once in their last five games, with three defeats and a draw also in that run. Looking at their previous ten matches, they have won only three and lost six, which points to a lack of consistency in their results.
Their averages of 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match highlight problems above all at the back, with opponents regularly finding ways to score against them. Despite their motivation to close the gap on the automatic promotion places, Derby have so far been unable to find the right balance between attack and defence.
Match Results: Derby
Swansea City Team Overview
Swansea have gone five matches without defeat more often than their opponents: two wins, two draws and just one loss in that period point to greater consistency than the hosts. Over their last ten matches, the visitors have won four, lost two and drawn four, averaging 1.5 goals scored and a modest 1.2 conceded per game.
Swansea made a quick start to the season and are sitting close to the automatic promotion places. They picked up four points from their opening two fixtures, beating Stoke City 2-1 and drawing 0-0 with Sheffield United.
Match Results: Swansea City
Total Goals Prediction
Total Goals - Over 1.5 has landed in 13 of Swansea's last 15 matches. Derby County's average at home is 2 goals per match, and Swansea are averaging 2 goals per game away from home this season. Over 2.5 has also gone in in each of Derby County's last 6 matches, which further points to a high-scoring game. All of this supports a bet on Total Goals - Over 1.5.
Corners Prediction
In 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between Derby County and Swansea, the total corners has come in at under 9.5. This trend suggests that matches between these two sides rarely feature a high number of corners, making a bet on the low total a reasonable option.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1-1 (12.57%), 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (7.95%). A 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though a narrow Derby County win is also considered fairly likely. The probabilities are spread fairly closely across all three outcomes.
Reliable Bet
Derby County have scored in 23 consecutive home matches, which points to consistent attacking output on their own ground. Their other season statistics also confirm that they regularly find the net at home. Given such a lengthy run, the bet on Derby County Team Total - Over 0.5 looks very reliable.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Looking at both teams' form and recent trends, Derby County matches have frequently been high-scoring affairs - a run of six consecutive games with over 2.5 goals gives that observation meaningful statistical weight for this stage of the season. The hosts' defence has been leaking regularly even at home, while Swansea's attack looks capable of taking advantage of that, particularly given the visitors' solidity in the second line (conceding an average of just 1.2 per game). With both teams looking likely to get on the scoresheet, the editors' pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
No comments
Betting Tips: Derby - Swansea City
in 7 of last 8 home games (Championship).
in 8 of last 9 games (Championship).in last 5 away games (Championship).in last 23 home games.in last 21 home games (Championship).in last 12 games.in last 11 games (Championship).in 8 of last 9 away games (Championship).in 12 of last 13 Derby games against Swansea City (Championship).in last 7 Derby home games against Swansea City (Championship).in 12 of last 14 Derby home games (Championship).in 6 of last 7 Derby home games.in 14 of last 15 Swansea City away games (Championship).in 7 of last 8 Swansea City games.in 6 of last 7 Swansea City games (Championship).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
