Swansea vs Derby Prediction 5 April 2025
🔊 In the Championship clash, we have two teams showcasing contrasting forms. Swansea, playing at home, are trying to make the most of their opportunities, but they often struggle to maintain consistency in attack. Derby County, on the road, face challenges in securing points and aim to strengthen their position in the standings. Both teams have issues with scoring, adding an intriguing element to this upcoming encounter.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Swansea and Derby County:
- 10 matches played;
- home wins - 3, away wins - 4, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 11 for Swansea, 13 for Derby County;
- average first-half total - 1.2, second-half - 1.2;
- average total goals per match - 2.4.
The last match took place on 27 November 2024 at Derby County's ground and ended with a score of 1-2.
Head-to-head statistics Swansea - Derby

Swansea City Team Overview
Swansea sit 16th in the Championship table, delivering average performances throughout the season. The team tends to play defensively and control possession in midfield, but their attack often lacks productivity. In their last ten matches, the Swans have managed just three wins, alongside five losses and two draws. Their home form is also underwhelming, having scored less than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven league games.
Match Results: Swansea City

Derby Team Overview
The Rams, currently sitting at 20th in the table, are fighting to climb up the league standings. Their recent form has been quite inconsistent, with four wins, four losses, and two draws in their last ten matches, highlighting their struggle to find a balance between attack and defense. Derby County have been less assured on the road, rarely scoring more than one goal per match-this has been the case in six of their last seven away games.
Match Results: Derby
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 4, draws - 3.
Statistics: Swansea City vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 39 vs 39;
- number of wins: 12 vs 11;
- win percentage: 31% vs 28%;
- number of losses: 18 vs 20;
- number of draws: 9 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 4;
- number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- number of draws: 2 vs 2.
- Derby has not won in 11 of the last 12 away games.
- Derby has not won in 10 of the last 11 Championship away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.1, the guests - 1.3;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.4;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Swansea City vs Derby
- average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 2.38;
- average total goals scored: 1.03 vs 1.08;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.44;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.38 vs 0.64;
- Swansea City: average total at home in the tournament - 1.32;
- Derby : average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.8) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Swansea City has scored less than 1.5 goals in 6 of the last 7 Championship home games.
Prediction on corners
Swansea City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.92; at home field - 4.58;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 4.6.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.79, away - 4.58;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; away - 3.25.
- There have been under 10.5 corners in each of the last 7 Swansea City in the Championship games against Derby.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.6 (1.3 for home team and 1.3 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.5 (2 for home team and 2.5 for away team).
Swansea City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.51; at home - 1.26;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.3; at home - 1.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.74, away - 2.05;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 2.25.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Swansea City vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 39 vs 39;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Swansea City at home - 8 (42%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 12 (63%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Swansea City at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Derby away - 2 (50%).
Editor's Prediction
Both teams are struggling with scoring issues both at home and away. Swansea aim to stay above the relegation zone through solid defense and ball control, while Derby County are looking to secure crucial points to maintain their league status with a more aggressive attacking style. Considering the teams' form and performance trends, the most likely scenario is a low-scoring encounter with a focus on strong defense from both sides. Our bet is on total goals under 2.5.