Swansea vs Derby Prediction 25 November 2025

    🔊 A showdown between Swansea and Derby County looms on the horizon. The hosts are struggling, sitting 20th in the table and showing uncertain form in recent matches. Meanwhile, the visitors are on the rise, holding 12th place and recently enjoying a winning streak. Can the Swans turn around their losing run, or will the Rams continue their ascent?

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Swansea City):

    • ball possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
    • fouls: 7 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Swansea City and Derby :

    • played 11 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 4, draws - 3;
    • number of goals - 12 against 13;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.09, in the 2nd half - 1.18;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.27.

    Head-to-head statistics Swansea - Derby

    36%
    5 Wins
    21%
    3 Draws
    43%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    14
    Total Goals Avg
    2.36
    Both teams scored
    57%
    1.14
    Total average
    1.21
    1.29
    Yellow cards
    1.93
    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.82
    2.96
    5
    6
    16
    7
    3
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.82
    2.96
    5
    6
    16
    7
    3
    2
    14.02.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    1.19
    1.19
    6
    2
    20
    12
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.19
    1.19
    6
    2
    20
    12
    2
    2
    25.11.25
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Derby
    Derby
    0.77
    1.15
    4
    2
    10
    20
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.77
    1.15
    4
    2
    10
    20
    0
    2
    05.04.25
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Derby
    Derby
    0.23
    0.62
    4
    3
    7
    12
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.23
    0.62
    4
    3
    7
    12
    0
    2
    27.11.24
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    -
    -
    6
    2
    16
    14
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    16
    14
    3
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Swansea City Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Bristol City, away team - Swansea City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Swansea City vs Bristol City):

    • ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 7 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 8.

    Swansea are going through a challenging period, as evidenced by their current form. The Swans have lost their last three matches and have only managed to avoid defeat once in their last five outings. Despite this, the team is actively trying to maintain possession and improve their performance. However, they are conceding too many goals, which hampers their ability to secure points.

    Match Results: Swansea City

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.82
    2.96
    5
    6
    16
    7
    3
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.82
    2.96
    5
    6
    16
    7
    3
    2
    W
    22.08.26
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Sheffield United
    Sheffield United
    0.67
    1.82
    6
    3
    14
    10
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.67
    1.82
    6
    3
    14
    10
    2
    2
    D
    15.08.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    W
    08.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    1.75
    0.95
    6
    4
    12
    19
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.75
    0.95
    6
    4
    12
    19
    2
    0
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Leganes
    Leganes
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Derby Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away - Watford). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.

    Here are the match stats (Derby vs Watford):

    • ball possession: 38% vs 62%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 3;
    • fouls: 8 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 4.

    Derby County are making waves with their recent performances, having won 5 of their last 6 matches. This run fuels optimism for continued success. The visitors' style is centered around dynamic counter-attacks and high scoring efficiency, averaging 1.4 goals per match while maintaining solid defense-conceding just one goal on average over the last ten games. The Rams aim to solidify their standing in the league and will look to capitalize on any opponent's mistakes.

    Match Results: Derby

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.82
    2.96
    5
    6
    16
    7
    3
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.82
    2.96
    5
    6
    16
    7
    3
    2
    L
    22.08.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Cardiff
    Cardiff
    1.81
    2.64
    7
    7
    12
    10
    5
    1
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1.81
    2.64
    7
    7
    12
    10
    5
    1
    D
    15.08.26
    Championship
    Charlton
    Charlton
    Derby
    Derby
    1.37
    1.48
    5
    4
    7
    16
    0
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1.37
    1.48
    5
    4
    7
    16
    0
    3
    L
    08.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Derby
    Derby
    Lincoln City
    Lincoln City
    0.75
    1.41
    3
    6
    12
    12
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0.75
    1.41
    3
    6
    12
    12
    1
    2
    L
    04.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Rotherham
    Rotherham
    Derby
    Derby
    -
    -
    2
    4
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    -
    -
    1
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 11;
    • home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 3.

    Statistics: Swansea City vs Derby

    • matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • wins: 4 vs 6;
    • win percentage: 25% vs 38%;
    • losses: 7 vs 5;
    • draws: 5 vs 5.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 5;
    • losses: 6 vs 2;
    • draws: 2 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Swansea City have not won in 8 of last 9 games.
    • Swansea City have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Championship).
    • Swansea City have not won in 6 of last 7 home games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Derby will not lose(odds: 1.6)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.09, the guests - 1.18;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.27;
    • both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 4.

    Statistics: Swansea City vs Derby

    • average total in the tournament: 2.31 vs 2.75;
    • average total goals scored: 0.94 vs 1.38;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.25 vs 0.56;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.81;
    • Swansea City: average total at home in the tournament -  1.13;
    • Derby : average total away in the tournament - 1.43;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1) vs 1.4 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Swansea City have conceded in 13 of last 14 games.
    • Swansea City have conceded in 11 of last 12 games (Championship).
    • Swansea City have conceded in last 10 home games.
    • Swansea City have conceded in last 7 home games (Championship).
    • Derby have scored in 11 of last 12 away games.
    • Derby have scored in 9 of last 10 games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Derby will score goal(odds: 1.5)

    Prediction on corners

    Swansea City: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.63; at home field - 4.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 3.4.

    Derby : Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.63, away - 4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; away - 5.5.
    Trends
    • Swansea City have taken under 5.5 corners in last 10 games against Derby (Championship).
    • Swansea City have taken under 5.5 corners in last 5 home games against Derby (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Swansea City Total Under (5,5)(odds: 1.81)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.36 (1.18 for home team and 1.18 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4 (1.6 for home team and 2.4 for away team).

    Swansea City: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.31; at home - 2.38;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; at home - 2.8.

    Derby : Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.63, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 2.5.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4,5)(odds: 2.61)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 11;
    • both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

    Statistics: Swansea City vs Derby

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 11;
    • number of BTTS matches for Swansea City at home - 6 (75%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 5 (71%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for Swansea City at home - 4 (80%);
    • BTTS matches for Derby away - 3 (75%).
    Trends
    • Swansea City have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 home games.
    • Swansea City have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.98)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Based on the analysis of both teams' current form, we can anticipate a tense contest with end-to-end chances. Swansea are eager to break their losing streak, but Derby County are clearly in better shape, thanks to a recent run of successful performances. Considering the statistics, it becomes clear that the likelihood of both teams finding the net is high. In Swansea's home matches, the bet on both teams to score (yes) consistently pays off, and we recommend placing this wager. The predicted scoreline is 1-1.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 24/11/2025, 17:32

    No comments

    Minimum 20 characters, maximum 500 characters

    Betting Tips: Swansea City - Derby

    Swansea City have not won:
    swansea-city-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    swansea-city-1in 7 of last 8 games (Championship).
    swansea-city-1in 6 of last 7 home games (Championship).
    Derby will not lose
    Everygame
    -164
    Swansea City have scored:
    swansea-city-1in 15 of last 16 home games.
    swansea-city-1in 11 of last 12 home games (Championship).
    Derby have conceded:
    derby-countyin 17 of last 19 away games (Championship).
    derby-countyin 8 of last 9 away games.
    Swansea City will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    Swansea City have conceded:
    swansea-city-1in 13 of last 14 games.
    swansea-city-1in 11 of last 12 games (Championship).
    swansea-city-1in last 10 home games.
    swansea-city-1in last 7 home games (Championship).
    Derby have scored:
    derby-countyin 11 of last 12 away games.
    derby-countyin 9 of last 10 games (Championship).
    Derby will score goal
    Everygame
    -175
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    swansea-city-1in 9 of last 10 Swansea City home games.
    swansea-city-1in last 6 Swansea City games.
    swansea-city-1in last 5 Swansea City games (Championship).
    in last 13 Andrew Kitchen games.
    in last 10 Andrew Kitchen games (in the Championship).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -189
    View more facts

    Swansea - Derby Table position

    Championship 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Wrexham
    Wrexham
    4619141369-6571
    8.
    Derby
    Derby
    462091767-5969
    9.
    Norwich City
    Norwich City
    461981963-5665
    10.
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    4617131657-5664
    11.
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    4618101857-5964
    12.
    Bristol City
    Bristol City
    4617111859-5962

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 9
    +6
    -4
    13 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    13
    9
    Conceded
    17
    2.4
    Match goals average
    3
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats