Derby vs Swansea Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 The clash between Derby County and Swansea promises an intriguing battle as both teams sit mid-table in the Championship. Both sides are showing decent form and are separated by just three points, making it hard to pinpoint a clear favorite for this encounter. However, the bookmakers slightly favor the hosts at Pride Park.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 25 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Swansea City):
- ball possession percentage: 73% vs 27%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Derby and Swansea City:
- played 12 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 4, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 15 against 13;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.08, in the 2nd half - 1.25;
- average total goals in the match - 2.33.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Swansea
Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away team - Ipswich Town). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Ipswich Town):
- ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Derby County continue their push for a higher spot on the table, currently sitting in 11th place. The team is in good form, boasting three wins and a draw in their last five matches. The Rams average 1.45 goals per game, but their defense concedes nearly as many, with around 1.26 goals allowed per match. A significant issue is their home performance, which lags behind their away form: they've managed just two wins in their last ten home games.
Match Results: Derby
Swansea City Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Swansea City, away - Sheffield Wednesday). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:0.
Here are the match stats (Swansea City vs Sheffield Wednesday):
- ball possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 0.
Swansea currently sit in 15th place and have the potential to climb higher with a bit of luck. The Swans have won three of their last five matches, gaining momentum with five victories in their previous ten outings. They average 1.6 goals per game and boast a solid defense. Alan Sheehan's side possess attacking prowess that makes them a formidable opponent for any team. However, they struggle on the road, having lost seven of their last nine away games.
Match Results: Swansea City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 4, draws - 3.
Statistics: Derby vs Swansea City
- matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- wins: 12 vs 12;
- win percentage: 39% vs 39%;
- losses: 10 vs 13;
- draws: 9 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Derby have not won in 8 of last 9 home games.
- Derby have not won in 7 of last 8 home games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.25, the guests - 1.08;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Derby vs Swansea City
- average total in the tournament: 2.71 vs 2.42;
- average total goals scored: 1.45 vs 1.23;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.68 vs 0.39;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.77 vs 0.84;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.19;
- Swansea City: average total away in the tournament - 0.93;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
- Derby have conceded in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Derby have conceded in 8 of last 9 home games (Championship).
- Swansea City have scored in 15 of last 16 games.
- Swansea City have scored in 14 of last 15 games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.77; at home field - 5.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 5.
Swansea City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.97, away - 4.87;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 5.4.
- Swansea City have taken under 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games against Derby (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Swansea City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 22 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 12 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Swansea City away - 7 (47%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Swansea City away - 2 (40%).
- Derby have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Derby have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 home games (Championship).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (58/374, 15.5%);
- Derby at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (6/16, 37.5%);
- Swansea City away most often play: 2:1 (4/15, 26.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.61% (odds 6)
1:0 - 11.64% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 9.25% (odds 7.3)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams have been displaying decent attacking prowess but inconsistent defense, setting the stage for an open game with plenty of chances. Considering Derby County's trend of high-scoring home matches, betting on both teams to score (yes) seems the most reasonable prediction, based on the current form of both teams and their head-to-head statistics.No comments
Betting Tips: Derby - Swansea City
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
