Toluca vs Juarez Prediction 31 August 2026
π Toluca come into this match as an upper-table side, maintaining steady form and the motivation to stay close to the leaders. JuΓ‘rez, by contrast, sit bottom of the table without a single point to their name, which is reflected in both their recent results and their overall level of play. The gap in momentum between the two sides is clear from their form: the hosts are picking up points regularly and showing a balanced performance at both ends of the pitch, while the visitors are struggling seriously in attack and defence alike.
Head-to-Head
π In 18 official meetings between Toluca and JuΓ‘rez, the hosts have won 7, the visitors 6, with 5 draws. Toluca have the edge in goals scored: 29 against 22. On average, these matches have produced 1.06 goals in the first half and 1.78 in the second, giving an overall average of 2.83 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Juarez
Toluca Team Overview
Toluca have been in decent form over their last five matches, picking up three wins alongside one draw and one defeat. They are a reasonably productive side: their average over the last ten matches stands at 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. At home they regularly find the net at least once, though there is a vulnerability at the back - they have conceded in seven consecutive home matches. Their league position remains meaningful, with the club sitting close to first place and still motivated to push for the top spot even at this stage of the season.
Match Results: Toluca
Juarez Team Overview
JuΓ‘rez are going through a difficult spell: five consecutive defeats, with no draws or wins across their last five matches, highlight problems throughout the side. In their last ten games, they have managed just three wins against seven defeats, averaging only 1.2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per match. The team need to rethink their approach to shore up the defence and get the attack functioning.
Match Results: Juarez
Total Goals Prediction
The trend for over 2.5 goals is consistent: the bet has landed in six consecutive matches involving JuΓ‘rez. Their average match total this season is 3.6 goals - they score 0.6 and concede 3.0 per game on average. Toluca also have fairly high scoring numbers: 1.6 goals per match on average this season and 2 at home. All of these figures point to a good chance of a high-scoring game. Our pick: Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.40*.
Corners Prediction
In 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings, Toluca and JuΓ‘rez have produced over 8.5 corners, pointing to a consistent trend for a high corner count. It is also worth noting that the same total has come in in 6 of JuΓ‘rez's last 7 away matches in Liga MX, which adds further weight to the case for high corner activity. The pick is Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.52*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Toluca have scored and conceded at home in 6 of their last 7 matches, which points to a high likelihood of goals at both ends. JuΓ‘rez have also scored and conceded in the first half in each of their last 6 matches, and in their last 10 away matches they have averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. Despite JuΓ‘rez's not particularly high average scoring rate for the season, recent trends support the possibility of goals from both sides. Our pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.76*.
Reliable Bet
In each of the last 5 head-to-head meetings between Toluca and JuΓ‘rez, the total goals have come in under 4.5. The average scoring rate for both sides this season does not exceed 3.6 goals per match, and the head-to-head record supports a low probability of a high-scoring outcome. Our pick: Total Goals - Under 4.5 at 1.20*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 2-0 (10.57%), 2-1 (10.35%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The probabilities are fairly close, but 2-0 has the highest chance. All three scenarios point to Toluca winning without a particularly large margin.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
β Editorial Prediction
Looking at this season's trends for Toluca's home matches, one pattern stands out: both teams scoring. Toluca score and concede at home almost every time - a run of six such outcomes in their previous seven home matches in the competition backs this up. JuΓ‘rez's defensive frailty, combined with the hosts' own regular errors at the back, makes a goal exchange likely here, despite the difference in quality and the visitors' poor form. The editorial's main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Toluca - Juarez
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