Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction 2 September 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Burnley have made a difficult start to the new season and are currently in the relegation zone, which is piling pressure on the team at an early stage of the campaign. Middlesbrough have begun the season confidently, establishing themselves in the upper part of the table after the first three rounds. The hosts' motivation is as high as it gets - they urgently need to find a way to pick up points and climb out of the danger zone. The visitors are targeting automatic promotion and are staying close to the leaders for now, though their margin is minimal.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In official matches between Burnley and Middlesbrough, the two sides have met 10 times. The hosts have won 4, the visitors 2, with 4 draws. Burnley have the edge in goals scored - 10 against 7. On average, 0.5 goals are scored in the first half and 1.2 in the second, giving an average total of 1.7 goals per match.

    Head-to-head statistics Burnley - Middlesbrough

    40%
    4 Wins
    40%
    4 Draws
    20%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    10
    Total Goals Avg
    1.7
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1
    Total average
    0.7
    1
    Yellow cards
    0.9
    Last matches
    29.12.24
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Burnley
    Burnley
    0.5
    0.64
    1
    4
    10
    12
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.5
    0.64
    1
    4
    10
    12
    1
    3
    06.12.24
    Championship
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    0.7
    0.89
    11
    3
    12
    10
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.7
    0.89
    11
    3
    12
    10
    1
    0
    07.04.23
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Burnley
    Burnley
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    1
    17.12.22
    ECS
    Burnley
    Burnley
    1
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    08.04.17
    EPL
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Burnley
    Burnley
    -
    -
    -
    -
    8
    11
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    8
    11
    -
    -
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    Burnley Team Overview

    Burnley have obvious problems both with results and in attack: just one win in their last ten matches, with an average of 0.9 goals scored per game and 1.8 conceded. In their last five matches they have managed only one win, one draw and three defeats, which points to inconsistency even against opponents of varying levels.

    The league pressure has been more acute than usual: Burnley have been fighting to keep their place in the division from the very start of the season, and the lack of goals in attack makes that task even harder.

    Match Results: Burnley

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Norwich City
    Norwich City
    Burnley
    Burnley
    1
    2.33
    1.13
    3
    5
    14
    5
    4
    1
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2.33
    1.13
    3
    5
    14
    5
    4
    1
    L
    26.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Bradford City
    Bradford City
    Burnley
    Burnley
    0.83
    1.61
    5
    14
    7
    9
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    2
    0.83
    1.61
    5
    14
    7
    9
    2
    0
    L
    23.08.26
    Championship
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    Burnley
    Burnley
    2.02
    1.02
    3
    6
    8
    13
    1
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.02
    1.02
    3
    6
    8
    13
    1
    2
    L
    16.08.26
    Championship
    Burnley
    Burnley
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    2.31
    1.52
    5
    6
    12
    9
    1
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2.31
    1.52
    5
    6
    12
    9
    1
    4
    D
    08.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Notts County
    Notts County
    0.68
    0.32
    4
    3
    9
    15
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    4
    3
    0.68
    0.32
    4
    3
    9
    15
    1
    3
    W
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    Middlesbrough Team Overview

    Middlesbrough have shown noticeably more balanced numbers: five wins, two draws and three defeats in their last ten matches point to a consistent side. They are averaging 1.8 goals per game with a fairly solid defence, conceding 1.1 per match. Four wins from their last five, with just one defeat, gives the visitors added confidence heading into the next Championship fixture.

    The club remain motivated to stay in contention for automatic promotion, particularly given how small the gap is to the target positions.

    Match Results: Middlesbrough

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    2.01
    1.32
    7
    6
    15
    6
    0
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2.01
    1.32
    7
    6
    15
    6
    0
    1
    W
    25.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Doncaster Rovers
    Doncaster Rovers
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    1.41
    2.34
    1
    7
    13
    16
    2
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.41
    2.34
    1
    7
    13
    16
    2
    2
    W
    22.08.26
    Championship
    Blackburn Rovers
    Blackburn Rovers
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    0.94
    1.57
    2
    10
    9
    10
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0.94
    1.57
    2
    10
    9
    10
    4
    1
    L
    15.08.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Lincoln City
    Lincoln City
    1.66
    0.89
    5
    5
    12
    12
    0
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1.66
    0.89
    5
    5
    12
    12
    0
    2
    W
    07.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Wrexham
    Wrexham
    1.61
    1.34
    7
    3
    10
    11
    1
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.61
    1.34
    7
    3
    10
    11
    1
    4
    W
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    Total Goals Prediction

    In 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings, Burnley and Middlesbrough have combined for no more than three goals, pointing to a traditionally low-scoring fixture. On top of that, Burnley are averaging 1.33 goals per match this season while Middlesbrough average 2, and neither side concedes heavily. These factors support a bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.4*.

    Reliable Bet

    Burnley have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches, which confirms a clear trend towards low scoring. On top of that, they have averaged just 1.2 goals per game across their last 10 home matches. These figures make Burnley Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals a reliable bet.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely correct scores in this match are 1-1 (11.81%), 1-2 (7.62%) and 2-2 (7.39%). Of these, the draw at 1-1 has the highest probability, though the gaps between the top three are not particularly large.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Burnley's current form and recent match statistics clearly point to difficulties in front of goal. They are averaging fewer than one goal per game and rarely get past the 1.5-goal mark, as illustrated by the trend: Burnley have failed to score more than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven matches. Even with the hosts highly motivated to stay out of the relegation zone, their attacking output has been limited in practice, both across the season and in recent results. With that in mind, the editorial selection is Burnley Team Total - Under 1.5. Predicted score: 1-1.

    Burnley Total goals Under (1,5)
    Published: 31/08/2026, 18:29
    Daniil Shilovich
    Daniil Shilovich
    Football specialist
    53
    0
    31
    84 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Burnley - Middlesbrough

    Burnley have drawn in the 1st half:
    burnley-fc-2middlesbrough-fc-1in 9 of last 10 games against Middlesbrough.
    burnley-fc-2middlesbrough-fc-1in 6 of last 7 games against Middlesbrough (Championship).
    burnley-fc-2middlesbrough-fc-1in last 5 home games against Middlesbrough.
    1st Half Draw
    +112
    Burnley have lost the 1st half:
    burnley-fc-2in 5 of last 6 home games.
    1st Half Middlesbrough Win
    +240
    Burnley have drawn:
    burnley-fc-2in last 4 home games.
    Draw
    +245
    Burnley have not won:
    burnley-fc-2in last 18 games.
    Middlesbrough will not lose
    -182
    View more facts

    Burnley - Middlesbrough Table position

    Championship 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Queens Park Rangers
    Queens Park Rangers
    32105-27
    5.
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    32016-46
    6.
    Millwall
    Millwall
    32016-56
    21.
    Derby
    Derby
    30123-71
    22.
    Burnley
    Burnley
    30124-91
    23.
    Preston North End
    Preston North End
    30032-60

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    3 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 18
    -9
    +7
    18 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    2
    6
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    18
    18
    Conceded
    11
    2.7
    Match goals average
    2.9
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    7
    Both teams scored
    7
    103'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    52'
    View all stats