Napoli vs Roma Prediction 15 February 2026
📢 What to expect from the clash between Napoli and Roma? One of the key matches of Serie A's 25th round will take place at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. The teams currently sit in third and fifth place, respectively, and are locked in a tight battle for a Champions League spot, with only three points separating them. The stakes are incredibly high in this encounter, especially as both sides are solely focused on securing a victory.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between Napoli and Roma in recent years appears quite balanced: out of 39 matches, Napoli have secured 16 victories, while the Romans have triumphed 13 times, with 10 encounters ending in a draw. In the first half of the current season, Napoli were slightly more successful, clinching a narrow 1-0 victory away from home.
Head-to-head statistics Napoli - Roma
Napoli Team Overview
🔵 In 2026, Napoli have noticeably slowed down. Over a month and a half, the team have played 11 matches across all competitions, securing only four victories. They've been knocked out of both the Champions League and the Coppa Italia. In Serie A, the Neapolitans have also lost their previous consistency: their gap from the leading Inter has widened to nine points, while their advantage over the fifth place has shrunk to a mere three points.
⚪ The latest match was a major disappointment for the fans. On February 10, the "Partenopei" fell to Como in the Coppa Italia quarterfinals (1-1 in regular time, 6-7 on penalties) at home. The hosts did not outperform their opponents in terms of gameplay, with statistics being very even. With the backing of the home crowd, the team should have been more aggressive, but injuries are taking their toll - several key players remain sidelined.
Match Results: Napoli
Roma Team Overview
🔴 Roma in 2026 may lack absolute consistency, but their results appear more convincing with five wins in ten matches. The "Wolves" hold the fifth spot in the standings with 46 points after 24 rounds. Juventus, sitting fourth, also have 46 points, but the Romans trail due to goal difference.
🟡 In the last round, Roma confidently dispatched Cagliari at home with a 2-0 victory. The "Wolves" completely dominated the match, allowing their opponents just three shots in 90 minutes. Donnyell Malen deserves special mention for his brace, which effectively secured the three points for the team.
Match Results: Roma
Latest news
Napoli
📣 Following their exit from the Coppa Italia, Antonio Conte was outspoken about the officiating: "This is definitely not the best season for referees and VAR. I hope they find a way to improve the situation... Everyone is complaining-coaches, players, and fans-so Rocchi needs to raise the standard of his referees and VAR officials. It's bad for football and bad for us." On injuries: "What an absurd question. How could anyone predict Di Lorenzo's injury or Lukaku's tendon tear?... All we can do is go to the temple and pray because these are season-long injuries. I don't think anything like this has ever happened to another club."
🚫 As previously noted, Napoli are facing significant squad issues. Juan Jesus will miss the match due to a red card received in the last round. Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa (muscle injury), Billy Gilmour (groin injury), and Kevin De Bruyne (thigh injury) are expected to return by the end of February. David Neres will be back in action by the end of March after recovering from a hamstring injury. Giovanni Di Lorenzo will take the longest to return, as he is recovering from a knee injury and is expected back only by early April.
Roma
📣 Following their 2-0 victory over Roma, head coach Gian Piero Gasperini highlighted his team's positive response after their 1-0 loss to Udinese: "We played an excellent match. This team always responds well, as they did after the defeat to Udinese. It's a pity we didn't double our lead in the first half because games remain open after that."
🚫 Roma face fewer injury concerns. Evan Ferguson's participation is doubtful as he recovers from a thigh injury. Kouadio Kone is expected to return from his thigh injury by the end of February. However, Artem Dovbyk will be sidelined until mid-April with a muscle injury. The timeline for Stephan El Shaarawy's return from an Achilles tendon injury remains uncertain.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Roma have generally not faced systemic issues in attack, having found the back of the net in 8 of their last 9 matches, consistently breaking down opponent defenses. Meanwhile, Napoli have been struggling defensively, with their last clean sheet dating back to January 17 against Sassuolo (1-0). Given these circumstances, betting on a Roma goal seems like a reasonable option.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Napoli consistently deliver strong corner stats in head-to-head matchups with Roma, having won at least five corners in 7 of their last 8 home Serie A games against the Romans. This season, their corner statistics are equally impressive, with the Partenopei averaging 5.3 corners per game, ranking fourth in the league. Considering these figures, the option of Napoli over 4.5 corners looks quite appealing.
Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers slightly favor Napoli, but their cautious line is understandable as the reigning champions are currently far from their best form. Moreover, Roma have proven to be a tough opponent, showcasing exemplary defensive play this season with just 14 goals conceded in 24 matches-the best record in Serie A. Considering the importance of this fixture and the head-to-head stats (no more than two goals scored in eight of the last ten meetings between these teams), along with Roma's restrained style of play (nine of the last ten "Giallorossi" games ended with under totals), the most reasonable bet seems to be on total under 2.5 goals. We anticipate a 1-1 scoreline on the board.
No comments
Betting Tips: Napoli - Roma
in 11 of last 12 games against Roma (Serie A).in last 7 home games against Roma (Serie A).in 23 of last 24 home games.in last 18 home games (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
in 17 of last 19 games against Roma (Serie A).in 16 of last 17 home games against Roma.in 15 of last 16 home games against Roma (Serie A).in 9 of last 10 home games.
in 8 of last 9 Napoli home games against Roma (Serie A).in last 6 Napoli games.in 8 of last 9 Roma games.
in 9 of last 10 Andrea Colombo games.in 8 of last 9 home games against Roma (Serie A).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
