Everton vs Brighton Prediction 24 August 2025
🔊 For Everton, moving away from Goodison Park marks the beginning of a new era. The Toffees will kick off this chapter with a Premier League match in the second round against Brighton. While the Seagulls won't be the first visitors to the new Hill Dickinson Stadium-Roma claimed that honor during the summer-they will be the first among English elite clubs. Everton's previous encounter with one of the Premier League newcomers ended disastrously. Where better than at their new home for the Liverpool side to seek redemption? What will Brighton, who also had an underwhelming start to the season, have to say about such ambitions? We provide answers to these questions and more in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the last 10 Premier League matches, the teams are evenly matched in terms of results: 3 wins each and 3 draws. However, Everton hold a slight edge in overall scoring with a tally of 17:15.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Everton Team Overview
🔵 Everton have stumbled out of the gate in this Premier League campaign. Under David Moyes' guidance, they opted to "park the bus" against Leeds United in the first half. As a result, they lagged in possession (37% to 63%) and failed to make any impact in attack, managing no shots compared to Leeds' 12. This poor start was compounded by the absence of defenders Jarrad Branthwaite and Vitaliy Mykolenko, both sidelined with injuries.
⚪️ Moyes managed to slightly adjust the team's play during the break, but the defensive frailties persisted. After a turnover by Everton's midfielder Carlos Alcaraz, Leeds applied pressure, leading to midfielder Anton Stach's shot. The effort deflected off Everton's newcomer Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and hit James Tarkowski's arm. Following a VAR review, the referee awarded a penalty, which Jordan Pickford nearly saved, having noted the shot direction on his trusty water bottle. Nonetheless, the goal stood and ultimately decided the match.
⚡️ Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, signed from Chelsea, started for the Toffees, playing in the number ten role and earning the highest rating among Everton players. Two more summer signings made appearances: Jack Grealish in the 71st minute and Thierno Barry in the 85th, though neither made a significant impact.
Match Results: Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion Team Overview
⚪️ The match between Brighton and Fulham was a closely contested affair. The Seagulls held a slight edge until their penalty goal. This was set up by a clever interplay between club newcomer Maxime De Kuiper and Georginio Rutter. The Belgian defender played a one-touch pass from the flank to the forward who had dropped deep, carrying the ball all the way to the penalty area. There, he was tripped by the Cottagers' midfielder Berg - a clear-cut penalty. Matt O’Riley converted the spot-kick and was ultimately named Man of the Match.
🔵 Alongside him, Carlos Baleba shone for the Seagulls - the 21-year-old Cameroonian expertly dominated the defensive midfield area. Fulham's equalizer came in stoppage time from a set-piece: 39-year-old James Milner, chasing the record for most Premier League appearances, couldn't keep up with forward Rodrigo Muniz, who sealed the 1-1 draw. While the start of the season isn't exactly a disaster for Fabian Hurzeler's side, this result could significantly impact his chances of being named Premier League Manager of the Month in August for a second consecutive year.
Match Results: Brighton & Hove Albion
Latest news
Everton
🎙 Ahead of the upcoming opening match at the new Premier League stadium, David Moyes shared his thoughts on the venue: "I think it really feels like home. We need a bit of time to get used to it, but it's a magnificent stadium, and hopefully, we'll see great players and teams here in the future. It's a fantastic arena and a step up from Goodison. For me personally, it's also an important milestone - I've had many turns in my career, but overall, I believe the club was very eager for a new stadium," stated the Everton manager. The new stadium has a capacity of 51,565 spectators and cost around £750 million.
💰 "Hill Dickinson" is expected to bring in an additional £40 million per year, which will be extremely beneficial for the club.
❌ Left out of the squad for the match against Leeds are defenders Vitaliy Mykolenko and Jarrad Branthwaite. The Ukrainian picked up an injury early in the final preseason match against Roma. The Englishman was injured during one of the subsequent training sessions. The recovery timelines for both players remain unclear.
Brighton & Hove Albion
📝 Brighton's management seems to have wrapped up their transfer market activities, yet interest in the club's players remains. The main attraction is still Carlos Baleba, who has caught the eye of Manchester United. However, the Seagulls have made it clear that they won't part with the midfielder for less than the €120 million price tag set during the winter. Meanwhile, Julio Enciso is set for a move to Chelsea via a one-year loan at Strasbourg. This sale won't be a significant loss for Brighton, as the player spent the second half of last season on loan at Ipswich.
🎙 Fabian Hurzeler commented on the young Paraguayan's transfer to Chelsea: “There are several reasons why he's leaving. Some players perform under different circumstances at various times. When I worked with Julio, I was very pleased. He's a young guy with great potential. Our work together was positive. He had a few injuries, but overall, he's a young player who just really wants to play,” remarked Brighton's head coach on the departure of the 21-year-old midfielder. It's worth noting that this is already the fourth Seagull to head to the blue side of London.
❌ Solly March and Adam Webster are still recovering from knee injuries, which will keep them off the pitch for the foreseeable future. On a brighter note, Jack Hinshelwood has returned to full training. According to Hurzeler, the versatile midfielder will be back in the squad for the match against Everton and might even make an appearance during the game.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Stuart Attwell. Over his last 10 Premier League matches, he has averaged 4.1 yellow cards per game. This season began for the Englishman with a Conference League qualifier between Spartak Trnava and Craiova, where he handed out six cautions.
Brighton are not known for collecting yellow cards and typically play a clean game. This is evident in their head-to-heads with Everton, where the Seagulls have never received more cards than their opponents in the last eight encounters. We anticipate that David Moyes' side, with his old-school managerial style, might be more inclined towards a physical game. The odds look favorable for Everton to receive no more yellow cards than Brighton.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Brighton significantly outpace their opponents in total goals over their last 10 matches, averaging 3.7 compared to 2.5. The Seagulls also show a strong second-half scoring advantage, with 2.4 goals compared to 1.3 in the first half. However, this isn't solely due to their own scoring prowess. Brighton often concede goals in the second half, despite evenly distributing their own goals across both halves. We saw a similar scenario in the first round match, where they fell short of victory by mere seconds. We believe it's worth considering the goal distribution across halves-more goals will be scored in the second half than in the first.
🚩 Corner Prediction
David Moyes places a strong emphasis on playing through the center of the pitch, as evidenced by his summer signings Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Jack Grealish. His teams prefer to work the ball through the middle of the opponent's penalty area rather than relying on the flanks. This is reflected in Everton's recent performances, where they have not exceeded 5.5 corners in seven consecutive Premier League matches. Without Vitaliy Mykolenko, who can drive the ball from his own half to the corner flag, this number may decrease further. If Everton starts defensively against Brighton, we shouldn't expect them to win many set-pieces. Our pick: Everton's total corners under 5.5.
Editor's Prediction
After a shaky start, bookmakers remain skeptical about Everton even as hosts at their new stadium. Defensive injuries for the Toffees might again impact their slow start to the match. It's crucial for David Moyes to replicate his team's second-half performance against Leeds in the first half against Brighton this time around. Nonetheless, even if things don't go their way initially, we anticipate Moyes's halftime adjustments will allow the Blues to open up during the match, which typically spells trouble for a Brighton side that tends to struggle in the second half. The visitors have conceded in 12 of their last 13 Premier League outings, and the start of this season has shown that trend continues.
However, we have much more confidence in Fabian Hurzeler's attack, and we're fairly certain they will create a few clear-cut chances to convert. A 1-1 scoreline seems reasonable here-it's hard to deny Everton fans a celebratory moment at their new ground. We sincerely hope the first official match at Hill Dickinson will be a spectacle, so we're backing both teams to score.
Betting Tips: Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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