Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction 29 August 2026
🔊 Tottenham began the season with a defeat to Brentford, while Newcastle drew with Liverpool, having led twice during that match. In the League Cup, though, Spurs showed a marked improvement and thrashed Charlton. The Magpies also progressed, beating West Brom. The two sides come into this meeting in different moods, but both have shown they are capable of playing open football.
Head-to-Head
📊 Across 41 head-to-head meetings, Tottenham have won 17 and Newcastle 19, with five draws. The average total is 3.44 goals, and both teams have scored in 71% of those matches - a record that points to an evenly matched rivalry with a good level of scoring.
Recent meetings have shifted the balance somewhat, though. Newcastle have gone four Premier League matches without losing to Tottenham, and the last two games at Spurs' ground have ended in away wins.
Head-to-head statistics Tottenham - Newcastle

Tottenham Hotspur Team Overview
⚫ The defeat to Brentford showed that Tottenham are still adjusting to Roberto De Zerbi's demands. They lost the ball under pressure far too often and created just 0.52 xG going forward. A few days later in the EFL Cup, though, they looked different: 73% possession, 20 shots and five goals.
Charlton's level is obviously nowhere near the Premier League, but for De Zerbi the match mattered in terms of building form. Spurs are gradually getting players back from injury, and new signing Savinho is adding extra competition in attack. The Brazilian came off the bench in the League Cup and contributed two goal involvements late on.
The main issue for the hosts is that they want to play a high line and control the ball, but they are not always quick enough to reorganise after losing possession. Against Newcastle, who are good at exploiting space, that could be a significant factor.
Match Results: Tottenham Hotspur

Newcastle United Team Overview
⚪ Newcastle started the season with more confidence. Against Liverpool, they matched a side that was considered one of the best attacking teams in the league for much of last season. Newcastle generated 1.21 xG and had 13 shots, though they also gave Liverpool space in behind.
Defence looks like the weak point for Matthias Jaissle's side so far. Newcastle have conceded four goals in their first two official matches of the season, though going forward they look more convincing. Five shots on target across two matches suggests their attacking threat is still there.
That matters particularly ahead of the Tottenham game. The hosts' high defensive line will leave space for the visitors' quick attacks, and Newcastle are capable of exploiting that.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Latest news
Tottenham Hotspur
❌ Xavi Simons and Wilson Odobert will miss the second round through injury. Dejan Kulusevski and James Maddison are also out.
Newcastle United
⛔️ The visitors have their own injury concerns. Joelinton and Dan Burn will miss the match, while Tino Livramento is a doubt. The main attacking options are available, so Jäissle will be able to stick with his usual approach of playing with intensity going forward.
⚽ Goals Prediction
The head-to-head history points towards a high-scoring game. Recent meetings between these sides give no reason to expect a tight, low-key affair. The last four Premier League encounters between them ended with both teams scoring.
Current form reinforces that argument. Spurs responded to their defeat by Brentford by scoring five in the Cup. Newcastle, meanwhile, hit five across their last two matches. Both clubs also have defensive problems. Our bet: Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.60*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
The match total for corners looks a less reliable option here than the individual team total. Tottenham averaged around 5.5 corners per match last season, while Newcastle averaged approximately 6.0. In the last three head-to-head meetings, the Magpies never lost the corners count, delivering 7 or more on each occasion.
The hosts under De Zerbi will look to dominate possession, but Newcastle's high line and quick transitions could force them to attack down the flanks. That gives the visitors a decent chance of getting close to their usual corners tally even away from home. Our selection: Newcastle Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at 1.75*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Tottenham picked up 99 yellow cards in the Premier League last season - an average of 2.61 per match. Newcastle's figure was noticeably lower: 65 cards, or around 1.71 per game. The hosts look more interesting for the individual market.
De Zerbi's style could also be a factor here. The London club tries to win the ball back immediately after losing it, and when the press doesn't work, players are forced to stop the opposition's quick attacks. That was the case in three of the last four head-to-head matches, where Spurs left the pitch with at least two yellow cards each time. Our bet: Tottenham Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1.5 at 1.62*.
🚀 Player Statistics Bet
After the first matchday, Sávio looks the leading candidate for a goal involvement. The Brazilian missed the Brentford match, having joined the squad only after it. He did get the chance to show what he can do in the Cup, though, and took it well.
De Zerbi now has reason to give him more time on the pitch. Sávio's pace is particularly useful against Newcastle, who themselves leave space during transitions. We're backing Sávio to score or assist.
😱 Risky Bet
Recent head-to-head results give Newcastle a significant edge. The Magpies have won the last two meetings at Tottenham's ground and have gone four consecutive Premier League matches without losing to Spurs. The visitors have also already shown against Liverpool that they can take the game to a strong opponent and create chances.
The problem is that Newcastle's defence has also been conceding a lot of danger at the other end. A straightforward away win remains a risky option. A goal-fest seems the more logical expectation. Our bet: Both Teams to Score 2 or More Goals at 4.00*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
Last season Tottenham scored in 16 of their 19 home matches. There is also the added motivation of making amends after the heavy defeat to Brentford. Newcastle have already conceded four goals, and Spurs' high line will push both teams into a high-tempo game throughout. At least one goal from the hosts looks a likely outcome. Our bet: Tottenham to Score at 1.15*.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go to Plan
The main expectation is open football and goals from both sides. But Tottenham are capable of playing more cautiously, especially if De Zerbi draws the right conclusions from the first-round defeat. The Cup win showed the team can control the ball. If the hosts score first and shut down Newcastle's approaches, the visitors will find themselves in an unfamiliar situation. They will have to open up, and the London side will have the chance to use the pace of their attacking players. Our selection: Tottenham to Win at 2.25*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
The two sides come into this match with different results behind them, but there is plenty in common about the way they play. Both look to attack, both use a high press, and neither has been particularly reliable defensively so far. The head-to-head record also points towards a goal-filled game. While Newcastle look the more consistent side and carry a psychological edge from their previous meetings, the home advantage and the London club's likely reaction to losing in the opening round mean the visitors cannot be considered clear favourites. Predicted correct score: 2-2. Main bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
