Brighton vs Everton Prediction 31 January 2026
🔊 The battle for a top-10 spot heats up between Brighton and Everton in the 24th round of the Premier League. Both teams have found solid form for mid-table sides, each suffering just one defeat in their last six matches. The Seagulls currently sit 13th in the standings, trailing the 10th-placed Toffees by three points. Can they bridge the gap in their home clash at the Amex? We'll assess both teams' chances in our editorial's prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Brighton have struggled against Everton recently, securing just one win over the last three seasons. However, looking at their last 10 encounters, the picture isn't as grim: the Toffees have come out on top four times, the Seagulls three, with three matches ending in a draw.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Brighton & Hove Albion Team Overview
Heading into the final matchday of the Premier League, Brighton were on a five-game unbeaten streak. However, with the majority of those matches ending in draws, the Seagulls couldn't break into the top ten, finishing in 12th place, just three points shy of the coveted top half of the table.
Fabian Hurzeler's side had a decent chance to crack the top 10 in their recent away fixture against Fulham. Both teams shared possession evenly and had nearly identical opportunities (12 shots with 1.26 xG for Brighton compared to 13 shots with 1.51 xG for the hosts). The Seagulls led until the 72nd minute but conceded the equalizer in stoppage time, ending the match 2-1.
Match Results: Brighton & Hove Albion
Everton Team Overview
Everton's last six Premier League matches mirror Brighton's results: two wins, one loss, and three draws. At the beginning of this stretch, the Toffees were in the top eight of the league but briefly dropped out of the top ten for a week. However, David Moyes and his squad managed to regain their form, lifting the Blues back to 10th place.
In the 23rd round of the Premier League, Everton hosted Leeds, a team they had lost to at the start of the season. Despite having more possession (58% to 42%), the visitors were more threatening in attack (14 shots with 1.39 xG compared to 10 shots with 0.99 xG) and even took the lead first. However, in the 76th minute, the hosts equalized and secured a draw.
Match Results: Everton
Latest news
Brighton & Hove Albion
🎙 Brighton's head coach voiced his disappointment following the away defeat to Fulham: "That's football; sometimes it can be cruel, and the better team loses. We controlled what we could, and in terms of performance, this was one of our best matches. Overall, we defended very well, we had control of the game, but that's football - you have to understand it. Some might worry, but I see the team sticking together. Sometimes you need a bit of luck in football, and we need to get that luck back. There's no point in complaining; we just have to keep working," said Fabian Hürzeler.
❌ No surprises in Brighton's squad list: Adam Webster, Stefanos Tsimas, and Solly March remain sidelined as they recover from ACL injuries. Recently, Brian Gruda and Mats Wieffer have also joined the injury list.
Everton
🎙 Everton's head coach shared his thoughts on the draw against Leeds. "Mixed feelings. I'm very disappointed with how Everton played in the first half. Our tactics didn't work as well as we hoped. We scored a goal and were unlucky not to get a second. Leeds fought for every ball. We didn't fight well, which is unlike us. Overall, we lacked something that could have changed the game. We've had many players return, but none of them were ready to start," said David Moyes.
❌ As David Moyes noted, many players have returned to Everton's squad. However, the Toffees still cannot count on Tim Iroegbunam, who is just regaining fitness, as well as their top player in goals and assists, Jack Grealish.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by Chris Kavanagh, who averages 4.4 yellow cards per game in his last 10 Premier League outings. Head-to-head clashes between these teams are notoriously intense, with at least four yellow cards shown in seven of their last eight encounters. Given the stakes, as both teams are vying for a top-ten finish in the Premier League, we anticipate the tension to remain high. Our prediction: total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Under David Moyes, Everton's style this season has been notably pragmatic. Often, a single goal decides the outcome of their matches, which explains why the total has been under 2.5 goals in seven of their last eight Premier League fixtures. Their success is built on a solid defense. Interestingly, the Blues seem even more disciplined on the road, having kept clean sheets in five of their last six away games. With these factors in mind, a bet on total goals under 2.5 appears well-founded.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Despite their league position, Everton have one of the lowest average corner counts in the Premier League (4.17 over 23 matches). On the road, the Toffees become even more conservative, averaging a league-low 3.36 corners over 11 away games. Regardless of location, Everton have struggled to penetrate the final third, managing no more than four corners in six consecutive matches. Based on this trend, we suggest betting on Everton's total corners under 4.5.
Editorial Prediction
Considering the identical form of both teams over the last six Premier League rounds, it's surprising to see such a significant difference in odds: Brighton's are more than twice as low. Moreover, Everton have a strong head-to-head record against the Seagulls, who have managed just one win in their last six encounters. Additionally, Everton's squad is less affected by injuries, and their away record in the league is impressive: one loss in the last seven matches, with two draws and four wins. We expect the Merseysiders to perform just as well at the Amex Stadium. Our prediction: Everton will not lose. A goalless draw (0-0) wouldn't surprise us, given how solidly David Moyes' side defends on the road.
Betting Tips: Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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