Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction 22 November 2025
The clash between Ajax and Excelsior promises to be thrilling, given the current form of both teams. Ajax, striving for top positions in the standings, host one of the league's underdogs. The hosts' potent attack against the visitors' shaky defense adds intrigue to this matchup. Despite Ajax's strong home performance, their last game ended in a 2-2 draw. In this fixture, Ajax are expected to rotate their squad to manage energy levels for the season, which could impact their performance both offensively and defensively.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 24 April 2024 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Ajax were the home side):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 4 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Ajax and Excelsior:
- 24 matches played;
- home wins: 18, away wins: 1, draws: 5;
- goals scored: 71 against 23;
- average total goals in the 1st half: 1.79, in the 2nd half: 2.13;
- average total goals per match: 3.92.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Eredivisie, with Utrecht hosting Ajax. The match ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Ajax vs Utrecht):
- possession: 69% vs 31%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Ajax are among the top four in the league and have been in decent form, securing five wins and two losses in their last 12 matches. However, the team is going through a challenging spell-two wins and three losses in their last five outings suggest inconsistency in their performances. Their most recent match ended in defeat, but they remain traditionally strong at home, scoring under 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 home games thanks to a solid defense. Their playing style relies on ball control and swift flank attacks.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Excelsior Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Eredivisie, where Excelsior hosted Heracles Almelo. The match ended with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Excelsior vs Heracles Almelo):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 6 vs 13;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Excelsior are facing significant challenges this season, languishing near the bottom of the table with six losses and one draw in their last ten matches. Recent games suggest slight improvement, as they secured a win after suffering three consecutive defeats. The team is attempting to offset their shortcomings with aggressive counter-attacks, but an average of 1.92 goals conceded per game highlights their defensive frailties.
Match Results: Excelsior
Latest news
Ajax Amsterdam
Ajax have yet to secure a head coach during the international break. Both Marc Overmars and Erik ten Hag declined the opportunity to lead the Amsterdam side. The club is currently searching for a technical director, and it appears that the team's situation isn't at its best.
Excelsior
Excelsior head into the match not in the best form. Booth and Jansen will be unavailable, while Bronkhorst and Hartjes are doubtful for the game.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- Total encounters - 24;
- First-half wins for home team - 6; for away team - 0; draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.79;
- Today's home side averages 1.21 goals, while the visitors average 0.58.
First-half stats: Ajax (home) vs Excelsior (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- Wins: 4 (66.67%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- Losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 3 (50%);
- Draws: 1 (16.67%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 1.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 1 vs 3;
- Losses: 5 vs 1;
- Draws: 4 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 1.4) vs 1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.4).
- Ajax have scored in the first half in six consecutive head-to-head matches with this team (Eredivisie).
- Ajax have found the net in the first half at home in six of their last seven matches (Eredivisie).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 24;
- Home victories - 18, Away victories - 1, Draws - 5.
Statistics: Ajax vs Excelsior
- Matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- Victories: 5 vs 3;
- Win percentage: 42% vs 25%;
- Losses: 2 vs 8;
- Draws: 5 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 3;
- Losses: 5 vs 6;
- Draws: 3 vs 1.
- Excelsior cover the +2.5 spread in 10 consecutive matches.
- Excelsior cover the +2.5 spread in 9 consecutive Eredivisie matches.
- Excelsior cover the +2.5 spread in 5 consecutive away matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home side average goals - 2.96, visitors - 0.96;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.92;
- Both teams scored: overall - 17 times; at the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: Ajax vs Excelsior
- Average total in the tournament: 3.25 vs 2.83;
- Average goals scored: 1.83 vs 0.92;
- Average total in the first half: 0.83 vs 0.58;
- Average total in the second half: 1 vs 0.33;
- Ajax: average home total in the tournament - 1.67;
- Excelsior: average away total in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 0.75) vs 0.9 (away - 1).
- Ajax concede in 9 consecutive head-to-head Eredivisie matches.
- Ajax concede in 13 consecutive matches.
- Ajax concede in 9 consecutive Eredivisie matches.
- Ajax concede at home in 6 consecutive matches.
Corners Prediction
Ajax: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.58; at home - 6.17;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.6; at home - 3.75.
Excelsior: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.5, away - 4.67;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; away - 6.4.
- Total under 9.5 corners hit in Ajax's last 6 home matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.16 (1.08 for the home side and 1.08 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 2.17 (1 for the home side and 1.17 for the visitors).
Ajax: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.08; at home - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 3.
Excelsior: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.33, away - 1.67;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.6; away - 2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 24;
- Both teams scored overall - 17 times;
- At the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: Ajax against Excelsior
- Total matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- Total season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 9 vs 7;
- Ajax BTTS at home - 3 (50%);
- Excelsior BTTS away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- Ajax BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
- Excelsior BTTS away - 3 (60%).
- Ajax score and concede in their last 9 head-to-head Eredivisie matches.
- Ajax score and concede in 8 of their last 9 Eredivisie matches.
⭐ Editors' Prediction
Considering the head-to-head statistics, we can anticipate an open game with plenty of chances for both teams. However, Ajax, in desperate need of victories and having had two weeks to adapt to their interim head coach, are likely to play very aggressively. On their home turf, they simply won't allow themselves to lose. Our bet is on Ajax Handicap (-1).
Betting Tips: Ajax Amsterdam - Excelsior
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
