Toronto FC vs DC United Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔉 The MLS table picture late in the season adds to the intrigue: Toronto are just three points outside the playoff places, while DC United trail by six. Both sides are under real pressure to get results and need a win to keep their postseason hopes alive. Neither team has been able to string together consistent results in recent rounds, which makes the upcoming match all the harder to call.
Both teams are consistently finding the back of the net.
25 July 2026 DC United beat Toronto at home in MLS 2-1. Toronto had more possession and created more dangerous attacks (56 to 37), but the hosts had the edge in shots - 17 to 13.
📊 Across 41 official matches, the two sides have been remarkably evenly matched: DC United have won 14, Toronto 13, and 14 more have ended in draws. Both teams scored in 28 of those matches, including in 4 of the last 5 meetings between them.
Head-to-head statistics Toronto FC - DC United
Toronto Team Overview
Toronto's most recent MLS match ended in a 2-4 away defeat to Columbus Crew (24 October 2026), despite having twice as many shots - 20 to 10. They also had a clear edge in shots from inside the box: 16 to 8.
Toronto are fighting for a playoff spot, and that is clearly having an effect on the team's mentality. Despite winning only three of their last ten matches, they have been productive at home, scoring more than 1.5 goals in almost all of their recent home games. Their average of 1.7 goals scored per game over the last ten matches is offset by a vulnerable defence that has conceded 2.2 goals per game over the same period. Their last five matches have been inconsistent - one draw, two wins and two defeats - which points to fluctuating form, though their attacking threat remains even in a difficult league position.
Match Results: Toronto
DC United Team Overview
DC United lost their previous MLS home match to Cincinnati 0-2 (24 October 2026). The hosts had more possession (57%) and launched more dangerous attacks (65 to 38), but managed only two shots on target - the same as their opponents.
DC United can still theoretically reach the playoffs, but their situation is more difficult: they need to make up six points in the space of just three remaining matches. Their attack has been misfiring - they have averaged just one goal per match across all their recent games, and away from home they have more often than not failed to reach the 1.5-goal mark. Over the last five matchdays DC United have won just once, with four consecutive defeats following that single victory - a sign of decline both in performance and in the squad's morale heading into the final stretch of the season.
Match Results: DC United
Total Goals Prediction
DC United have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 away MLS matches, and their seasonal statistics back this up - they average 1.2 goals per game on the road this season. Over their last 10 away matches, that figure stands at 1.25 goals. This points towards DC United Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at 1.58*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
In 15 of the last 16 head-to-head meetings between Toronto and DC United, both teams have scored - a very pronounced trend for this market. Toronto have also conceded an average of 2 goals per game in their last 10 home matches, while DC United have scored an average of 1.25 goals per game in their last 10 away matches. All of this points to a high probability that Both Teams to Score - Yes lands, priced at 1.50*.
High-Risk Bet
Toronto have been highly productive at home, averaging 2.4 goals per game over their last 10 home matches, and have scored more than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 home fixtures. DC United, meanwhile, have been conceding an average of 3.25 goals per away game over their last 10 away matches. That said, DC United rarely lose by a large margin in head-to-head meetings, which increases the risk here. Toronto FC Handicap -1 is priced at 2.72*.
Safer Bet
Toronto have gone seven consecutive home matches without defeat, which makes the double chance bet a fairly reliable option. On top of that, they have lost just twice at home all season, while DC United have won only twice away from home all season. This supports the case for the hosts at least not losing. The odds are 1.31*.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9.2%), 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-2 (7.33%). The highest probability belongs to 1-1, though the values are fairly close, reflecting a strong likelihood of a competitive, high-scoring match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The data clearly points to DC United's difficulties with scoring away from home - a trend confirmed by their frequent failure to manage more than one goal on the road for virtually the entire MLS season. Their recent form overall gives little reason to expect a sudden improvement in attack, even accounting for the motivation that comes with the end of the season: form and statistics suggest the opposite. The main prediction is DC United Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals.
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Betting Tips: Toronto - DC United
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