Excelsior vs Ajax Prediction 1 February 2026
🔊 Will Ajax's unbeaten run in the Eredivisie continue? The Amsterdam side face Excelsior, who are eager to climb above mid-table. Ajax, on the other hand, are focused on maintaining their spot in the top three. The teams showcase contrasting styles: Excelsior favors a cautious, defense-oriented approach, while Ajax are renowned for their attacking flair. Both squads are near full strength, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 22 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Ajax Amsterdam):
- ball possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 2;
- fouls: 4 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Excelsior and Ajax Amsterdam:
- played 25 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 18, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 25 against 72;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.76, in the 2nd half - 2.12;
- average total goals in the match - 3.88.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Excelsior Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Twente, away team - Excelsior). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here's the game statistics (Excelsior vs Twente):
- ball possession: 35% vs 65%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 11;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
Excelsior currently sit 13th in the league standings, striving to find consistency in their performances. The "Dragons" have managed just one win in their last five matches, but they are on a run of three consecutive draws. Recent results highlight their struggles in attack, with only three goals scored in the last three games. In their most recent head-to-head clash with Ajax, Excelsior managed to take all three points from Amsterdam with a 2-1 victory, and they remain unbeaten in their last three encounters overall.
Match Results: Excelsior
Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Champions League tournament (home team - Ajax Amsterdam, away - Olympiacos). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Ajax Amsterdam vs Olympiacos):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Ajax are currently third in the standings, showcasing a solid performance with six wins, two draws, and two losses in their last ten matches. The team averages over two goals per game, thanks to their strong attacking play. The recent stretch of the season highlights the Amsterdam side's determination to contend for the second spot in the Eredivisie. Their away game statistics are equally impressive, as Ajax frequently scores at least twice on the road.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Latest news
Excelsior
❌ Excelsior have all their key players fit and ready. The only doubt is the participation of forward Mike van Duinen, but he is a rotation player.
Ajax Amsterdam
🎙 Ajax have been knocked out of the Champions League. The team delivered unsatisfactory performances. Head coach Fred Grim reached the same conclusion following their 2-1 defeat to Olympiacos in the final match: "Looking back at the entire group stage, it feels like we weren't good enough to be a valuable part of the Champions League."
❌ Steven Berghuis is preparing for his return after recovering from a groin injury since October. Recently, Ko Itakura has joined the injury list.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 25;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 6; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.76;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.6, while the visitors net 1.16.
First-Half Stats: Excelsior (home) vs Ajax Amsterdam (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 9;
- wins: 4 (40%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- losses: 1 (10%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- draws: 5 (50%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average goals scored: 0.9 vs 2;
- Average goals conceded: 0.3 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.9 (scored - 1.4, conceded - 0.5).
- Ajax Amsterdam conceded in the 1st half in 12 of last 14 away games.
- Ajax Amsterdam conceded in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 18, draws - 5.
Statistics: Excelsior vs Ajax Amsterdam
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- wins: 6 vs 10;
- win percentage: 30% vs 50%;
- losses: 10 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Excelsior won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 home games.
- Excelsior won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 2.88;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.88;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Excelsior vs Ajax Amsterdam
- average total in the tournament: 2.75 vs 3.25;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.95;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.55 vs 1.05;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.45 vs 0.9;
- Excelsior: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Ajax Amsterdam: average total away in the tournament - 2.22;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 2.5 (away - 3).
- Excelsior have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 home games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Excelsior: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.1; at home field - 3.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 3.6.
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.4, away - 4.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 4.67.
- Ajax Amsterdam have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Excelsior vs Ajax Amsterdam
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Excelsior at home - 5 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 9 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Excelsior at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 5 (83%).
- Excelsior have scored and conceded in last 10 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
- Excelsior have scored and conceded in last 5 home games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored and conceded in last 10 away games (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (22/178, 12.4%);
- Excelsior at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:2 (3/10, 30%);
- Ajax Amsterdam away most often play: 2:2 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 9.77% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 9.47% (odds 7)
0:1 - 7.42% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the clubs and their head-to-head statistics, a high-scoring match with end-to-end action is anticipated. Trends suggest a strong likelihood that both teams will find the back of the net, as this has been the case in their last ten encounters. While Ajax appear more impressive in the Eredivisie, they might be fatigued following their Champions League commitments. Therefore, the odds are favorable for the bet on both teams to score (yes).
Betting Tips: Excelsior - Ajax Amsterdam
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in last 25 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).in last 12 home games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).in 21 of last 22 games (Eredivisie).in 15 of last 16 away games (Eredivisie).in 11 of last 12 games.in 9 of last 10 away games.in last 10 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).in 18 of last 20 home games.in last 17 away games.in last 12 away games (Eredivisie).in last 9 Excelsior games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).in last 12 Ajax Amsterdam away games.in 7 of last 8 Ajax Amsterdam games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
