AD Tarma vs Moquegua Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔊 Tarma and Moquegua are both fighting for survival in the Peruvian Primera División. The hosts sit second-bottom in the Clausura with 7 points, while the visitors are one place above them on 10. In the overall table, both clubs are also dangerously close to the relegation zone. Now the two sides must settle who can improve their standing in a competition where wins have become a rarity.
Tarma hold their own in head-to-head clashes.
Tarma beat Moquegua in the League Cup on 27 August 2026 by 2-0, despite being outplayed in terms of possession and shots on target - 2 to 4. Both of Tarma's shots on target resulted in goals.
📊 In two official meetings, Tarma have never lost to Moquegua: they won 2-0 at home and drew 2-2 away. All four of Tarma's goals in those matches came in the second half.
Head-to-head statistics AD Tarma - Moquegua
Tarma have managed just one win in 13 Clausura matches
Tarma's previous away match in the Primera División ended 1-1 against Atlético Grau, having come from behind after the first half. They had 75% possession and attempted 21 shots to their opponents' 10, with 8 on target compared to 3.
Tarma are having a poor season, winning just six of their 30 league matches. The Clausura has been particularly bad, with the team winning only once in 13 rounds. In their last 10 Primera matches, the hosts have also managed just one win, and their average of 1.03 goals per game this season is modest. With that kind of attacking output, even minor defensive errors regularly cost them points.
Match Results: AD Tarma
Moquegua have scored 8 goals in 13 matches.
In their last Primera División match, Moquegua lost at home to Alianza Lima, going down 1-0. The score was level at half-time. Moquegua managed just one shot on target throughout the game, compared to six for the visitors.
Moquegua are also stuck in the lower reaches of the table, having lost 6 of their last 8 league rounds. The team's main problem is a near-toothless attack that has scored just 8 goals in 13 Clausura matches. Across the full season their scoring rate is only marginally better, at 0.83 goals per game. The defence makes regular errors too, conceding an average of around 1.4 goals per match. Away from home those problems only get worse, so even against a Tarma side in poor form, the visitors will have a difficult time.
Match Results: Moquegua
Match Result Prediction
Tarma have won five home league matches this season, drawn four and lost six. Moquegua have performed noticeably worse away from home, losing 10 of their away fixtures this season. That said, it is hard to call the hosts clear favourites either - they have failed to win in 13 of their last 14 matches. Nevertheless, Moquegua's weak attack and home advantage give Tarma a reasonable chance to end their prolonged run without a win. Bet: Tarma to Win at 1.70*.
Total Goals Prediction
Moquegua's away matches rarely produce many goals: in 9 of their last 10 away games, both teams combined for no more than two goals. The visitors themselves averaged just 0.6 goals per game across their previous 10 matches. Tarma have also struggled in attack, averaging less than one goal per game over the same span. With those numbers, a high-scoring affair seems unlikely, especially given where both sides sit in the table. Our pick: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.94*.
Safer Bet
Tarma simply cannot get things right at the back, having conceded in 13 of their last 14 matches. Their seasonal average stands at 1.5 goals conceded per game, though at home the figure is slightly better at 1.13. Moquegua do not score often, but even an attack of their level is capable of taking advantage of the opposition's mistakes - particularly if the hosts again allow several dangerous chances at their end. We're backing Moquegua Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.51*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's prediction, the three most likely outcomes are 1-0 (13.93%), 1-1 (10.95%) and 2-0 (9.86%). A narrow Tarma win looks the most probable, though a draw and a more comfortable home victory also remain among the main scenarios.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams are struggling seriously in attack, so there is little reason to expect an open, free-scoring game. Tarma have a good opportunity to take advantage of their opponents' poor away form, but they themselves rarely score more than once. Moquegua are unlikely to suddenly improve their finishing either, given their prolonged problems in front of goal. Even the home advantage does not necessarily point to a high-scoring result. Predicted score: 2-0. Main bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: AD Tarma - Moquegua
in 7 of last 8 games.in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
in 16 of last 18 games (Primera Division).in 7 of last 8 games.
in 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 games.in 6 of last 7 home games (Primera Division).in 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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