Ajax vs Nijmegen Prediction 21 February 2026
🔊 The marquee matchup of the 24th round of the Eredivisie takes center stage in Amsterdam as Ajax face off against NEC Nijmegen. Both teams are vying for a spot in the top three of the league. Currently, they are level on points, but NEC edge ahead of the "Sons of the Gods" due to goal difference. Both sides have been in fine scoring form, promising an exciting showdown. But how will it play out? We'll provide insights and predictions for the upcoming clash in our analysis.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 20 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 8.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Ajax Amsterdam and NEC Nijmegen:
- played 17 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 1, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 42 against 18;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.53, in the 2nd half - 2;
- average total goals in the match - 3.53.
Head-to-head statistics Ajax - Nijmegen
Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Ajax Amsterdam, away team - Fortuna Sittard). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:1.
Here's the game statistics (Ajax Amsterdam vs Fortuna Sittard):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 0;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 8 vs 1.
Ajax snapped a three-match winless streak in their last Eredivisie outing, a run that also saw them exit the Champions League. Despite this setback, the team has been performing at a high level in the league, remaining unbeaten since late November. The Amsterdammers average two goals per match, though they concede 1.3 on average. Currently sitting in 4th place, Ajax frequently swaps positions with NEC Nijmegen, adding extra significance to their upcoming clash.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Sparta, away - NEC Nijmegen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 9;
- fouls: 12 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
NEC Nijmegen are in fine form this season, currently sitting third in the league standings thanks to their potent attack and balanced defensive play. Over their last ten matches, NEC have secured seven victories, averaging 2.3 goals per game. The "Red-Greens" continue to impress with their away performances, boasting an unbeaten streak of eight matches, during which they've only slipped twice with draws. However, there's a slight concern as Nijmegen have gone two consecutive Eredivisie rounds without a win.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen
Latest news
Ajax Amsterdam
🎙 Winter signing Oleksandr Zinchenko, who recently suffered an injury, took some time to share his initial impressions of the team: "From day one at this amazing club and with the people around me, I started to feel happy again and brought my smile back on the pitch. Unfortunately, we can't control injury situations. From the bottom of my heart, I feel sorry for Ajax. But I'll be back quickly and come back stronger."
❌ Besides Oleksandr Zinchenko, who was sidelined in the 23rd round of the Eredivisie, Ajax have no other players in the treatment room.
NEC Nijmegen
🎙 Local reports suggest that the odds of NEC Nijmegen's head coach Dick Schreuder leaving the club after this season are higher than those of him staying. The successful Nijmegen coach is driven to prove himself and recognizes that opportunities to lead a top club don't come around often.
❌ NEC's injury situation is slightly better than Ajax's, with only backup goalkeeper Frick Entius listed among the injured.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 1, draws - 5.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen
- matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- wins: 11 vs 12;
- win percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 9 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 7;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 21 of last 22 games.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 19 away games.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 16 away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.47, the guests - 1.06;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.53;
- both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen
- average total in the tournament: 3.3 vs 4.22;
- average total goals scored: 2 vs 2.52;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.13 vs 0.91;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.87 vs 1.61;
- Ajax Amsterdam: average total at home in the tournament - 1.92;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total away in the tournament - 2.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.25) vs 2.3 (away - 2.6).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored under 2.5 goals in last 8 games against NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored under 2.5 goals in 12 of last 13 home games.
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored under 2.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored under 2.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games.
Prediction on corners
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.09; at home field - 5.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 5.25.
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.22, away - 4.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 5.
- Ajax Amsterdam have taken under 5.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam at home - 6 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 11 (92%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 5 (100%).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 16 of last 17 away games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 13 of last 14 games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 11 games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/207, 12.1%);
- Ajax Amsterdam at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (5/12, 41.7%);
- NEC Nijmegen away most often play: 1:1 , 2:2 , 3:2 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.01% (odds 8)
1:1 - 8.77% (odds 8)
2:2 - 7.33% (odds 11)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming clash between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen, a fiercely contested battle is anticipated, given the current form of both teams. The "Sons of the Gods" from Amsterdam have been prolific at home, often scoring over 1.5 goals. However, despite their attacking prowess, their defense isn't always reliable. On the other hand, the "Red-Greens" have been impressive on the road, remaining unbeaten in their last eight matches. Notably, every away game for NEC has featured goal exchanges, with the total exceeding three goals in seven of these encounters. With these factors in mind, an over 3 goals total seems a reasonable choice.No comments
Betting Tips: Ajax Amsterdam - NEC Nijmegen
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