Ajax vs Nijmegen Prediction 11 May 2025
πCan NEC Nijmegen once again challenge Ajax in the 32nd round of the Eredivisie? The home side, topping the table, are looking to solidify their position after an impressive winning streak. Known for their attacking prowess and strong home performances, they are the clear favorites. Meanwhile, the visitors aim to maintain their mid-table standing and are banking on a favorable outcome through their defensive strategy. The odds for a home win are low, reflecting Ajax's status as the dominant favorite.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 01 December 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
πStatistical preview of official matches between the teams Ajax Amsterdam and NEC Nijmegen:
- played 15 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 0, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 40 against 13;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.53, in the 2nd half - 2;
- average total goals in the match - 3.53.
Head-to-head statistics Ajax - Nijmegen
Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Ajax Amsterdam, away team - Sparta). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Ajax Amsterdam vs Sparta):
- ball possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Ajax confidently sit atop the Eredivisie table, boasting an impressive 23 wins from 31 matches. Their average goal tally exceeds two per game, and playing at home provides an extra edge-they've scored more than 1.5 goals in nearly all their recent home fixtures. However, their defense can falter at times; the last 10 matches have shown inconsistency with three losses alongside five victories. Nonetheless, Ajax's style is characterized by ball control and aggressive attacking play, enabling them to dominate their opponents.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away - Willem 2 Tilburg). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (NEC Nijmegen vs Willem 2 Tilburg):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 15 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
NEC Nijmegen are striving for consistency, currently sitting 13th in the standings with nine wins and seven draws from 31 matches. The visitors have been in lackluster form, managing just two victories in their last ten outings, highlighting issues both in attack and defense. Their average goals conceded suggest a pressing need to bolster their backline.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen
Latest news
Ajax Amsterdam
Ajax have two players doubtful for their upcoming match. Amourricho van Axel Dongen is recovering from a concussion, while Youri Baas is undergoing treatment for a groin injury. Both are currently following individual training programs.
NEC Nijmegen
When discussing the squad situation, it's important to highlight the uncertainty surrounding two defenders. Bram Nuytinck and Cas de Wit are nursing injuries, and their participation in the upcoming game remains doubtful.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 15;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.53;
- Today's home team scores on average 1.4, while the visitors net 0.13.
First-Half Stats: Ajax Amsterdam (home) vs NEC Nijmegen (away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- Number of wins: 11 (0.73%) vs 2 (0.13%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 7 (0.47%);
- Number of draws: 4 (0.27%) vs 6 (0.4%);
- Average goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.13;
- Average goals conceded: 0.2 vs 0.87.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 0;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.7).
- Ajax Amsterdam scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 home games against NEC Nijmegen.
- Ajax Amsterdam scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games against NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 0, draws - 4.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen
- matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- wins: 23 vs 9;
- win percentage: 74% vs 29%;
- losses: 3 vs 15;
- draws: 5 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.67, the guests - 0.87;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.53;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen
- average total in the tournament: 2.9 vs 2.84;
- average total goals scored: 2.03 vs 1.39;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.84 vs 0.48;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.19 vs 0.9;
- Ajax Amsterdam: average total at home in the tournament - 2.4;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.75) vs 1.1 (away - 0.2).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored under 2.5 goals in last 6 games against NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.61; at home field - 6.87;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; at home field - 7.5.
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.03, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 3.8.
- Over 8.5 corners in 16 of last 18 NEC Nijmegen away games.
- Over 8.5 corners in 15 of last 17 NEC Nijmegen away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1.86 (0.93 for home team and 0.93 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.01 (0.38 for home team and 0.63 for away team).
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.48; at home - 1.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.1; at home - 1.25.
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.29, away - 1.47;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 2.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 5 times.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam at home - 8 (53%);
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 2 (13%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam at home - 4 (100%);
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 0 (0%).
Editorial Prediction
Despite the difference in league standings, Ajax don't always manage to confidently handle NEC Nijmegen. The team from Nijmegen maintains a positive head-to-head handicap, with a +1.5 spread covering in six consecutive matches. Even against the league leaders, the visitors demonstrate discipline and competitiveness. Given this track record, betting on NEC Nijmegen to win with a +1.5 handicap seems like a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: Ajax Amsterdam - NEC Nijmegen
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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