Nijmegen vs Ajax Prediction 20 December 2025
The upcoming clash between NEC Nijmegen and Ajax promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both clubs are in fine form, making this matchup particularly intriguing. With both teams sitting high in the standings, every point gained could prove decisive in the race for European competition spots. NEC are currently in 4th place, while their opponents hold the 3rd position. The hosts have been on a solid run of wins and draws, but the visitors look even more impressive with their attacking prowess. The playing style of both teams involves active participation from all lines in both attack and defense.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between these teams took place on 11 May 2025 and ended in a 0-3 defeat. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Ajax were the home side):
- possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corners: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between NEC Nijmegen and Ajax:
- 16 matches played;
- home team victories - 1, away team victories - 11, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 16 for NEC, 40 for Ajax;
- average total in the first half - 1.44, second half - 2.06;
- average total goals per match - 3.5.
Head-to-head statistics Nijmegen - Ajax

NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the KNVB Cup, featuring Amsterdam as the hosts and NEC Nijmegen as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-3 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (NEC Nijmegen vs Amsterdam):
- possession: 74% vs 26%;
- corners: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
NEC Nijmegen are enjoying a successful run, having won four of their last five matches, with one draw. In their most recent outing, they secured a convincing 2-0 victory. Their style of play is marked by a balanced attack and solid defense, enabling them to maintain a high tempo throughout the match. The hosts consistently create scoring opportunities and rarely leave the pitch without finding the back of the net-at home, they have scored more than once in fourteen of their last fifteen Eredivisie games.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen

Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The visitors last took to the field on in a Dutch Cup clash, where they faced Excelsior Maassluis. Ajax emerged victorious with a commanding 7-2 win.
Here’s a breakdown of the match statistics (Ajax vs Excelsior Maassluis):
- possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 4 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 10 vs 4.
Ajax are showcasing remarkable form with five consecutive victories that speak volumes. The team boasts high scoring efficiency and often dominates the pitch through an aggressive style of play and ball control. In their last ten matches, they've claimed five wins, suffered one loss, and drawn once, highlighting the consistency of the Amsterdam side. In their previous head-to-head against NEC, Ajax secured a commanding 3-0 victory.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Latest news
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax have yet to appoint a head coach, but they have managed to sign Arsenal's versatile defender Tomiyasu.
Ajax Amsterdam
NEC will be without three players for their upcoming match, with another player's participation still in doubt.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 16;
- First-half wins at home - 0; away - 3; draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.44;
- Today's home team averages 0.13 goals, while the visitors average 1.31.
First-Half Statistics: NEC Nijmegen (home) vs Ajax (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Wins: 4 (57.14%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- Draws: 2 (28.57%) vs 4 (57.14%);
- Average goals scored: 1.57 vs 1.86;
- Average goals conceded: 0.57 vs 1.14.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 4;
- Losses: 2 vs 3;
- Draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.5).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored in the first half at home in 7 of their last 8 matches (Eredivisie).
- Ajax have conceded in the first half away for 10 consecutive matches.
- Ajax have conceded in the first half away in 7 consecutive matches (Eredivisie).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 16;
- Home wins - 1, Away wins - 11, Draws - 4.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax
- Matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- Wins: 8 vs 8;
- Win percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- Losses: 4 vs 3;
- Draws: 4 vs 5.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 5;
- Losses: 1 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 1.
- Ajax have covered a +1.5 handicap in their last 7 away head-to-head matches against this opponent (Eredivisie).
- Ajax have covered a +1.5 handicap in 17 of their last 18 matches (Eredivisie).
- Ajax have covered a +1.5 handicap in 15 of their last 16 away matches (Eredivisie).
- Ajax have covered a +1.5 handicap in their last 5 games.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Current home team average goals - 1, Away team - 2.5;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.5;
- Both teams scored: Overall - 9 times; At home team's ground - 4 times.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax
- Average total goals in the tournament: 4.25 vs 3.13;
- Average goals scored: 2.56 vs 1.88;
- Average first-half goals: 0.81 vs 0.81;
- Average second-half goals: 1.75 vs 1.06;
- NEC Nijmegen: Average home total in the tournament - 3;
- Ajax: Average away total in the tournament - 2.14;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 2.5 (home - 2.67) vs 2.1 (away - 3.75).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored less than 1.5 goals at home in their last 7 head-to-head matches against this opponent (Eredivisie).
Corners Prediction
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 5.63; At home - 6;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.6; At home - 6.33.
Ajax: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 5.38, Away - 4.86;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.1; Away - 4.5.
- NEC Nijmegen have delivered fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings against this opponent (Eredivisie).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 16;
- Both teams scored overall - 9 times;
- At home team's ground - 4 times.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax
- Total matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- Total BTTS matches this season: NEC Nijmegen - 12, Ajax - 11;
- NEC Nijmegen BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
- Ajax BTTS away - 7 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: NEC Nijmegen - 8, Ajax - 6;
- NEC Nijmegen BTTS at home - 2 (67%);
- Ajax BTTS away - 4 (100%).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in their last 5 matches.
- Ajax have scored and conceded away in 10 of their last 11 matches.
- Ajax have scored and conceded away in their last 8 matches (Eredivisie).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (Current Season):
- The most frequent score in the tournament: 2-2 (16/143, 11.2%);
- NEC Nijmegen's common home scores: 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 3-3, 3-5, and 5-0 (1/7, 14.3%);
- Ajax's common away score: 2-2 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
2-2 - 8.29% (Odds: 10)
1-1 - 7.52% (Odds: 8)
2-1 - 7.11% (Odds: 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, an open game with plenty of goals is expected. NEC have strong home stats, but Ajax's attack can pose significant challenges for any defense in the league. We predict a total of over 3.5 goals as the most likely outcome of the match, with both clubs able to maintain high intensity throughout. Our bet - match total over 3.5 goals.