Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
📢 NEC Nijmegen have yet to find any consistency and sit just 11th in the Eredivisie table after eight rounds. The hosts have been dropping points regularly and struggling to win, which is keeping them away from the leading group. Fortuna Sittard, by contrast, have hit good form and sit seventh, still in contention for a higher position. The visitors have been producing more convincing results in recent matches and will be looking to extend that run. For NEC Nijmegen, this match is an opportunity to turn things around and close the gap on their rivals.
Head-to-Head
NEC Nijmegen lost to Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie on 28 February 2026, going down 2-3 despite having 68% possession and launching 90 dangerous attacks to Fortuna's 23. The visitors were more accurate on goal, however, winning the shots on target count 9-4 and generating more expected goals: 2.03 to 1.58.
Across 32 official meetings, NEC Nijmegen have the better record: 13 wins to Fortuna Sittard's 9, with 10 draws. Matches between these two sides rarely end without both teams scoring - that has happened in 25 of those meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen: winless in seven and struggling with defensive frailties
NEC Nijmegen's most recent Europa League match on 15 October 2026 ended in a 1-1 home draw with Levski Sofia. Trailing 0-1 at half-time, the hosts levelled; they also outshot their opponents significantly in terms of shots on target, 9-2.
NEC Nijmegen have made a poor start to the season and sit 11th in the table with nine points. The team are going through a difficult spell, having failed to win in their last seven matches - three draws and four defeats. Over a longer run of ten matches, NEC Nijmegen have won just once, with four draws and five defeats. They average 1.63 goals per game, though high-scoring performances are rare. In their last 11 home matches, NEC Nijmegen have not managed to score more than two goals in a single game, which limits their attacking output. Defensively they are also struggling, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per match, so the hosts need to improve in both areas if they are to end their winless run.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard: Potent Attack Fuels Push for Top Spots
Fortuna Sittard's previous Eredivisie match on 10 October 2026 ended in a 1-1 home draw with Twente. The visitors created significantly more dangerous attacks (83-23), but Fortuna had more shots on goal - 14 to 12.
Fortuna Sittard have made the stronger start to the season and sit seventh in the table with 14 points, five behind the Champions League places. They have been picking up points regularly and remain in contention to close the gap on the leading group. Over their last ten matches, Fortuna Sittard have averaged 1.7 goals per game, which reflects a reasonably effective attack. Their defence, however, has been considerably less reliable, conceding 1.9 goals per game this season, meaning that scoring freely has not always been enough to secure victories.
Match Results: Fortuna Sittard
Corner Prediction
Fortuna Sittard have taken fewer than 3.5 corners in five consecutive Eredivisie matchdays, establishing a clear trend for the visitors. There is nothing to contradict this market, and the odds are 1.69*.
Reliable Bet
NEC Nijmegen have conceded in 18 of their last 19 head-to-head meetings against Fortuna Sittard, which points to a high probability of the visitors scoring at least once. On top of that, Fortuna Sittard are averaging 2.25 goals per away match in the current season, which supports the trend. The odds for this outcome are 1.3*
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1-1 (8.9%), 2-1 (8.1%) and 1-2 (7.64%). The probabilities are fairly close, but 1-1 carries the highest weight.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
NEC Nijmegen are considered clear favourites on home advantage, though their current form raises some doubts. Their problems in front of goal are particularly noticeable: they have not scored more than two goals in any of their last 11 home matches. Fortuna Sittard, meanwhile, are in good form and capable of making it a real contest, even away from home. The editor's main prediction is NEC Nijmegen Team Total - Under 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard
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