Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction 18 October 2025
🔈 Can the "Colchoneros" break into the Champions League zone by the end of La Liga's 9th round? This coming Saturday evening, the Wanda Metropolitano will host a clash between Atlético Madrid and Osasuna. Diego Simeone's side are in fine form, unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions. Meanwhile, the team from Pamplona are still finding their feet tactically under Alessio Lisci and continue to adapt to his strategic ideas. Bookmakers remain skeptical about the visitors' chances in this encounter, giving the "Indians" a sevenfold advantage.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the last 10 head-to-head encounters at the Wanda Metropolitano, Osasuna have only managed to take points from the "Colchoneros" once-towards the end of the 2023/24 La Liga season, with a 4-1 victory. Notably, this win marked the largest in history for the "Reds" against the "Indians." It's worth noting that their meetings during this period haven't been particularly high-scoring, averaging around 2.5 goals per match (1.7 for the capital club versus 0.8 for Osasuna).
Head-to-head statistics Atletico Madrid - Osasuna
Atletico Madrid Team Overview
🔴 After suffering a defeat to Espanyol (1-2) in the opening round of La Liga, the "Colchoneros" have remained unbeaten in the national championship. Currently, the capital club has amassed 13 points from 8 matches, sitting just 2 points shy of the top four. The "Wanda Metropolitano" is considered a fortress for the team, boasting 3 wins and 1 draw in the current La Liga campaign, ranking them third in the league. The influx of new signings during the recent transfer window has compelled Atletico's coaching staff to seek balance across the lines and establish consistency in their results.
⚪ In their last La Liga outing, the "Colchoneros" drew with Celta Vigo (1-1) at Balaídos. The lackluster performance from Atletico was a major disappointment for their fans. A total xG of 0.3 is unacceptable for a team of their caliber. In contrast, Celta managed an xG of 1.92. Clement Lenglet's dismissal towards the end of the first half impacted the match's outcome, but to be fair, Diego Simeone's side did not display an attractive style of play in the opening 40 minutes either. Atletico's most frequently used tactical formation is 4-4-2, which can situationally shift to 5-3-2, 4-2-3-1, or 4-1-4-1. The Argentine manager is known for his flexibility and ability to adapt to individual opponents.
Match Results: Atletico Madrid
Osasuna Team Overview
🔴 Alessio Lisci is making significant strides at Osasuna, aiming to build a cohesive team capable of tackling ambitious objectives. The young Italian coach has seen mixed results so far, with 10 points from 8 matches placing them 12th in the standings. However, the fans of the "Reds" are undoubtedly disappointed by their team's low scoring rate, averaging just 0.88 goals per game, ranking them 18th in the league. On the flip side, Osasuna boasts a solid defense, conceding roughly one goal per match, which is the best record in the league.
📌 In their last La Liga outing, the "Reds" secured a crucial victory over Getafe (2-1) at El Sadar. A distinctive feature of the Pamplona club's tactical setup is their use of a formation with three central defenders. Alessio Lisci frequently adjusts formations based on the situation on the pitch, often deploying either a 3-4-3 or a 3-4-2-1. The former emphasizes high positions on the flanks, while the latter maintains compactness and closes down open spaces. Against the "City" side, Osasuna showcased their ability to capitalize on opportunities, scoring twice despite an xG of just 0.43.
Match Results: Osasuna
Latest news
Atletico Madrid
📰 During the international break, Atletico Madrid finalized a contract with Mateu Alemany to become the club's sporting director. His deal is set for one and a half years, with a primary focus on activities in the transfer market. Alemany shared his thoughts after his official introduction: "When I left Barcelona, I was absolutely certain that my next step should be joining another major club. I set a high bar: it had to be one of Europe's top clubs, a team capable of competing for everything. This process led me here, and when the opportunity arose, I had no doubts because it's clear that Atletico are one of Europe's greatest clubs. I'm here not only because of that, but also because I value the club's project, its sporting vision, with a great leader like Simeone and immense potential to compete at all levels."
❌ Among Atletico's unavailable players are the suspended Clément Lenglet and Johnny Cardoso, who has picked up a minor ankle injury.
Osasuna
🎤 Osasuna's head coach Alessio Lisci couldn't help but comment on their recent success in the national championship: "We're pleased with the result, but there's a lot we need to adjust from today's match. There have been several games where we deserved to win much more, yet we couldn't secure the victory. This win was necessary for the whole team and, obviously, for me as well because we're all united here-me, the team, Osasuna, the sports management-we all needed this victory. Now we need to recharge both physically and mentally to perform well in the upcoming clash against Atletico."
❌ Among Osasuna's unavailable players are Juan Cruz (muscle injury) and Aimar Oroz (leg injury).
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Let's craft a reasonable bet based on current statistical trends. In 9 out of the last 10 head-to-head encounters, there have been no more than 4 yellow cards issued. A similar pattern is evident in 5 out of the last 7 matches involving the "Colchoneros." The average number of yellow cards in meetings between Atletico and Osasuna is approximately 3.7. Our editorial choice is total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽ Goal Prediction
As previously mentioned, recent head-to-head clashes between these teams have not been high-scoring affairs. In 4 of the last 6 encounters, no more than 2 goals were scored. Currently, Osasuna are a highly pragmatic team, prioritizing defense. In 7 of their last 9 matches, there were a maximum of 2 goals. It's highly likely that Alessio Lisci's side will adopt a low block in the upcoming match, aiming to exploit Atletico's struggles in positional attacks. Our pick is total goals under 3.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Osasuna show dismal numbers when it comes to corner kicks, averaging just 2.1 per game. In comparison, the "Colchoneros" earn about 6.4 per match. There's no doubt that Diego Simeone's team will dominate in terms of positional play, resulting in a significant advantage in corners. Traditionally, Atletico outperforms Osasuna in corner kicks: 5.9 to 4.4. Our editorial choice is Atletico to win on corners with a handicap of (-2.5).
Editorial Prediction
Osasuna historically struggle to secure the desired result at the Wanda Metropolitano. This season, the Reds have failed to earn a single point in their four away matches, which is a deeply disappointing outcome. Meanwhile, the Colchoneros have been impressive at home in this La Liga campaign, dropping points only once in a draw with Celta (1-1). We anticipate a final score of 2-0. Our key pick is Atletico to win with a -1 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Atletico Madrid - Osasuna
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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