Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction 12 January 2025

🔊 Can the "Colchoneros" reclaim the top spot in the La Liga standings? Atletico Madrid's opponent for the 19th round will be Osasuna. The head-to-head meeting will take place at the "Civitas Metropolitano," and it will be officiated by Isidro Diaz de Mera. We suggest paying attention to the balance of power ahead of the confrontation: victory for the "Indians" - 1.3, victory for the "Reds" - 10.5. In this prediction, we will try to establish a connection between statistical trends and propose the most rational bet.

📊 H2H

In last season's Spanish Primera, the clubs exchanged away victories. At the "Civitas Metropolitano," Osasuna achieved a major win (4:1). The main hero of the match was Raul De Aro, who scored a double. However, in Pamplona, the "Colchoneros" were stronger (2:0). Interestingly, the "Reds" have only defeated the "Colchoneros" once in the last 12 attempts.

🔴 ATLETICO

Last week, Atletico Madrid successfully held a cup match. In the 1/16 finals, they defeated a representative of the Primera Federación - Marbella (1:0). The only goal in the match was scored by Antoine Griezmann. This victory marked the 13th consecutive win for the "Colchoneros" across all competitions. Such an impressive series cannot fail to impress neutral spectators. Currently, the "Indians" lead the championship standings on points lost. We note that it is the capital team that boasts the best defensive record in the league - only 0.67 goals conceded per game. Additionally, it is worth mentioning that Atletico has not lost a single game at "Civitas Metropolitano" this La Liga season - 7 wins and 2 draws.

⚪ OSASUNA

The "Reds" also secured their place in the Copa del Rey Round of 16 by defeating Tenerife (2:1). This victory should slightly invigorate Vicente Moreno's boys. Recall that the team from Pamplona has not known victory in La Liga for the last 6 matches. Currently, the club is only in 10th place in the standings, with 25 points to their name. Osasuna has been particularly unconvincing in away games - only 7 points from 8 games (13th in the league). An extremely unpleasant piece of news is the injury of one of their key attacking players - Bryan Zaragoza. This season, the Spaniard, on loan from Bayern, has managed to score 1 goal and provide 5 assists.

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

In 7 of Atletico Madrid's last 9 matches, at least three goals have been scored. A similar trend is present in 4 of Osasuna's previous 5 encounters. Both clubs do not face significant issues with scoring this season: "Colchoneros" - about 1.8 goals per game, "Reds" - approximately 1.3 goals per game. We suggest considering the following betting option - total over 2.5 goals.

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

Atletico has been extremely reliable at their own goal this season. On average, the "Colchoneros" allow only 3.6 corners per match. For comparison, Osasuna's figure is 5.7. In our opinion, there is no doubt that the home team will try to seize the initiative. This will directly lead to dominance in many statistical categories. Our choice is - Atletico's victory on corners with a handicap (-2.5).

📝 MATCH PREDICTION

Atletico is extremely effective in home matches. This casts doubt on Pamplona's club prospects next Sunday. It is also worth noting that in the last 11 head-to-head matches in Madrid, Osasuna has celebrated success only once. The current form of the capital club does not allow for belief in a repeat of that singular event. The final victory for the hosts with a score of 3:1 seems quite justified. Our key bet is - Atletico's win with a handicap (-1.5).