Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 15 May 2025

    🔊 What are Osasuna's chances of getting revenge against Atlético Madrid? One of Thursday's standout fixtures in La Liga sees the "Reds" take on the "Colchoneros" at El Sadar. Diego Simeone's squad lacks motivating factors as the season winds down. They're out of the title race and secured a Champions League spot a few rounds ago. Meanwhile, Vicente Moreno's side is desperately aiming to cement their place in the top eight. Let's take a look at the bookmakers' early predictions: an Osasuna win is at 3.8, while an Atlético victory is at 2.05.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In the first round of the current championship, the "Colchoneros" narrowly defeated Osasuna at the Wanda Metropolitano (1-0). A goal by Julian Alvarez remained the only one in the match. Interestingly, Atletico have consistently left Osasuna without a chance at El Sadar for six consecutive head-to-head games. The last success for the "Rojillos" in Pamplona dates back to the 2013/14 season (3-0).

    Head-to-head statistics Osasuna - Atletico Madrid

    14%
    3 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    86%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    21
    Total Goals Avg
    2.62
    Both teams scored
    29%
    0.67
    Total average
    1.95
    1.95
    Yellow cards
    1.76
    Last matches
    12.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    18.10.25
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    1.77
    1.2
    4
    2
    10
    11
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.2
    4
    2
    10
    11
    1
    3
    15.05.25
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1.07
    1.34
    3
    5
    12
    11
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.07
    1.34
    3
    5
    12
    11
    1
    1
    12.01.25
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    2.29
    0.39
    4
    0
    8
    14
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.29
    0.39
    4
    0
    8
    14
    2
    0
    19.05.24
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    -
    -
    7
    5
    11
    9
    2
    2
    1
    4
    0
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    7
    5
    11
    9
    2
    2
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    Osasuna Team Overview

    🔴 In their last 7 matches, Osasuna have only been outplayed once, in a clash against Villarreal (2-4). Currently, the "Reds" are just 2 points shy of the European competition spots. A promising sign for the fans from Pamplona is their team's strong performance in home fixtures, having secured 30 points from 17 games (8th best in the league). In 2025, they've suffered just one setback at El Sadar, against Getafe (1-2).

    Match Results: Osasuna

    Last matches
    24.08.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Levante UD
    Levante UD
    0.68
    0.85
    9
    4
    9
    12
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.68
    0.85
    9
    4
    9
    12
    2
    1
    D
    08.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Al Ain
    Al Ain
    -
    -
    6
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    05.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Napoli
    Napoli
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    2
    0
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Norwich City
    Norwich City
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    -
    -
    3
    4
    11
    14
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    11
    14
    1
    2
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Ipswich Town
    Ipswich Town
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    -
    -
    7
    3
    14
    23
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    3
    14
    23
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Atletico Madrid Team Overview

    🔵 Over the weekend, Atletico Madrid dismantled Real Sociedad with a 4-0 victory. Alexander Sørloth delivered a sensational performance, netting four goals. The Norwegian striker also set a new La Liga record for the fastest hat-trick, achieving it in just 11 minutes. However, their upcoming trip to El Sadar is unlikely to be as straightforward. The "Colchoneros" have been less than stellar on the road, securing 27 points from 17 matches (ranking fourth in the league). Nevertheless, their defensive prowess is undeniable, conceding just 0.76 goals per game away from home-the best record in the championship.

    Match Results: Atletico Madrid

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    0.99
    3.12
    5
    3
    12
    13
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    0.99
    3.12
    5
    3
    12
    13
    3
    2
    D
    19.08.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Malaga CF
    Malaga CF
    0.97
    0.35
    6
    1
    17
    11
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0.97
    0.35
    6
    1
    17
    11
    2
    3
    W
    14.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    -
    -
    9
    1
    7
    13
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    1
    7
    13
    3
    2
    W
    09.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    -
    -
    3
    5
    5
    11
    1
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    -
    -
    3
    5
    5
    11
    1
    1
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    -
    -
    2
    4
    14
    15
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    4
    14
    15
    0
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Osasuna

    📣 This past weekend, Osasuna put on a commendable performance against Betis, ending in a 1-1 draw. The "Reds" even outperformed their formidable opponents in expected goals: 2.23 to 0.39. Here's what Vicente Moreno had to say during the post-match press conference: "I want to congratulate my players. They put in a tremendous effort and played an excellent match, fully aware of how tough it is to play at this stadium against a top-tier team. It's no coincidence that Betis are vying for a Champions League spot and are finalists in the Conference League. We're pleased with the point we've earned. Of course, others might see it differently, but we certainly had enough chances to win the match. We're also fighting for a European spot, and naturally, three points would have brought us closer to our goal than one. We have two home matches left. 'El Sadar' is a challenging arena for opponents, and that's where we'll battle for our place in Europe in the next two games."

    🔝 In the last round, Ante Budimir once again found the back of the net. For the Croatian forward, it was his 19th goal of the current season, marking the best tally of his career. In 4 out of the last 5 La Liga rounds, the 33-year-old has consistently contributed to the scoresheet with 4 goals and 2 assists.

    ❌ Vicente Moreno can count on most of his key players in the remaining matches. The only player in the "Reds'" injury list is Jon Moncayola, who is still recovering from a thigh injury.

    Atletico Madrid

    📣 After his stellar performance, Alexander Sørloth spoke to the media: "The balls were perfectly placed for me, and my teammates provided excellent passes. It’s been a tough season for me. In October and November, I started to improve. Now, my teammates know me better. I hope to stay in La Liga for a few more years and play more games like this. The standing ovation from the fans? We go through tough matches and weeks, but the fans are always there. I am very happy."

    📢 Pablo Barrios also acknowledged his teammate's achievement: "I can only be happy for Sørloth. He’s a player who gives us so much, especially in a game like today, with so many assists. He was relentless today, and I'm thrilled for him."

    📝 Last week, transfer rumors surrounded Girona's full-back Miguel Gutierrez. According to several insiders, Atlético reportedly reached a verbal agreement for his transfer. However, these talks have since fizzled out. Relevo reports that in recent days, Atlético have decided against signing Miguel Gutierrez.

    ❌ Among Atlético's injured players is Rodrigo Riquelme, who is dealing with a muscle injury. Also in doubt for the upcoming match is Pablo Barrios, who is facing some physical issues.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The man in charge at "El Sadar" will be Mario Melero Lopez. The 45-year-old Spanish referee has officiated 17 La Liga matches this season, averaging 3.76 yellow cards per game and awarding 0.53 penalties. It's worth noting that the head-to-head encounters between these teams are marked by high discipline, with around 3.8 yellow cards per game. In 8 of the last 9 meetings, there were no more than 4 yellow cards shown. Our pick is total yellow cards under 4.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Osasuna regularly struggle to find the net against Atletico, averaging just 0.6 goals per game. Moreover, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in the last 13 consecutive encounters. This season, Vicente Moreno's side isn't known for a potent attack either, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match. We suggest betting on the following outcome - Osasuna's individual total under 1 goal.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    The "Colchoneros" show a positive trend in terms of corners: 4.8 compared to 3.8. The same can't be said for Osasuna: 4.4 compared to 5. In head-to-head matchups, the Madrid club also dominates this aspect: 6 against 4.4. Considering these trends, let's go with Atletico to win on corners with a handicap (0).

    Editors' Prediction

    Atletico have consistently dominated Osasuna in their head-to-head encounters, and the fact that the "Colchoneros" currently lack championship motivation shouldn't be misleading. While the title is out of reach, they can still battle for second place against a depleted Real Madrid, which is a matter of principle for them. Hence, we have faith in Diego Simeone's squad and are backing Atletico to win with a handicap (0).

    Atletico Madrid Handicap (0)
    Published: 14/05/2025, 05:51

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    Betting Tips: Osasuna - Atletico Madrid

    Osasuna have lost:
    ca-osasunaatletico-madrid-1in 12 of last 13 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    ca-osasunaatletico-madrid-1in last 6 home games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    Atletico Madrid Win
    Bovada
    +115
    Osasuna have lost the 2nd half:
    ca-osasunaatletico-madrid-1in 12 of last 13 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    ca-osasunaatletico-madrid-1in last 6 home games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    2nd Half Atletico Madrid Win
    Everygame
    +145
    Osasuna have lost the 1st half:
    ca-osasunaatletico-madrid-1in 5 of last 6 home games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    1st Half Atletico Madrid Win
    Bovada
    +175
    Osasuna have not won:
    ca-osasunaatletico-madrid-1in 12 of last 13 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    ca-osasunaatletico-madrid-1in last 6 home games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    Atletico Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -333
    View more facts

    Osasuna - Atletico Madrid Table position

    LaLiga 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    38266678-3884
    3.
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    382210668-3076
    4.
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    381913654-2970
    8.
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    3813131241-4552
    9.
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    3812161048-5252
    10.
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    381391635-4448

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    3 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 15
    -5
    +1
    14 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    2
    6
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    14
    15
    Conceded
    13
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.7
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats