Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 15 May 2025
🔊 What are Osasuna's chances of getting revenge against Atlético Madrid? One of Thursday's standout fixtures in La Liga sees the "Reds" take on the "Colchoneros" at El Sadar. Diego Simeone's squad lacks motivating factors as the season winds down. They're out of the title race and secured a Champions League spot a few rounds ago. Meanwhile, Vicente Moreno's side is desperately aiming to cement their place in the top eight. Let's take a look at the bookmakers' early predictions: an Osasuna win is at 3.8, while an Atlético victory is at 2.05.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the first round of the current championship, the "Colchoneros" narrowly defeated Osasuna at the Wanda Metropolitano (1-0). A goal by Julian Alvarez remained the only one in the match. Interestingly, Atletico have consistently left Osasuna without a chance at El Sadar for six consecutive head-to-head games. The last success for the "Rojillos" in Pamplona dates back to the 2013/14 season (3-0).
Head-to-head statistics Osasuna - Atletico Madrid

Osasuna Team Overview
🔴 In their last 7 matches, Osasuna have only been outplayed once, in a clash against Villarreal (2-4). Currently, the "Reds" are just 2 points shy of the European competition spots. A promising sign for the fans from Pamplona is their team's strong performance in home fixtures, having secured 30 points from 17 games (8th best in the league). In 2025, they've suffered just one setback at El Sadar, against Getafe (1-2).
Match Results: Osasuna

Atletico Madrid Team Overview
🔵 Over the weekend, Atletico Madrid dismantled Real Sociedad with a 4-0 victory. Alexander Sørloth delivered a sensational performance, netting four goals. The Norwegian striker also set a new La Liga record for the fastest hat-trick, achieving it in just 11 minutes. However, their upcoming trip to El Sadar is unlikely to be as straightforward. The "Colchoneros" have been less than stellar on the road, securing 27 points from 17 matches (ranking fourth in the league). Nevertheless, their defensive prowess is undeniable, conceding just 0.76 goals per game away from home-the best record in the championship.
Match Results: Atletico Madrid
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Osasuna
📣 This past weekend, Osasuna put on a commendable performance against Betis, ending in a 1-1 draw. The "Reds" even outperformed their formidable opponents in expected goals: 2.23 to 0.39. Here's what Vicente Moreno had to say during the post-match press conference: "I want to congratulate my players. They put in a tremendous effort and played an excellent match, fully aware of how tough it is to play at this stadium against a top-tier team. It's no coincidence that Betis are vying for a Champions League spot and are finalists in the Conference League. We're pleased with the point we've earned. Of course, others might see it differently, but we certainly had enough chances to win the match. We're also fighting for a European spot, and naturally, three points would have brought us closer to our goal than one. We have two home matches left. 'El Sadar' is a challenging arena for opponents, and that's where we'll battle for our place in Europe in the next two games."
🔝 In the last round, Ante Budimir once again found the back of the net. For the Croatian forward, it was his 19th goal of the current season, marking the best tally of his career. In 4 out of the last 5 La Liga rounds, the 33-year-old has consistently contributed to the scoresheet with 4 goals and 2 assists.
❌ Vicente Moreno can count on most of his key players in the remaining matches. The only player in the "Reds'" injury list is Jon Moncayola, who is still recovering from a thigh injury.
Atletico Madrid
📣 After his stellar performance, Alexander Sørloth spoke to the media: "The balls were perfectly placed for me, and my teammates provided excellent passes. It’s been a tough season for me. In October and November, I started to improve. Now, my teammates know me better. I hope to stay in La Liga for a few more years and play more games like this. The standing ovation from the fans? We go through tough matches and weeks, but the fans are always there. I am very happy."
📢 Pablo Barrios also acknowledged his teammate's achievement: "I can only be happy for Sørloth. He’s a player who gives us so much, especially in a game like today, with so many assists. He was relentless today, and I'm thrilled for him."
📝 Last week, transfer rumors surrounded Girona's full-back Miguel Gutierrez. According to several insiders, Atlético reportedly reached a verbal agreement for his transfer. However, these talks have since fizzled out. Relevo reports that in recent days, Atlético have decided against signing Miguel Gutierrez.
❌ Among Atlético's injured players is Rodrigo Riquelme, who is dealing with a muscle injury. Also in doubt for the upcoming match is Pablo Barrios, who is facing some physical issues.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The man in charge at "El Sadar" will be Mario Melero Lopez. The 45-year-old Spanish referee has officiated 17 La Liga matches this season, averaging 3.76 yellow cards per game and awarding 0.53 penalties. It's worth noting that the head-to-head encounters between these teams are marked by high discipline, with around 3.8 yellow cards per game. In 8 of the last 9 meetings, there were no more than 4 yellow cards shown. Our pick is total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Osasuna regularly struggle to find the net against Atletico, averaging just 0.6 goals per game. Moreover, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in the last 13 consecutive encounters. This season, Vicente Moreno's side isn't known for a potent attack either, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match. We suggest betting on the following outcome - Osasuna's individual total under 1 goal.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The "Colchoneros" show a positive trend in terms of corners: 4.8 compared to 3.8. The same can't be said for Osasuna: 4.4 compared to 5. In head-to-head matchups, the Madrid club also dominates this aspect: 6 against 4.4. Considering these trends, let's go with Atletico to win on corners with a handicap (0).
Editors' Prediction
Atletico have consistently dominated Osasuna in their head-to-head encounters, and the fact that the "Colchoneros" currently lack championship motivation shouldn't be misleading. While the title is out of reach, they can still battle for second place against a depleted Real Madrid, which is a matter of principle for them. Hence, we have faith in Diego Simeone's squad and are backing Atletico to win with a handicap (0).