North Macedonia vs Slovenia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 November 2026
🔉 North Macedonia play their final match in League B: they have already lost their chance of staying in the division and will start next season in League C. Slovenia, by contrast, are battling for second place, which earns a spot in the play-offs for promotion to the Nations League’s top division. The teams’ motivations differ sharply, and that is the main backdrop to the final round in Skopje.
Head-to-Head
📊 Slovenia won 2-0 at home in the first round, their first victory in the head-to-head meetings. The teams had previously played twice in Euro 2020 qualifying: North Macedonia won at home and drew away. Slovenia scored in all three meetings.
Head-to-head statistics North Macedonia - Slovenia
Disastrous tournament and first goal in 777 minutes
North Macedonia have had a dismal campaign: five defeats in five matches and a goal difference of 1:12 - the worst record in Group B1. Goce Sedloski’s side have already been relegated from Division B and will play only for pride in front of their fans in the final round.
In their last match against Scotland (1:2), North Macedonia ended one of their most painful runs: Elmin Rastoder scored in the 57th minute, the team’s first goal in 777 minutes. Before that, they had failed to score in eight consecutive matches. Their winless run now stands at 13 games, with their last victory coming in September 2025. At home in this campaign, North Macedonia have lost both matches by an aggregate score of 0:5.
Match Results: North Macedonia
Draw with Switzerland and the battle for second place
Slovenia go into the match in second place with eight points from five games. In the last round, Boštjan Cesar’s side drew 0-0 with Switzerland, who have already secured promotion to League A. Slovenia’s form in the competition has been steady: two wins, two draws and one defeat in five matches.
Slovenia are traditionally solid at home, but they are more vulnerable away: all three goals they have conceded in this campaign came in away matches. In the first meeting, Slovenia comfortably beat North Macedonia 2-0, with Sandi Lovrić and Aljoša Matko scoring. A win guarantees Slovenia second place, while their position after any other result will depend on Scotland’s match. They are currently one point ahead of Scotland, so they cannot afford a slip-up.
Match Results: Slovenia
Latest news
North Macedonia
Bojan Miovski has not been called up to the national team because of a lack of playing time at his club, not because of injury. Defenders Gjoko Zajkov and Jovan Stojchevski are also absent from the squad. Andrej Stojchevski will miss the match through injury.
Slovenia
Benjamin Šeško is still recovering from a shinbone injury - he is not expected to return before 2027. David Brekalo is a doubt due to health issues during the national team camp.
Predicted Lineups
North Macedonia’s predicted starting XI: Dimitrievski - Ilievski, Mladenovski, Musliu, Alioski - Gastarov, Elmas, Churlinov, Bardhi - Doriev, Rastoder.
Slovenia’s predicted starting XI: Oblak - Kuzmič, Drkušić, Zec, Zaletel - Karničnik, Matko, Zabukovnik - Gnezda Čerin, Šturm, Vipotnik.
⚽️ Goals prediction
North Macedonia have conceded in the second half in eight consecutive matches. Slovenia know how to step up after the break and will take advantage of the hosts’ fatigue. We’re backing Slovenia to score in the second half at 1.66*.
🚩 Corners prediction
North Macedonia have won at least two corners in 16 of their previous 18 Nations League matches. Even in poor form, they earn set pieces near the opposition goal. Prediction - North Macedonia Team Total Corners - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.33*.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
The visitors will be motivated to win, as dropping points could cost them second place. Slovenia will be looking to play aggressively, which could lead to plenty of yellow cards. We pick Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at 1.30*.
🚀 Player prop bet
Aleš Matko has scored two goals in this Nations League campaign, including one against North Macedonia in the first round. The midfielder is in good form and will be one of the visitors’ main attacking threats. You can bet on Matko to score at odds of 2.80*.
😱 Risky bet
North Macedonia struggle in second halves, and Slovenia may take advantage by improving after the break. Slovenia - Second-Half Handicap (-1) at 3.35* is a risky bet on the match.
🎯 A reliable bet
North Macedonia have conceded in eight consecutive matches. Slovenia have scored in 6 of their last 8 matches. Slovenia to score at 1.21* is a reliable option for this match.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
North Macedonia have yet to win in the tournament and have not won for a year, but they may produce a burst of emotion in their final home match in front of their fans. North Macedonia to win at 6.30* goes against the main course of events.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The stakes are high for Slovenia, so the match is likely to start cautiously. North Macedonia's current form leaves them unable to put up much of a fight, while the Slovenians, if they score one or two goals, will focus on protecting their lead rather than seeking a rout. The hosts have already lost their chance of staying in the division and are unlikely to commit large numbers forward even at 0:1 - avoiding a heavy defeat in front of their fans matters more to them. Slovenia, for their part, will not force the issue, knowing that a narrow win is enough to achieve their objective. The main bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 0:2.
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Betting Tips: North Macedonia - Slovenia
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