PSG vs Marseille Prediction
🔊 The concluding match of the 26th round of Ligue 1 is also the central one! PSG will host Marseille at the "Parc des Princes" - this is “Le Classique”. Unfortunately, in terms of the championship race, the match no longer means anything, but sparks will still fly in all directions - there's no doubt about that. The favorite, of course, is considered to be Paris, which has gained some incredible form. Can the "Provencals" offer any resistance to the hegemon?
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between PSG and Marseille:
- 44 matches played;
- number of wins for the home team - 30, for the away team - 8, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 85 against 40;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.66, in the 2nd half - 1.18;
- average total goals per match - 2.84.
The last game took place on 27 October 2024 at Marseille's field and ended with a score of 0:3.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview
🔵 PSG is at the top of the league table with an impressive form - 9 wins in the last 10 matches. Their attacking style of play is paying off: the average number of goals scored is 3.4 per match. The defense is also performing well, conceding only 0.6 goals on average.
🔗 We are likely witnessing the best PSG in its history right now. The sheikhs can be satisfied, with only the long-awaited Champions League victory remaining. A significant step in that direction was made this week when the Parisians defeated Liverpool in a penalty shootout, advancing to the quarter-finals where they will face Aston Villa.
🔝 Ousmane Dembele scored again, who is in the best form of his life and is seriously contending for the Ballon d'Or. It's hard to believe, but this season the Frenchman has already scored more goals (29) than in the previous five seasons combined (28).
📢 Here's what Luis Enrique said after the battle at Anfield: “We were better in Paris, and they were, in my opinion, better today. We did everything we could, and we were lucky to advance. It was very tough.”
❌ One could say that Paris has no personnel issues at all, if not for Marquinhos, who couldn't finish the match against Liverpool. The captain's participation in the upcoming match is in doubt, and potentially this is a very serious loss.
Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain

Olympique Marseille Team Overview
⚪ Marseille, overall, is having a good season. In the last 10 matches, the team has secured 5 victories and suffered 4 defeats. Their average scoring rate is 1.6 goals per game, while the "Provençals" concede 1.2 goals.
🔗 74% ball possession, a huge advantage in shots (15-3), and home crowd support - none of this helped the "Provençals" defeat Lens in the last round. Moreover, they suffered a heartbreaking loss, conceding in the 94th minute.
📎 The official reason for Mason Greenwood and Luis Enrique Roberto De Zerbi's absence from the starting lineup against Lens was cited as poor physical condition. However, L'Equipe reports that during the pre-match training, the Italian reprimanded the players, accusing them of lacking commitment.
📢 De Zerbi commented on the outcome of the match as follows: “We had our chances, but we didn't capitalize on them. I'm disappointed with the result, but I think the guys did enough to win the match.”
🔝 Marseille's newcomer Amine Gouiri was named the best player of February in Ligue 1. The Algerian scored two goals and provided three assists.
❌ Faris Mumbanya and Michaël Murillo are listed as injured for the visitors. It is also reported that Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, who played through pain in the last round, will join them in the infirmary. This is a huge loss for the midfield.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- home team wins - 30, away team wins - 8, draws - 6.
Statistics: Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of wins: 20 vs 15;
- win percentage: 80% vs 60%;
- number of losses: 0 vs 6;
- number of draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 9 vs 5;
- number of losses: 1 vs 4;
- number of draws: 0 vs 1.
- Paris Saint-Germain has won the 1st half in 8 of the last 9 home games against Olympique Marseille.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.93, the guests - 0.91;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.84;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille
- average total in the tournament: 3.76 vs 3.28;
- average total goals scored: 2.8 vs 2.08;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.2 vs 0.72;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.6 vs 1.36;
- Paris Saint-Germain: average total at home in the tournament - 2.92;
- Olympique Marseille: average total away in the tournament - 2.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 3.4 (home - 3.75) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
- Olympique Marseille has scored less than 1.5 goals in each of their last 18 away games against Paris Saint-Germain.
Prediction on corners
Paris Saint-Germain: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.2; at home field - 6.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 7.
Olympique Marseille: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.84, away - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.4; away - 6.75.
- Olympique Marseille has taken under 4.5 corners in 7 of the last 8 away games against Paris Saint-Germain.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.5 (1.75 for home team and 1.75 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.05 (1.91 for home team and 2.14 for away team).
Paris Saint-Germain: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.2; at home - 1.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.8; at home - 0.5.
Olympique Marseille: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.8, away - 1.58;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 1.25.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in each of the last 7 Paris Saint-Germain games against Olympique Marseille.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in each of the last 6 Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 games against Olympique Marseille.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in each of the last 8 Paris Saint-Germain home games.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in 8 of the last 9 Olympique Marseille away games in the Ligue 1.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in each of the last 5 Olympique Marseille in the Ligue 1 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Paris Saint-Germain at home - 9 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Olympique Marseille away - 6 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Paris Saint-Germain at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Olympique Marseille away - 1 (25%).
- Paris Saint-Germain has scored and conceded in 10 of the last 11 Ligue 1 games.
- Paris Saint-Germain has scored and conceded in each of their last 6 Ligue 1 home games.
Editorial Prediction
Taking into account the current form and statistics of the teams, the prediction for the match leans in favor of PSG. Their impressive form makes the Parisians clear favorites. Marseille is not impressive at the moment, and in head-to-head meetings, they often end up beaten - the last four "Provencals" lost with an aggregate score of 0-12. Our bet is on PSG's victory with odds of 1.49.