PSG vs Marseille Prediction

    🔊 The concluding match of the 26th round of Ligue 1 is also the central one! PSG will host Marseille at the "Parc des Princes" - this is “Le Classique”. Unfortunately, in terms of the championship race, the match no longer means anything, but sparks will still fly in all directions - there's no doubt about that. The favorite, of course, is considered to be Paris, which has gained some incredible form. Can the "Provencals" offer any resistance to the hegemon?

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between PSG and Marseille:

    • 44 matches played;
    • number of wins for the home team - 30, for the away team - 8, draws - 6;
    • number of goals - 85 against 40;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.66, in the 2nd half - 1.18;
    • average total goals per match - 2.84.

    The last game took place on 27 October 2024 at Marseille's field and ended with a score of 0:3.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    69%
    33 Wins
    13%
    6 Draws
    19%
    9 Wins
    Total games
    48
    Total Goals Avg
    2.9
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.98
    Total average
    0.92
    1.73
    Yellow cards
    1.96
    Last matches
    08.02.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.94
    1.09
    5
    2
    11
    18
    2
    2
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2.94
    1.09
    5
    2
    11
    18
    2
    2
    08.01.26
    FSC
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.8
    2.02
    3
    12
    11
    11
    1
    4
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    4
    1
    1.8
    2.02
    3
    12
    11
    11
    1
    4
    22.09.25
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.13
    0.6
    5
    3
    16
    7
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.13
    0.6
    5
    3
    16
    7
    3
    0
    16.03.25
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.61
    0.73
    5
    5
    7
    9
    1
    0
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.61
    0.73
    5
    5
    7
    9
    1
    0
    27.10.24
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    0.23
    2.99
    1
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0.23
    2.99
    1
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
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    Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

    🔵 PSG is at the top of the league table with an impressive form - 9 wins in the last 10 matches. Their attacking style of play is paying off: the average number of goals scored is 3.4 per match. The defense is also performing well, conceding only 0.6 goals on average. 

    🔗 We are likely witnessing the best PSG in its history right now. The sheikhs can be satisfied, with only the long-awaited Champions League victory remaining. A significant step in that direction was made this week when the Parisians defeated Liverpool in a penalty shootout, advancing to the quarter-finals where they will face Aston Villa.

    🔝 Ousmane Dembele scored again, who is in the best form of his life and is seriously contending for the Ballon d'Or. It's hard to believe, but this season the Frenchman has already scored more goals (29) than in the previous five seasons combined (28).

    📢 Here's what Luis Enrique said after the battle at Anfield: “We were better in Paris, and they were, in my opinion, better today. We did everything we could, and we were lucky to advance. It was very tough.”

    ❌ One could say that Paris has no personnel issues at all, if not for Marquinhos, who couldn't finish the match against Liverpool. The captain's participation in the upcoming match is in doubt, and potentially this is a very serious loss.

    Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    4
    3
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    L
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    D
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    Olympique Marseille Team Overview

    ⚪ Marseille, overall, is having a good season. In the last 10 matches, the team has secured 5 victories and suffered 4 defeats. Their average scoring rate is 1.6 goals per game, while the "Provençals" concede 1.2 goals.

    🔗 74% ball possession, a huge advantage in shots (15-3), and home crowd support - none of this helped the "Provençals" defeat Lens in the last round. Moreover, they suffered a heartbreaking loss, conceding in the 94th minute.

    📎 The official reason for Mason Greenwood and Luis Enrique Roberto De Zerbi's absence from the starting lineup against Lens was cited as poor physical condition. However, L'Equipe reports that during the pre-match training, the Italian reprimanded the players, accusing them of lacking commitment.

    📢 De Zerbi commented on the outcome of the match as follows: “We had our chances, but we didn't capitalize on them. I'm disappointed with the result, but I think the guys did enough to win the match.”

    🔝 Marseille's newcomer Amine Gouiri was named the best player of February in Ligue 1. The Algerian scored two goals and provided three assists.

    ❌ Faris Mumbanya and Michaël Murillo are listed as injured for the visitors. It is also reported that Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, who played through pain in the last round, will join them in the infirmary. This is a huge loss for the midfield.

    Match Results: Olympique Marseille

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Havre
    Havre
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Nice
    Nice
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    D
    18.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 44;
    • home team wins - 30, away team wins - 8, draws - 6.

    Statistics: Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
    • number of wins: 20 vs 15;
    • win percentage: 80% vs 60%;
    • number of losses: 0 vs 6;
    • number of draws: 5 vs 4.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 9 vs 5;
    • number of losses: 1 vs 4;
    • number of draws: 0 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Paris Saint-Germain has won the 1st half in 8 of the last 9 home games against Olympique Marseille.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Paris Saint-Germain Win(odds: 1.87)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.93, the guests - 0.91;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.84;
    • both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 9.

    Statistics: Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille

    • average total in the tournament: 3.76 vs 3.28;
    • average total goals scored: 2.8 vs 2.08;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.2 vs 0.72;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.6 vs 1.36;
    • Paris Saint-Germain: average total at home in the tournament -  2.92;
    • Olympique Marseille: average total away in the tournament - 2.25;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 3.4 (home - 3.75) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Olympique Marseille has scored less than 1.5 goals in each of their last 18 away games against Paris Saint-Germain.
    👉Prediction: Olympique Marseille Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on corners

    Paris Saint-Germain: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.2; at home field - 6.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 7.

    Olympique Marseille: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.84, away - 4.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.4; away - 6.75.
    Trends
    • Olympique Marseille has taken under 4.5 corners in 7 of the last 8 away games against Paris Saint-Germain.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Olympique Marseille Total Under (4.5)(odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.5 (1.75 for home team and 1.75 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.05 (1.91 for home team and 2.14 for away team).

    Paris Saint-Germain: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.2; at home - 1.17;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.8; at home - 0.5.

    Olympique Marseille: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.8, away - 1.58;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 1.25.
    Trends
    • There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in each of the last 7 Paris Saint-Germain games against Olympique Marseille.
    • There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in each of the last 6 Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 games against Olympique Marseille.
    • There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in each of the last 8 Paris Saint-Germain home games.
    • There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in 8 of the last 9 Olympique Marseille away games in the Ligue 1.
    • There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in each of the last 5 Olympique Marseille in the Ligue 1 games.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4.5)(odds: 1.6)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 44;
    • both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 9 times.

    Statistics: Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 15;
    • number of BTTS matches for Paris Saint-Germain at home - 9 (75%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Olympique Marseille away - 6 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Paris Saint-Germain at home - 2 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Olympique Marseille away - 1 (25%).
    Trends
    • Paris Saint-Germain has scored and conceded in 10 of the last 11 Ligue 1 games.
    • Paris Saint-Germain has scored and conceded in each of their last 6 Ligue 1 home games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.53)

    Editorial Prediction

    Taking into account the current form and statistics of the teams, the prediction for the match leans in favor of PSG. Their impressive form makes the Parisians clear favorites. Marseille is not impressive at the moment, and in head-to-head meetings, they often end up beaten - the last four "Provencals" lost with an aggregate score of 0-12.  Our bet is on PSG's victory with odds of 1.49.
    Our choice
    Paris Saint-Germain Win at odds of -227*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (14 March 2025, 14:07)

    Betting Tips: Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille

    Paris Saint-Germain have won
    paris-saint-germain-1olympique-marseille-1in 8 of last 9 home games against Olympique Marseille.
    paris-saint-germain-1olympique-marseille-1in last 6 games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 12 of last 13 games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 10 of last 11 games (Ligue 1).
    Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Bovada
    -294
    Paris Saint-Germain have won the 1st half
    paris-saint-germain-1olympique-marseille-1in 8 of last 9 home games against Olympique Marseille.
    1st Half Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Bovada
    -125
    Paris Saint-Germain have not lost
    paris-saint-germain-1olympique-marseille-1in 24 of last 25 games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1olympique-marseille-1in 17 of last 18 home games against Olympique Marseille.
    paris-saint-germain-1olympique-marseille-1in 13 of last 14 home games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1olympique-marseille-1in 9 of last 10 games against Olympique Marseille.
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 27 games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 24 of last 25 games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 12 home games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 10 of last 11 home games.
    Paris Saint-Germain will not lose
    -1000
    Paris Saint-Germain have scored
    paris-saint-germain-1olympique-marseille-1in 8 of last 9 home games against Olympique Marseille.
    paris-saint-germain-1olympique-marseille-1in last 7 games against Olympique Marseille.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 29 of last 30 games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 22 of last 23 games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 19 of last 20 home games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 14 home games (Ligue 1).
    Paris Saint-Germain will score goal
    -2000
    View more facts

    PSG - Marseille Table position

    Ligue 1 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    34266292-3584
    2.
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    34205974-4765
    3.
    Monaco
    Monaco
    34187963-4161
    4.
    Nice
    Nice
    34179866-4160
    5.
    Lille
    Lille
    34179852-3660
    6.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    341761165-4657

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 12
    +8
    0
    12 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    12
    12
    Conceded
    12
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.4
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats