PSG vs Marseille Prediction
🔊 What will be the outcome of the French Super Cup showdown? On Thursday, PSG and Marseille will battle for this trophy. A unique aspect of this encounter is its location-it's set to take place outside of France, in Kuwait. Bookmakers have pegged the Parisian club as the favorite in this clash, but the "southerners" clearly have other ideas. Check out our insightful match preview in our analytical piece.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the last six encounters between these rivals, PSG have claimed victory five times, while Marseille have won once. Notably, it was the most recent head-to-head clash in September of last year that saw the "White and Blues" secure a 1-0 win.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview
🔵 PSG have gone almost a month and a half without tasting defeat across all competitions, with their last setback coming in a domestic league match against Monaco (0-1). In December, Luis Enrique's side claimed the Intercontinental Cup, overcoming Flamengo in a penalty shootout (2-1). PSG's goalkeeper Matvey Safonov was particularly impressive, saving four penalties in that encounter.
🔴 Also in December, PSG secured their spot in the Round of 32 by thrashing the modest club Fontenay away from home (4-0). In their latest Ligue 1 outing, Luis Enrique's men edged past Paris FC on home turf. It wasn't the most convincing performance from PSG, but the essential goal was achieved-three points added to their tally.
Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain
Olympique Marseille Team Overview
🔵 Marseille wrapped up 2025 on a high note, but couldn't kick off the new year with a victory. In their latest Ligue 1 fixture, the "White and Blues" suffered a surprising home defeat to modest Nantes (0-2). The primary reason for the loss was the sending off of Belgian midfielder Arthur Vermeeren in the 26th minute. Early in the second half, Bilal Nadir picked up two yellow cards in quick succession and was also sent off, leaving his team with just nine men on the field.
⚪ At the end of 2025, Marseille secured three consecutive wins: in the Champions League against Union Saint-Gilloise (3-2), in Ligue 1 against Monaco (1-0), and in the French Cup against Bourg-en-Bresse (6-0). Overall, Roberto De Zerbi's squad have performed well this season, particularly in defense, which gives Marseille a strong chance of success in the Super Cup final.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Latest news
Paris Saint-Germain
🎙 Luis Enrique has spoken out about the constant threats of halting matches due to chants from his team's fans. He is very displeased and worried about this happening in the French Super Cup final. "I'm angry because they only stop our matches. We go to every stadium as guests, and at every stadium, there are chants against our players, our club, our president, and everything else, yet matches never get stopped. They only get interrupted for us, and that's what I'm criticizing," stated the PSG head coach.
❌ Matvey Safonov will be unable to assist his team due to an injury sustained in the Intercontinental Cup final - he has a broken arm and will need at least another month for recovery. The participation of Quentin N'Djantu and Kang-In Lee in the upcoming game is doubtful due to injuries. Additionally, Achraf Hakimi and Ibrahima Mbaye have been called up to their national teams as they compete in the Africa Cup of Nations.
Olympique Marseille
🎙 Roberto De Zerbi shared his thoughts on the relocation of the French Super Cup to Kuwait: “My opinion remains unchanged. It’s my own and not necessarily the right one: the French Super Cup or the Italian Super Cup should be held in their respective countries, in front of the clubs' fans.”
❌ Due to a shoulder injury, Algerian forward Amine Gouiri will miss the upcoming match. Defender Nayef Aguerd has been called up to his national team and continues to compete in the Africa Cup of Nations, likely making it difficult for him to make it back in time for the French Super Cup match.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
In their last 10 matches across various competitions, the yellow card statistics are as follows: PSG average 1.1 cards per game, while Marseille average 1.9 in the same period. The "Southerners" have been picking up a fair number of cautions this season, unlike their opponents. Therefore, we suggest betting on Marseille to win in the yellow card count.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
PSG's individual total over their last 10 matches averages 2.6 goals per game, while Marseille's stands at 2.2. The scoring rate in matches involving these teams is high: the nominal hosts average 3.6, and the nominal visitors 3.2. Considering this data, we recommend a bet on total match goals over 2.5.
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
In the last ten matches across various competitions, PSG have averaged 5.5 corners per game, and Marseille 6.5. Both teams frequently earn set pieces from the corner flag and show stats slightly above other French teams. Therefore, we propose a bet on total corners over 8.5.
Editorial Prediction
Both teams are showcasing a solid level of football this season, competing fiercely for the championship in France. Their consistent high-scoring performances make a bet on over 2.5 goals a very promising option here. We believe that neither side will emerge victorious in regular time - the match is likely to end in a 2-2 draw.
Betting Tips: Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille
in 9 of last 10 games.in last 19 Paris Saint-Germain games against Olympique Marseille.
in 7 of last 8 Thomas Leonard games.in 17 of last 18 games against Paris Saint-Germain.
in 8 of last 9 games against Olympique Marseille.in 17 of last 19 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
