PSG vs Marseille Prediction
🔊 The marquee match of the 21st round in the French Ligue 1. PSG, unbeaten in over two months in Ligue 1, host Marseille - De Zerbi's side have solidified their position in the Champions League spots. Should Paris fans anticipate another high-scoring encounter, reminiscent of the thrilling clash these clubs delivered for Arab viewers in the French Super Cup a month ago? Let's delve into the match dynamics and offer an insightful prediction for the game on February 8th.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past five seasons, PSG and Marseille have faced off nine times in Ligue 1: the Parisians have claimed victory seven times, Marseille once, and one match ended in a draw. This season, the teams have met twice - Marseille won at home in the first round (1-0) thanks to an own goal by Marquinhos early in the match, while in January, PSG avenged that loss in the French Super Cup (2-2, winning 4-1 on penalties). Marseille have been unable to defeat PSG in Paris for four consecutive matches.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview
In the French championship, the Parisians are on a remarkable six-match winning streak, with their last Ligue 1 defeat dating back to late November. In the previous round, despite being down a man, they edged past Strasbourg 2-1, thanks to a goal from Nuno Mendes. PSG's position at the top of the table improved after Lens slipped up in late January, leaving PSG with 48 points and their closest rivals with 46.
While PSG are comfortably collecting points in Ligue 1, they've faced challenges in other competitions this January. After the country's Super Cup in Kuwait, the capital club were knocked out of the French Cup, losing in the Round of 32 to Paris FC. In the Champions League, they suffered a 2-1 defeat to Sporting CP and drew 1-1 with Newcastle United. The French club will continue their title defense in the playoff rounds.
Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain
Olympique Marseille Team Overview
After a dramatic exit from the Champions League due to goal difference, Roberto De Zerbi's side, who is rumored to be in line for a position at Fiorentina, can now focus on Ligue 1 and the Coupe de France. In the domestic league, the Olympians have been on a roll, picking up points in three consecutive matches (7 out of a possible 9), solidifying their place in the top four.
In the last round, the Provençals played in the capital against Paris (2-2). The White and Blues were leading by two goals until the 82nd minute but let their advantage slip away. Midweek, Marseille thrashed Rennes 3-0, reaching the quarter-finals of the Coupe de France for the first time in three years.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Latest news
Paris Saint-Germain
🎙 After a hard-fought victory over Strasbourg in the 20th round, Luis Enrique responded to critics who believe PSG's championship is predetermined before the season even starts.
“I think securing a sixth consecutive league win is fantastic. This is a tough league, even if people don't think so. Lens are also winning, they're on an incredible run. It's not going to be easy for us, especially if Marseille and Lyon improve their results. The end of the season will be challenging,” Enrique told Footmercato.❌ Besides the pressure from Lens in second place, PSG have to cope without the injured Fabian Ruiz, Quentin N'Djanta, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who has already resumed training. Ashraf Hakimi will miss the match against Marseille due to a suspension from the previous game.
↔️ With Hakimi just returning from the Africa Cup of Nations, Warren Zaire-Emery is likely to fill in again on the right flank of defense. In goal, after another saved penalty and three key saves, Matvey Safonov is the expected choice.
Olympique Marseille
🎙 Marseille's head coach Roberto De Zerbi is frustrated with the team's lack of consistency. The southern side can lose to Ligue 1's second-to-last team (Nantes), and then go on to defeat the league's second-place club (Lens).
"Rennes are far from a weak opponent. We need to prepare well for the upcoming matches. I have a somewhat puzzling team, and I don't always understand them. You add an extra defender, and they concede three goals. You field four forwards, and they don't take a single shot on target," De Zerbi told derbyderbyderby.it.❌ The participation of forward Igor Paixão in the match against PSG is in doubt due to an injury.
↔️ New signing midfielder Himad Abdelli, who previously played for Angers, has yet to debut for Marseille. Goalkeeper Geronimo Rulli will return, having not featured in the French Cup matches. Emerson, who has been sidelined for over two weeks, might play on the left in defense again. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored in two consecutive matches for the third time this season, and De Zerbi may once again start the Gabonese striker.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
French referee Willy Delajod averages 2.4 yellow cards per match this Ligue 1 season. Notably, he hasn't shown four or more yellow cards in two consecutive matches. Last week, he handed out four yellows to players from Lille and Strasbourg. Considering PSG's disciplined play (only 21 cautions in 20 matches), we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 3.5 with odds of 1.94*.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Marseille's recent matches have been high-scoring, averaging 4.3 goals per game under De Zerbi. In 6 of their last 7 games across all competitions, the first goal was scored by the 30th minute. This trend aligns well with PSG's recent form, as they've scored within the first half-hour in 2 of their last 3 matches. We recommend betting on first goal by or before the 30th minute with odds of 1.5*.
🚩 Corner Prediction
PSG remain unbeaten at home in Ligue 1 since April last year, consistently dominating play. In 4 of their last 5 league matches, PSG have delivered at least 6 corners. Thus, we suggest betting on PSG over 5.5 corners with odds of 1.9*.
🚀 Player Statistics Bet
Marseille winger Mason Greenwood had an outstanding January, scoring 7 goals and providing 4 assists in nine matches across all competitions. His impressive form has made him the top player in Ligue 1 for combined goals and assists. The 24-year-old has scored in his last two outings and previously managed a three-game scoring streak earlier this month. Will he score again? We recommend betting on Mason Greenwood to score with odds of 3.4*.
😱 Risky Bet
The last four head-to-heads between PSG and Marseille have seen an own goal: Willian Pacho and Marquinhos for PSG, and Lucas Balerdi and Pol Lirola for Marseille. This unlikely event has occurred four times in a row in their encounters. Could it happen again? We suggest betting on own goal - yes with approximate odds of 8.0*.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
PSG aim to extend their winning streak in Ligue 1, but things might not go as planned if a red card is shown. In each of the three league matches this season where Marseille had a numerical advantage, they dominated in corners and won those battles. In such a scenario, consider betting on Marseille to win the corner count - pre-match odds for this are around 3.6*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers
Editor's Prediction
Marseille aren't typically known for their away performances, but De Zerbi's side have found the net in five of their last six road games. In Ligue 1 this season, only PSG have outscored the Provençals away from home, with PSG netting 21 goals to Marseille's 19. There's little doubt PSG will score, especially considering their previous encounter in Kuwait remains fresh in memory. Thus, our pick is both teams to score. We anticipate the match will end with a home victory, predicting a scoreline of 3-1.
Betting Tips: Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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