Bosnia vs Sweden Prediction 2 October 2026
🔊 Edin Džeko is playing his final match for the Bosnia and Herzegovina national team. The all-time leading scorer in the team's history - 73 goals in 151 appearances - is saying goodbye at home, and every ticket for the evening sold out in 14 minutes. The occasion is not purely sentimental: Bosnia sit second with four points, and a win over Sweden would take them top. Sweden have won both of their Nations League matches, but they travel to Zenica without Alexander Isak.
🔁 We regularly update this prediction. Keep an eye on the team news sections.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides have met just once before. In May 2010 in Stockholm, Sweden beat Bosnia in a friendly 4-2, with Martin Olsson scoring twice in the second half. The teams will now play each other twice in a single autumn: after Zenica, the return fixture follows on 14 November in Solna.
Bosnia & Herzegovina Team Overview
In the spring, Sergei Barbarez's side knocked Italy out on penalties in Zenica to qualify for the World Cup. At the tournament, Bosnia beat Qatar, drew with Canada and lost 1-4 to Switzerland, but reached the knockout stage for the first time in their history.
The team began their Nations League campaign with two away fixtures. In Warsaw, Bosnia drew 0-0 with Poland - goalkeeper Martin Zlomislic earning them a point in stoppage time. Three days later in Bucharest, in front of an empty stadium, they beat Romania 4-2.
Match Results: Bosnia & Herzegovina
Sweden Team Overview
Graham Potter guided Sweden to the World Cup through a play-off final against Poland. They began the tournament with a 5-1 thrashing of Tunisia, but then lost 1-5 to the Netherlands and advanced from the group only in third place. In the Round of 32, France knocked them out 3-0, with Kylian Mbappé scoring twice.
In the Nations League, Sweden have won both of their home matches and lead the group with six points. They beat Romania 2-1, and had to work hard against Poland. The score was level at half-time, with goalkeeper Viktor Johansson keeping them in it. After the break, Potter reorganised the team and Sweden won 3-1, with Yassin Ayari scoring the winner.
Match Results: Sweden
Latest news
Bosnia & Herzegovina
❓ The main talking point of this camp is the captain's farewell. Džeko missed the away trips to Warsaw and Bucharest as planned, but trained with the squad throughout that period. Barbarez admitted he hopes to see him on the pitch for the full 90 minutes. Bosnia are going through this camp without defender Amar Dedić and midfielder Kenan Bušuladžić, both of whom dropped out of the squad before preparations began and were replaced by Ajdin Hasić and Benjamin Tahirović. Kerim Alajbegović missed the first training session with a minor thigh injury but started both Nations League matches. Three days after the Sweden game, Bosnia have another home fixture.
Sweden
❓ Potter is dealing with some significant absences. Alexander Isak has picked up a minor thigh injury, Hjalmar Ekdal is also out, and the federation has confirmed that both will miss the remaining three matches of the window. No replacements have been called up. Emil Holm left the squad due to injury, while Isak Hien and Roony Bardghji were also unavailable for the same reason. On the other hand, Besfort Zeneli has returned after missing the first match with a twisted ankle. The coaching staff have openly spoken about rotation with the workload in mind: Sweden have four matches in this window, and after Zenica they face an away trip to Romania.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Bosnia and Herzegovina: Zlomislić - Memić, Katić, Muharemović, Kolašinac - Bašić, Gigović - Bajraktarević, Mahmić, Alajbegović - Džeko.
📋 Predicted starting XI for Sweden: Johansson - Svensson, Starfelt, Lindelöf, Gudmundsson - Wålemark, Bergvall, Ayari, Zeneli - Nygren, Gyökeres.
⚽️ Goals prediction
Sweden's last eight Nations League matches have all produced more than two goals, including five consecutive away matches. Sweden themselves have scored at least twice in each of their last eight matches in the competition. The broader picture tells the same story: of Sweden's last eight matches overall, only the draw with Japan at the World Cup (1-1) produced fewer than three goals. We're expecting at least three goals here. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
🚩 Corners prediction
Neither side relies heavily on corners. Over their last ten matches, Bosnia have taken 40 corners and their opponents 50. Sweden's numbers are similar: 39 for, 48 against. In total, matches involving Bosnia over that period produced 90 corners, while matches involving Sweden produced 87. We're not expecting a high corner count from this fixture. The bet is Total Corners - Under 9.5.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
Bosnia foul frequently and referees have taken notice. In their last ten matches they have picked up 27 yellow cards, while their opponents received just 12. In Warsaw at the start of the Nations League campaign, five Bosnia players were booked: Kolašinac, Smajović, Šunić, Alajbegović and Memić. Sweden are more disciplined: 15 cards for, 17 against. The bet is Bosnia & Herzegovina Team Total - Over 1.5 Yellow Cards.
🚀 Player bet
Viktor Gyökeres has started the season on the bench at Arsenal, with just 29 minutes in the Premier League and no goals. For Sweden it has been a different story. He scored against Romania and Poland, playing more than 75 minutes in both matches. Against Poland, with Isak absent, Gyökeres led the line alongside Benjamin Nygren and scored Sweden's third goal. The bet is Gyökeres to Score.
😱 Risky bet
We're expecting a Sweden win in which Bosnia manage to get on the scoresheet. Sweden have won five consecutive Nations League matches, but they have been giving opponents chances: in 9 of their last 10 games both sides have scored. In September, both Romania and Poland replied once against Sweden. The 1-2 scoreline we're anticipating would cover this bet, and the odds here are noticeably higher than for a straightforward Sweden win. The bet is Sweden to Win and Both Teams to Score.
🎯 Reliable bet
Sweden have scored in 11 consecutive Nations League matches. In their last ten games overall, they have only failed to score once - against France in the Round of 32 at the World Cup. For this bet to lose, Bosnia would need to keep a clean sheet, yet at home they have conceded in 12 of their last 13 matches. The bet is Sweden to Score.
👀 If the match doesn't go to script
The likely scenario is Sweden winning by a single goal with Bosnia getting one back. That changes if the hosts score first. In that case, at a packed Bilino Polje saying farewell to Džeko, Sweden would be forced to open up and Bosnia would have space to counter. Keep in mind for in-play: bets on Bosnia not to lose and on Total Goals - Over 4 if the hosts take the lead within the first half hour.
📌 Editorial Prediction
At home, Bosnia and Herzegovina have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, and with this being Džeko's farewell evening, the stands will be full. Sweden, meanwhile, have not kept a clean sheet in 14 consecutive matches - even in their two September victories, opponents managed to score. Sweden themselves have scored in seven consecutive away matches in the Nations League. We are expecting goals at both ends and a win for the visitors. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Bosnia & Herzegovina - Sweden
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