Maldonado vs Progreso Prediction 14 February 2026

    💥 The second round of the Uruguayan Apertura brings Deportivo Maldonado and Progreso face-to-face at the Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel. The hosts aim to secure crucial points in front of their fans, building their play from a solid defense to cautious attacks. Progreso arrive for this away fixture determined to showcase disciplined tactics and engage in a fierce midfield battle. Fans can expect a hard-fought match between two evenly matched teams, where every goal could be decisive for the final outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Analytical review of past official encounters between Deportivo Maldonado and Progreso:

    • 13 matches played;
    • home victories - 3, away victories - 5, draws - 5;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 10 to 18;
    • average total goals per match - 2.15.

    Head-to-head statistics Maldonado - Progreso

    31%
    5 Wins
    31%
    5 Draws
    38%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    16
    Total Goals Avg
    2.06
    Both teams scored
    38%
    0.88
    Total average
    1.19
    1.5
    Yellow cards
    1.56
    Last matches
    16.08.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    18.07.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    2
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    4
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    4
    4
    14.02.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    6
    4
    -
    -
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    -
    -
    2
    3
    06.10.24
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    21.07.24
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Deportivo Maldonado Team Overview

    The team's latest official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Racing Montevideo as the home side and Deportivo Maldonado as the visitors. The match concluded with a scoreline of 2-4.

    Here are the game statistics (Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Montevideo):

    • possession: 47% vs 53%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 6.

    Deportivo Maldonado traditionally focuses on a well-organized defensive strategy, minimizing risks near their own goal. The team prefers to play on the counter, patiently waiting for opponents to make mistakes before launching rare but incisive counterattacks. The coaching staff places significant emphasis on maintaining compact lines, making it an extremely tough challenge for any forward to break through their defensive ranks. In home matches, the team aims to keep the game tight, prioritizing pragmatic results over flashy attacking displays.

    Match Results: Deportivo Maldonado

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    D
    16.08.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    W
    10.08.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    1
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    0
    5
    -
    -
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    5
    -
    -
    0
    3
    D
    01.08.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    10
    5
    -
    -
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    10
    5
    -
    -
    4
    2
    D
    18.07.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    2
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    4
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    4
    4
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The visiting team played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Progreso hosting Central Español. The match concluded with a 0-3 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Progreso vs Central Español):

    • possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 4.

    Progreso are known for their tenacious and physically robust style of play, characterized by tough tackles and a compact team setup. They expertly organize a layered defense, aiming to close down any open spaces for the opponent's technical maneuvers. In the attacking phase, the team often relies on long passes and places significant emphasis on capitalizing on their limited set-piece opportunities. When playing away, Progreso adopt a strictly defensive approach, prioritizing the protection of their goal above all else.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    13
    2
    10
    9
    2
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    2
    10
    9
    2
    5
    L
    16.08.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    L
    08.08.26
    Primera Division
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    2
    0
    L
    02.08.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    18.07.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    2
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    4
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    4
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 13;
    • home team wins - 3, away team wins - 5, draws - 5.

    Statistics: Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso

    • matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
    • wins: 1 vs 0;
    • win percentage: 100% vs 0%;
    • losses: 0 vs 1;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 5;
    • losses: 2 vs 4;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Deportivo Maldonado have not lost in last 8 games.
    • Progreso have not won in 11 of last 12 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Deportivo Maldonado will not lose(odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 0.77, the guests - 1.38;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.15;
    • both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Deportivo Maldonado home games.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Progreso games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5)(odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Progreso have taken under 4.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Progreso Total Under (4,5)(odds: 1.72)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 13;
    • both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 3 times.

    Statistics: Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 0;
    • number of BTTS matches for Deportivo Maldonado at home - 0 (0%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Progreso away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Deportivo Maldonado at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Progreso away - 3 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.8)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Given the pragmatic approach of both teams and their tendency towards defensive football, a high-scoring encounter seems unlikely. Each side will prioritize solid defense, inevitably leading to a slower pace and fewer dangerous chances. The current form of both clubs at the start of the season suggests a high probability of a tight contest with minimal shots on target. Considering these factors, betting on under 2.5 goals is the most logical and well-founded scenario for this match.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-167
    Published: 12/02/2026, 20:24

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    Betting Tips: Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso

    Progreso have lost the 2nd half:
    ca-progresoin last 5 games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Deportivo Maldonado Win
    Everygame
    +175
    Deportivo Maldonado have not lost:
    deportivo-maldonadoin last 8 games.
    Progreso have not won:
    ca-progresoin 11 of last 12 away games (Primera Division).
    Deportivo Maldonado will not lose
    Everygame
    -270
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    deportivo-maldonadoin 14 of last 15 Deportivo Maldonado home games.
    ca-progresoin last 6 Progreso games.
    in 19 of last 20 Gustavo Tejera games.
    in 14 of last 16 Gustavo Tejera games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -500
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    deportivo-maldonadoin 6 of last 7 Deportivo Maldonado home games.
    ca-progresoin last 5 Progreso games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Maldonado - Progreso Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1594223-1431
    2.
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    1592424-1629
    3.
    Albion
    Albion
    1584326-1628
    14.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1543817-2215
    15.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1524912-2310
    16.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    152498-2410

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    5 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 8
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 8
    +8
    -9
    6 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    2
    5
    Draws
    0
    1
    Loses
    8
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    6
    8
    Conceded
    15
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.6
    0.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    150'
    View all stats