Cruzeiro vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction 26 August 2026
🔊 Cruzeiro and Atlético Mineiro meet in the quarter-finals of the Copa do Brasil in the latest edition of the Clásico Mineiro.Both clubs arrive in good form with clear ambitions for this prestigious trophy. For Cruzeiro, who were recently eliminated from the Copa Libertadores, the Copa do Brasil has become the season's main priority and their most direct route back into South America's premier club competition in 2027. Atlético Mineiro, meanwhile, under Eduardo Domínguez, are on an impressive 11-match unbeaten run and will be looking to reverse their recent Copa do Brasil record against Cruzeiro, who have won two of the last three meetings between the sides in the competition.
Head-to-Head
The last official meeting between the sides took place on 03 May 2026 and ended 1-3. Here are the key stats from that match (Cruzeiro were the home side):
- Possession: 69% vs 31%;
- Corners: 5 vs 1;
- Fouls: 15 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 4.
📊 Cruzeiro and Atlético Mineiro have met 67 times in official matches. The hosts have won 24, the visitors 25, with 18 draws. Both sides have scored 84 goals each. On average, matches produce 1.07 goals in the first half and 1.43 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.51. The last meeting ended 3-1 to Atlético Mineiro.
Head-to-head statistics Cruzeiro - Atl. Mineiro
Cruzeiro Team Overview
Arthur Jorge's side go into the derby on the back of a comeback win over Flamengo (2:1) in round 24 of the Brasileirão. That result lifted Cruzeiro to fifth place on 39 points, keeping their Copa Libertadores qualification hopes very much alive. A key factor is their current form: they are unbeaten in their last five matches, with four consecutive wins. Up front, Matheus Pereira grabbed the late winner and Arroyo levelled with a fine strike. Defensively, Cruzeiro have also been solid at home, conceding an average of 1.17 goals per match.
Match Results: Cruzeiro
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
Atlético arrive at the derby in good form as well, unbeaten in five matches - three wins and two draws. They have been solid and well-organised, with defensive reliability a clear priority: away from home, they concede fewer than one goal per game (0.92). That contrasts with Cruzeiro's attacking output on their own ground, where they average 1.58 goals per match and keep clean sheets in only 25% of home games. Atlético's main task will be to contain that attacking threat and take their chances on the counter. Head-to-head history points to a tight contest too, with both sides having scored in recent meetings, which adds to the intrigue ahead of the derby.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average totals):
- home team - 1.25, away team - 1.25;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.51;
- both teams scored: all time - 35 times; at the home team's ground - 17 times.
Average total stats: Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro
- in the tournament: 1.75 vs 1.75;
- goals scored: 1.25 vs 1;
- first half: 0.75 vs 0.25;
- second half: 0.5 vs 0.75;
- Cruzeiro: at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Atlético Mineiro: away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches: 1.4 (home - 1.6) vs 1.3 (away - 1.17).
- Cruzeiro have scored fewer than 1.5 goals at home in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head meetings with Atlético Mineiro.
Corners Prediction
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- season: average total in the competition - 9; at home - 13;
- last 10 matches: average total - 6; at home - 6.
Atlético Mineiro: Statistics
- season: average total in the competition - 6.5; away - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; away - 3.83.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 67;
- both teams scored - 35 times overall;
- at the home side's ground - 17 times.
- Cruzeiro have scored and conceded in five consecutive matches.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent scorelines (current season):
- most common scoreline in the competition: 1-1 (21/142, 14.8%);
- Cruzeiro at home most often finish matches: 1-0, 2-0 (1/2, 50%);
- Atlético Mineiro away most often play: 0-1, 2-1 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1-0 - 17.72% (odds 5.5)
0-0 - 14.26% (odds 7.4)
1-1 - 11.68% (odds 5.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both sides come into this derby in good form, but the key factor is the consistent scoring on both ends. Cruzeiro have scored and conceded in each of their last five matches, which aligns with the both-teams-to-score trend. Atlético Mineiro are unbeaten, but their defence away from home is not impenetrable - they concede chances even in positive results on the road. The hosts average more than a goal per game, and the visitors rarely keep a clean sheet. The last meeting between these two finished 1-3, which also points to an open game with chances at both ends. In this context, goals from both sides looks the most likely outcome - the Both Teams to Score bet follows naturally from current form and the supporting trend. We're predicting a final score of 1-1. Our pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Cruzeiro - Atletico Mineiro
in last 11 games.in last 6 away games.
in 8 of last 9 home games.in 7 of last 8 games.in 10 of last 11 home games against Atletico Mineiro.in 14 of last 15 home games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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