Vasco Da Gama vs Vitoria Prediction 27 August 2026
🔊 This Copa do Brasil tie between Vasco da Gama and Vitória immediately stands out for the combination of inconsistent scoring and clear attacking limitations on both sides. Vasco's home record has been marked by low scoring, backed up by a consistent trend of falling short on goals. Vitória, meanwhile, have struggled to create away from home, as both their recent form and match statistics show. This points to a cautious, pragmatic contest where each goal is likely to matter.
Head-to-Head
📊 Across 26 official meetings between Vasco da Gama and Vitória, the hosts have won 10, the visitors 13, with three draws. The goal tally also favours Vitória: 34 for Vasco da Gama against 42 for their opponents. On average, 1.12 goals are scored in the first half and 1.81 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.92. The most recent meeting ended 1-0 to Vitória, with Renato Kaiser scoring the only goal. Statistically and in terms of performance, that game was fairly even.
Head-to-head statistics Vasco Da Gama - Vitoria
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
Their last official match took place on in the Série A (Vasco da Gama at home, Palmeiras away). The match ended 4-1.
Match statistics (Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras):
- Possession: 43% vs 57%;
- Corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- Fouls: 21 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Vasco da Gama have been noticeably cautious in attack recently, with six consecutive home matches producing fewer than 1.5 goals scored. Their last five results read: one win, two draws, two defeats - no consistency in terms of points. Over the previous ten matches, their average of goals scored and conceded is identical at 1.2 per game, suggesting a balance between attack and defence rather than any particular clinical edge. Defensively, Vasco look reasonably solid at home, conceding an average of just 0.75 per match, but the lack of creativity going forward makes it hard to expect a high-scoring game even against inconsistent opposition.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Vitoria Team Overview
The away side's most recent competitive match took place on in Série A, with Vitória at home and Bahia as the visitors. The match ended 0-2.
Match statistics (Vitória vs Bahia):
- Possession: 47% vs 53%;
- Corners: 7 vs 7;
- Fouls: 13 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 9.
Vitória arrive at this match with clear attacking problems on the road - they have failed to score in four consecutive away matches. Their last five results show two wins and three defeats, with no real consistency. Over their previous ten matches, they have averaged just 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, pointing to issues at both ends of the pitch. In their most recent match, they again failed to score, conceding twice to Bahia while managing only two shots on target.
Match Results: Vitoria
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average totals):
- home team - 1.31, away team - 1.62;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.92;
- both teams scored: all time - 13 times; at the home team's ground - 8 times.
Average total stats: Vasco da Gama vs Vitória
- in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.75;
- goals scored: 1.75 vs 1.75;
- first half: 0.75 vs 1;
- second half: 1 vs 0.75;
- Vasco da Gama at home in the tournament - 1;
- Vitória away in the tournament - 0.5;
- last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 0.4) vs 0.8 (away - 0).
- Vasco da Gama have scored under 1.5 goals at home in six consecutive matches.
Corners Prediction
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- season: average total in the competition - 5.5; at home - 4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.2; at home - 5.8.
Vitória: Statistics
- season: average total in the competition - 2.5; away - 0.5;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; away - 3.25.
- Vasco da Gama have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in five consecutive head-to-head matches between these two sides.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- matches played - 26;
- both teams scored - 13 times overall;
- at the home side's ground - 8 times.
Correct Score Prediction
Most common scorelines (current season):
- most frequent scoreline in the competition: 1-1 (21/142, 14.8%);
- Vasco da Gama at home most often finish matches: 0-0, 2-2 (1/2, 50%);
- Vitória away most often play: 2-0, 2-1 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 17.57% (odds 5)
2:0 - 11.2% (odds 6.5)
1:1 - 10.89% (odds 6)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The form and trend data point clearly in one direction - this looks like a low-scoring match, particularly for Vasco da Gama's attack. Six consecutive home matches without exceeding 1.5 goals scored backs this up: the team struggles to break down even modest defences, and their average of 1.2 goals per game over their last 10 matches reinforces that picture. Vitória are also inconsistent going forward away from home and rarely threaten the opposition goal, which further reduces the chances of the favourites putting up big numbers. We're predicting a 1-0 final score. The main bet is Vasco da Gama Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals.
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Betting Tips: Vasco da Gama - Vitoria
in 11 of last 12 Vasco da Gama home games against Vitoria.in 21 of last 22 Vitoria away games.in 6 of last 7 Vitoria games.
in 9 of last 10 games against Vitoria.in 7 of last 8 home games against Vitoria.in 7 of last 8 games (Copa).in 9 of last 10 home games against Vitoria.in 19 of last 20 away games.in 12 of last 13 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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