Progreso vs Maldonado Prediction 16 August 2026
✨ In the second round of the Uruguayan Clausura, Progreso will take on Deportivo Maldonado at home. The hosts are looking to pick up their first points of the season after a frustrating defeat at the very start of the tournament. The visiting side are aiming for their first win, having drawn in the previous round. Both teams are experiencing certain difficulties building their attacking play at the start of the second half of the season. Fans can expect a tight and nervy match where discipline across every area of the pitch will be the key factor.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the two sides ended 1-0. Here is the comparative statistics from that game (home side - Progreso):
- possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4.
📊 Analytical overview of previous official matches between Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado:
- 15 matches played;
- home wins - 6, away wins - 4, draws - 5;
- goals (home/away) - 19 vs 12;
- average total goals per match - 2.07.
Head-to-head statistics Progreso - Maldonado
Progreso Team Overview
Progreso entered the Clausura campaign with an away defeat to Central Español, losing 0:1. In that match the team had 48% possession and managed three shots on target. Progreso's players also delivered just three corners throughout the entire game. The squad showed discipline and received no yellow cards, but lacked the attacking drive to get points. At their home ground the hosts will look to play more aggressively going forward, though problems with creating clear chances remain for now.
Match Results: Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado Team Overview
Deportivo Maldonado drew 2:2 with Racing from Montevideo in their opening match of the tournament. The team showed phenomenal efficiency, scoring twice from just two shots on target in the entire match. At the same time, they ceded control to their opponents, recording only 42% possession and not winning a single corner. The team's defensive line looks rather unstable, regularly making serious errors near their own goal. In the upcoming away match, the visitors will need to play more cautiously to avoid being caught by the opposition's counter-attacks.
Match Results: Deportivo Maldonado
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Progreso at home - 5 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Deportivo Maldonado away - 6 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Progreso at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Deportivo Maldonado away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (26/177, 14.7%);
- Progreso at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:2 (2/10, 20%);
- Deportivo Maldonado away most often play: 1:1 , 2:1 , 2:4 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.35% (odds 5.4)
0:1 - 12% (odds 6)
0:0 - 9.44% (odds 7.6)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Progreso are traditionally strong at home and will do everything possible to avoid losing two matches in a row. Deportivo Maldonado showed an unusually high conversion rate last round, but their overall quality of play was quite modest. The visitors did not win a single corner and easily gave up possession, which points to problems building positional attacks. On their home ground, the hosts will take the initiative and look to exploit the regular defensive lapses of their opponents. Given the visitors' weak performance as the away side and Progreso's high motivation, the bet on the hosts not to lose looks the most reliable. A scoreline of 1:0 is possible.
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Betting Tips: Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado
in 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
in 16 of last 17 games (Primera Division).in 11 of last 12 home games (Primera Division).in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).in last 14 Progreso games (Primera Division).in last 6 Progreso home games (Primera Division).in 6 of last 7 Deportivo Maldonado away games (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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