Serbia vs Germany Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
π’ In the fifth round of League A of the UEFA Nations League, two national teams that have so far fallen well short of expectations will meet. Serbia have struggled badly in the group stage, losing four matches in a row. Germany cannot boast much better results either: despite being one of the group favourites, they sit only third in the table and risk missing out on the play-offs. The upcoming match at the Rajko MitiΔ Stadium is therefore particularly important for both teams.
π This prediction is updated on match day. Keep an eye on the Latest News section.
Germany won the last meeting
π Before their match in October, Serbia and Germany had not met for many years. In the first round of fixtures in the current Nations League campaign, Germany comfortably beat Serbia 2-0, dominating the match. Germany had an incredible 32 shots to Serbiaβs one, barely allowing the visitors into their half of the pitch.
Head-to-head statistics Serbia - Germany
Serbia struggle in the Nations League
In the previous Nations League campaign, Serbia only just managed to stay in League A, but their chances of repeating that success are now rapidly fading. They have failed to pick up a single point in four matches and unsurprisingly sit bottom of the group. A top-two finish is already out of reach, while reaching the play-offs would require them to make up a five-point deficit. With only two matches left in the group stage, Serbia must beat Germany: any other result would effectively end their hopes of avoiding direct relegation.
Serbia were again left without a point in the previous round, losing 2-1 away to the Netherlands. As in their three preceding matches, the margin of defeat was narrow, but the scoreline did not entirely reflect what happened on the pitch. The Dutch were clearly superior, threatened the visitorsβ goal far more often and controlled the game. Serbia managed to put up a fight and even scored, but could do no more.
Match Results: Serbia
Germany struggle to find form
Five points from four rounds are clearly not the result Germany fans had hoped for before the Nations League began. Initially considered among the contenders for the trophy, Germany are currently only third and risk ending up in the play-offs to retain their place in League A. The situation is not critical yet, though: they are just three points behind the top two, so a strong showing in this round of fixtures could radically change their position. To do that, however, they need not only to pick up points but also to improve their performances considerably.
It is particularly concerning that Germany's only win came against Serbia, the group's main outsiders. They have dropped points in every other match, even when they were clearly the better side. Their previous match against Greece (0-0) was a case in point: Germany controlled proceedings, dictated the play and had 21 shots to the hosts' 5. Yet they still could not break down Greece's organised defence. Their problems converting chances are becoming increasingly apparent: Germany have scored just three goals in four rounds.
Match Results: Germany
Latest news
Serbia
β DuΕ‘an VlahoviΔ is absent from the national team for personal reasons, while Strahinja PavloviΔ will miss the match due to an injury. Filip KostiΔ is also unavailable through injury. Additionally, SaΕ‘a LukiΔ and Nemanja MaksimoviΔ are suspended for the match against Germany.
π Update from 13 November, 10:19 UTC:
- Serbia head coach Veljko PaunoviΔ will miss the match against Germany due to a suspension. He confirmed at a press conference that he will not be able to sit on the bench. One of his assistants will take charge of the team during the match and communicate with captain DuΕ‘an TadiΔ. PaunoviΔ also said that, because of the numerous absences, he is considering changes in midfield, including the option of playing three defensive midfielders.
Germany
β Jamal Musiala, Serge Gnabry, Assan OuΓ©draogo and Angelo Stiller were left out of the November squad due to injuries. After the squad was announced, Waldemar Anton was also ruled out through injury. Another problem will be the absence of Veljko PaunoviΔ from the dugout, as he will miss the match through suspension.
π Update from 13 November, 14:05 UTC:
- Germany have avoided any new injuries ahead of the match against Serbia. JΓΌrgen Klopp confirmed that all the players completed their preparations successfully and that the team have no new injuries. He has already decided on his starting XI but declined to reveal it before the match. Klopp would not even guarantee that captain Joshua Kimmich will play. The coach also stressed that Serbiaβs absences complicate preparations, as it is impossible to know in advance which formation they will choose.
Predicted Lineups
π Serbia's predicted starting XI: V. MilinkoviΔ-SaviΔ - NedeljkoviΔ, Gudelj, BabiΔ, ErakoviΔ, SukaΔev - SamardΕΎiΔ, S. MilinkoviΔ-SaviΔ, Ε½ivkoviΔ - CvetkoviΔ, MitroviΔ.
π Germany's predicted starting XI: Ter Stegen - Troy, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Brown - Nmecha, Kimmich - El Mala, Wirtz, Karl - Havertz.
Total Goals Prediction
A goal fest is unlikely in the upcoming match. Serbia have long been known for low-scoring football: fewer than four goals have been scored in each of their last 12 Nations League matches. Germany have not shone in attack either, and the two sides have scored just six goals between them across four rounds. Given those figures, the most logical bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.85*.
Corners Prediction
Serbia are rarely involved in Nations League matches with a high number of corners. There have been fewer than 11 corners in 8 of the national team's last 9 matches in the competition. Given both sides' problems with organising attacks, you can back Total Corners - Under 10.5 at odds of 1.49*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Germany will almost certainly have more possession and dictate the play, forcing Serbia to defend for long spells and stop dangerous attacks with fouls. In the first meeting, the Germans drew two yellow cards from the Serbians while receiving no bookings themselves. Given the difference in playing level and the expected pattern of the match, a similar scenario could unfold. Our bet is Serbia to receive more yellow cards than Germany at odds of 1.55*.
Player Prop Bet
Kai Havertz has been performing well up front for Arsenal, but he has yet to show what he can do in the current Nations League campaign. The German was injured in the first half of the opening match against the Netherlands and missed all of the national team's subsequent matches. Now the forward needs to make up for lost time, especially as Serbia's defence is far from flawless. Our pick is Kai Havertz to score at odds of 1.80*.
High-Risk Bet
Germany have scored two of their three goals in the current Nations League campaign before half-time. Moreover, their attacking activity often drops off after the break for some reason. So those willing to take a risk can bet on Germany not to score in the second half at odds of 3.50*.
Safer Bet
Germany rarely taste defeat away from home: they have avoided defeat in 15 of their last 16 competitive away matches. Despite their unconvincing performances in the current Nations League campaign, Germany have played reliably and pragmatically, while Serbia, with no points and in a difficult psychological state, are unlikely to end that run. For those who prefer safer options, a bet on Germany to Win or Draw at odds of 1.09* is worth considering.
If the Match Takes a Different Turn
Although the main scenario points to a low-scoring game, the opposite outcome cannot be ruled out. If Germany manage to score in the opening minutes, Serbia will have to abandon their cautious approach and commit more players forward. This will give the visitors more space for quick attacks, while the hosts could also capitalise on mistakes by the German defence. Our alternative bet is therefore Total Goals - Over 3.5 at odds of 2.10*.
β‘οΈ What to add to your accumulator?
And while Germany have no room for error, the Netherlands and Greece can still afford to drop points in the group's other match. That makes these games all the more interesting to follow on a multi-match broadcast. For those who like accumulators, we recommend considering a Netherlands win. We explained the reasoning behind our pick in a detailed match analysis. The combined odds for the double come to an impressive 2.87*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
β Editorβs Prediction
Bookmakers consider Germany the clear favourites for the upcoming match, which is understandable given Serbiaβs poor results in this Nations League campaign. However, the visitors should not expect an easy game. Germany themselves have been far from their best in their autumn matches, with their finishing particularly disappointing. What is more, Germany have scored fewer than three goals in nine consecutive competitive away matches. Therefore, our main bet is Germany Team Total Goals - Under 2.5. Correct score prediction: 0-2.
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Betting Tips: Serbia - Germany
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