England vs Croatia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 November 2026
🔉 England continue to chase Spain, whom they lost to in the opening round, but have since won three matches in a row, scoring 12 goals. Croatia, by contrast, have lost three straight matches and can still catch England, but only if they do not drop any points in their remaining Nations League fixtures. Any slip-up by the visitors will end their chances of finishing second, while England's points cushion allows them to take a more measured approach.
🔁 We will update this preview as new information about the teams becomes available. Check it shortly before the match so you do not miss any important changes.
England win - and win big
📊 In 2026, England beat Croatia by wide margins twice: first 4-2 in the World Cup group stage, then 7-0 in Rijeka in the first round of the Nations League, with Bukayo Saka and Harry Kane both scoring twice. In normal time, England have now gone eight consecutive matches without losing to Croatia.
Head-to-head statistics England - Croatia
Goalscoring as a hallmark
Thomas Tuchel’s appointment as England manager raised questions and doubts for many, but his tenure cannot be called a failure. England have scored more goals and played more actively in the final third, while retaining the defensive solidity they had under his predecessor. They also got a result: at the World Cup in the United States, England won the bronze medal, scoring six goals against France.
England’s goalscoring has become the team’s hallmark. They began their Nations League campaign with a defeat to Spain (2-3), then won three matches by a combined score of 12-0. England have scored at least twice in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. Harry Kane remains the leading figure in attack, having scored six goals already. Anthony Gordon has three. England are second in the group with nine points, three behind Spain and six ahead of Croatia.
Match Results: England
Adaptation under Bilić
Croatia’s results have gone in the opposite direction since their opening match in this Nations League campaign. They began with a 2-1 away win over Czechia. That victory was expected, as Czechia are the weakest side in the group. Croatia lost to their higher-profile opponents: England at home (0-7), and Spain away (1-4) and at home (1-2). In the home match against Spain, they had taken the lead and conceded the second goal only after Ivan Perišić was sent off.
After the 2026 World Cup, Croatia changed head coach, with Slaven Bilić returning to the national team. The side are still adapting to his demands, and their performances in the tournament have varied. Luka Modrić is still playing for the national team. The 40-year-old veteran has featured in every match and is an important link between the coach and the players.
Match Results: Croatia
Latest news
England
⛔️ The Bellingham brothers will be reunited in the England squad for the first time during the November international break. Jude was called up as expected, while Jobe earned his place with impressive performances for Borussia Dortmund. Chelsea’s Cole Palmer has once again been left out of the squad, and Marc Guéhi will miss out through injury.
Croatia
❌ Ivan Perišić will not play against England - the scorer of two goals in the Nations League misses the match through suspension. Marin Pongračić and Josip Šutalo are unavailable in defence, but their absence is less significant.
⚽️ Goals prediction
At least three goals were scored in normal time in 6 of England's last 7 home Nations League matches. The same number of goals was scored over 90 minutes in 6 of Croatia's previous 8 away games in the competition. Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.52* is a bet based on both teams' scoring records in the Nations League.
🚩 Corners prediction
No more than ten corners were taken in 8 of England's last 10 home matches in the Nations League. There were also no more than ten corners after 90 minutes in 6 of Croatia's last 9 away matches in the tournament. We pick Total Corners - Under 10.5 at 1.55*.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
Croatia have received at least two yellow cards in 6 of their last 8 away Nations League matches. England's opponents have received two or more yellow cards in 7 of the national team's previous 10 home matches in the competition. We’re backing Croatia Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1.5 at 1.52*.
🚀 Player prop bet
Harry Kane is having an excellent season. He has already won the Ballon d'Or for last season, and has scored six goals in this edition of the tournament, including two against Croatia. The forward has scored in five consecutive matches in the tournament. We’re backing Kane to score at odds of 1.49*.
😱 Risky bet
England have made particularly strong starts to first halves at home: they have won the opening period in six home games. In the most recent head-to-head match, England led by four goals at half-time. England - First-Half Handicap -1.5 at 3.52* is a risky bet for the match.
🎯 Reliable bet
England have scored at least two goals in 12 of their last 13 home games and in nine of their previous 10 matches across all competitions. England Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.29* is a reliable option for this match.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
Croatia have plenty of motivation: only a convincing away win gives them a chance of finishing second. Any other result leaves them in third place, facing a play-off to secure a place in League A next season. Croatia to Win away at 11.90* is a bet against the expected outcome.
⚡️ What to add to your accumulator?
And while England may still try to field their strongest side in front of their own fans, Spain have no reason to use all their available players in Prague ahead of a crucial match. So, in the other group match between Czechia and Spain, we are working on the assumption that the favourites will not win by a big margin. A bet on Czechia - Handicap +2 can be added to the accumulator. The two-selection bet slip, covering the matches in Prague and London, is currently available at an enticing combined price of 4.05*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
England are favourites and will most likely get the result they want at home. But the win will not be as emphatic as it was in Rijeka. Croatia showed in their last match against Spain that they can play compactly, and had it not been for Perišić’s sending-off and Merino’s impressive substitute appearance, in which he scored twice, they could well have secured a positive result. England can play without pressure: they have a sizeable points cushion, and even a draw would keep them in the top two, so they can afford to be more solid defensively. The bet is Croatia to Win - Handicap +1.5 as the main pick. The predicted correct score is 2-1.
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Betting Tips: England - Croatia
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in 7 of last 8 games against Croatia.in 21 of last 23 games.
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