Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction 24 August 2026
🔊 In this Primeira Liga Matchday 3 fixture, Gil Vicente take on Casa Pia. Both sides are capable of sitting deep and defending, and that quality is likely to define the match. There is a good chance this one ends up being a low-scoring affair.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last meeting between these two sides took place in late April this year, with Gil Vicente winning 2-1. Over the last five head-to-head matches, it has been fairly even: one win each and three draws.
Head-to-head statistics Gil Vicente - Casa Pia
Gil Vicente Barcelos Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Gil Vicente Barcelos, away team - Rio Ave). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Gil Vicente Barcelos vs Rio Ave):
- ball possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 14 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Gil Vicente have made a decent start to the season - one match played, one win, a 1-0 victory over Rio Ave. Their defence deserves particular credit: according to advanced xG data, they conceded just 0.18 expected goals in that match. At home, they look capable of producing another solid defensive display. In attack, it is harder to speak of any real quality, partly due to a two-week break from action.
Match Results: Gil Vicente Barcelos
Casa Pia Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Casa Pia, away - Benfica Lisbon). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:7.
Here are the match stats (Casa Pia vs Benfica Lisbon):
- ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 0 vs 8.
Casa Pia have made a dreadful start to the league season. They have lost both of their opening matches - 0-1 to Marítimo and 0-7 to Benfica. Their attacking output has been a serious concern: across those two games, their combined xG was just 0.77, which is extremely low. There is little reason to expect a dramatic turnaround away from home. They will likely set up in a very defensive shape - there is no real alternative. On top of that, they need some kind of response after the heavy defeat to Benfica. Even a draw would be a decent result for them.
Match Results: Casa Pia
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 9;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.44;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.11.
First-Half Stats: Gil Vicente Barcelos (home) vs Casa Pia (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 1 (100%) vs 1 (100%);
- Average goals scored: 0 vs 0;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 7 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.4).
- Gil Vicente Barcelos have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.56, the guests - 0.67;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.22;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 3.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Gil Vicente Barcelos games against Casa Pia (Primeira Liga).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Casa Pia games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Gil Vicente Barcelos: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 5.17.
Casa Pia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 4.
- Casa Pia have taken under 3.5 corners in last 5 games against Gil Vicente Barcelos (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Gil Vicente Barcelos vs Casa Pia
- number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 0 vs 0;
- number of BTTS matches for Gil Vicente Barcelos at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Casa Pia away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 2;
- BTTS matches for Gil Vicente Barcelos at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Casa Pia away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (5/17, 29.4%);
- Gil Vicente Barcelos at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (1/1, 100%);
- Casa Pia away most often play: 1:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 21.86% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 18.57% (odds 6.95)
2:0 - 16.85% (odds 7)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Gil Vicente are the favourites here. Yes, they had a two-week break, and match sharpness remains a question. But their defence has been functioning reasonably well, and in attack they compare favourably with the opposition. Casa Pia have had a terrible start to the season and so far show little sign of improvement. We expect this to be a low-scoring affair - a 1-0 result is quite possible. Our pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Gil Vicente Barcelos - Casa Pia
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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