Vasco Da Gama vs Bahia Ba Prediction 12 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Vasco da Gama and Bahia promises to be an intriguing affair in the third round of Brazil's Serie A. Both teams are showcasing varying forms, adding an edge to this encounter. Vasco find themselves mid-table and are looking for ways to climb higher, while Bahia hold a stronger position as they aim to solidify their spot in the Libertadores zone. Given the current statistics, fans can anticipate an engaging showdown with a focus on tactics and game strategy.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 23 November 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that match (Bahia were the home side):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 11 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Vasco da Gama and Bahia:
- 29 matches played;
- home victories - 10, away victories - 13, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 30 against 44;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.28, in the 2nd half - 1.28;
- average total goals per match - 2.55.
Head-to-head statistics Vasco Da Gama - Bahia Ba
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Carioca League, featuring Vasco da Gama as the home side and Botafogo as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory for Vasco da Gama.
Here are the match statistics (Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo):
- possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 19 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
⚫ Vasco have been struggling with consistency. In their last five matches, they have secured two wins, drawn twice, and suffered one defeat. In the second round of the championship, Fernando Diniz's side let a win slip away against Chapecoense (1-1), but then triumphed over Botafogo (2-0) in the Carioca League. The team has been struggling to capitalize on their chances, scoring less than 1.5 goals in most of their games this season. Their playing style often emphasizes defense, yet they concede an average of 1.5 goals per match.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Bahia Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Bahia League, where they faced Juazeirense away. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Juazeirense):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 6.
🔵 Bahia recently shared the spoils with Fluminense (1-1) at home in Serie A, and then drew with Juazeirense (1-1) away in the Gaúcho League. These were the first two draws for Rogério Ceni's squad in 2026, following a streak of seven consecutive victories to kick off the new season. Bahia are known for their aggressive attacking style, averaging 2.3 goals per game over the last ten matches, while maintaining a solid defense with only 0.9 goals conceded in the same period.
Match Results: Bahia
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head:
- Matches played - 29;
- First-half wins at home - 5; away - 3; draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.28;
- Today's home team averages 0.55 goals, while the away team averages 0.72.
First-Half Stats: Vasco da Gama (home) vs Bahia (away)
- Tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
- Wins: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 0 vs 3;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 6;
- Losses: 0 vs 1;
- Draws: 8 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.7 (scored - 1.3, conceded - 0.4).
- Vasco da Gama have drawn the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Matches played - 29;
- Home wins - 10, Away wins - 13, Draws - 6.
Statistics: Vasco da Gama vs Bahia
- Matches in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- Wins: 0 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 0% vs 50%;
- Losses: 1 vs 0;
- Draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 7;
- Losses: 3 vs 1;
- Draws: 4 vs 2.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head (average total):
- Home team - 1.03, Away team - 1.52;
- In head-to-head matches - 2.55;
- Both teams scored: in total - 14 times; at home ground - 8 times.
Average Total Statistics: Vasco da Gama vs Bahia
- In the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.5;
- Goals scored: 1 vs 1.5;
- First half: 0.5 vs 1;
- Second half: 0.5 vs 0.5;
- Vasco da Gama: at home in the tournament - 1;
- Bahia: away in the tournament - 2;
- Last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 1.6) vs 2.3 (away - 1.4).
- Vasco da Gama score less than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 9.5; at home - 14;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; at home - 7.6.
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6, away - 6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.5; away - 3.8.
- Vasco da Gama deliver more than 4.5 corners at home in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Matches played - 29;
- Both teams scored in total - 14 times;
- At home ground - 8 times.
Statistics: Vasco da Gama vs Bahia
- Played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- Season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
- Vasco da Gama: BTTS at home - 1 (100%);
- Bahia: BTTS away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- Matches with BTTS: 4 vs 6;
- Vasco da Gama: BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Bahia: BTTS away - 2 (40%).
Correct Score Prediction
Frequent scorelines (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-1 (4/19, 21.1%);
- Vasco da Gama at home most frequently ends matches with: 1-1 (1/1, 100%);
- Bahia on the road most often plays to: 1-2 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 13.89% (odds 6.5)
1-0 - 9.92% (odds 8.5)
0-1 - 9.62% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and statistical data, we anticipate a tense match with a low-scoring affair from the hosts, who rarely exceed one goal per game. Diniz's side have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches. Therefore, the primary prediction is Vasco da Gama's individual total under 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Vasco da Gama - Bahia
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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